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May 6th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Kentucky Derby is always one of the hardest races of the year to handicap, but here at Cappers Info, we have all of the ins and outs covered for the horses in the field and have our Kentucky Derby picks for our trifecta covered.

The first horse that we really have our eyes on is #11 Master of Hounds.This is a colt that came out of the UAE, making him the only one that made the trip from overseas to get here. Most Americans probably won’t recognize the names of most of the horses that Master of Hounds has been bred through, but over in Europe and Asia, some of these colts and mares had amazing careers. The beauty about these horses from overseas is that they generally run a lot longer distances that the preparatory races are here in the States, and this is no exception. In the UAE Derby, Master of Hounds had no problem making it 1 3/16 miles, just shy of the distance that he’ll be running on Saturday. He was nosed in that race by Pluck, but he was a favorite in the race and will certainly be one to watch. Speed out of the gate isn’t something that we are really seeing out of Master of Hounds, but he’ll be here at the wire when it matters the most, and he has had some great speed results, especially late in races on the other side of the pond.

If the weather ends up being rough as it potentially could, the horse that is going to benefit the most is #7 Pants On Fire. With Rosie Napravnik getting the mount, this colt could be in a position to take advantage of the track conditions with some good history on a sloppy track. There have only been six other female jockeys try their hand at the Run for the Roses, and none have found their way to the winner’s circle. Napravnik took over the jockey duties for Pants On Fire at the Louisiana Derby in March, a race in which she put her colt in a great position out of the gates and held out by a neck. This is a horse with some great spirit and a fantastic pedigree with AP Indy as his grandsire. At 20 to 1 morning line odds, Pants On Fire has an absolutely fantastic price. Look for him to come out of the blocks either in the lead or right near it, and he should be able to be right near the lead at the finish line.

The horse that we think is going to end up at the finish line first though, is #17 Soldat. The only reason why this horse isn’t one of the favorites in this race is because he had an absolutely awful ride at the Florida Derby in April. This is a sneaky little horse that finds his way around traffic on a regular basis, so we’re really not all that worried about the distance. He already has three races at 1 1/8 miles under his belt, and he really could be set for another great run at 1 1/4 on Saturday. The Beyer speed ratings for this colt have been all over the place, as he has shown that he can run in the 70s and in the 100s as well. Jockey Alan Garcia could have had his pick of a few different horses for this race, but he elected to stay on this one. Soldat has a great chance to head to the winner’s circle from on the pace right away, and if there is a wire to wire winner, this is going to be the one.

The only other horse that we are afraid of in this race is the favorite on the Kentucky Derby odds, #8 Dialed In. It’s going to be hard to leave this horse out of your exotics on this race, knowing that he has never finished an worse than second. He is the favorite with Uncle Mo out of the fold by a country mile. We don’t really believe all that much in #19 Nehro, and we aren’t buying into all of the hype around #1 Archarcharch either. That being said, we’re looking to key Soldat and wrap around Dialed In, Master of Hounds, and Pants On Fire with him. Or, if you will, you could just come up with a $2 trifecta box, which could have a comfortable four digit payout.

Free Kentucky Derby Picks: #17-#7-#11-#8

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June 3rd, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Belmont Racetrack will take center stage when the Belmont Stakes betting action goes to post on Saturday. Today, we'll make our Belmont Stakes free picks that will help you cash in against the Belmont Stakes odds.

Fly Down (+450 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Fly Down becomes a very interesting selection in the Belmont Stakes because of his most recent win at the Grade II Dwyer on this same racetrack. Horses that have had success in the Big Apple in lead up races to the final leg of the Triple Crown have historically had plenty of success in the Belmont Stakes as well. Look no further than Summer Bird in 2009 or Birdstone in 2004 to show that you don't have to run in the first two legs of the Triple Crown to win the third. However, Fly Down was the second favorite choice in that race and doesn't really have a superb resume behind him coming into the Belmont Stakes. A ninth place finish at the Louisiana Derby is probably what kept trainer Nick Zito from entering him in either the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness Stakes, but Fly Down is certainly ready to challenge at the Belmont.

Ice Box (+300 at BetUS Sportsbook) – The morning line favorite for this event, Ice Box finished second at the Kentucky Derby to Super Saver. Many think that Ice Box's run in the Run for the Roses was more impressive than Super Saver's win, because he faced a very difficult ride that saw him have to rally from 19th place to nearly nip the winner at the stretch run before falling a tad flat. Many also feel that the run at 1 1/4 miles in which he ran out of a tad bit of gas may be a sign that he won't be able to last the entire 1 1/2 miles. However, there are a lot of weak links in this field, and we think that Ice Box is going to ultimately end up sticking in the money in spite of the fact that we're not so sure that he has the legs for the distance either.

First Dude (+350 at BetUS Sportsbook) – My, what a difference a race makes! First Dude was a huge longshot in the Preakness Stakes, but he bounced out to the lead early and nearly beat Lookin At Lucky at the wire. No one is doubting the fact that this horse can run the distance here at the Belmont, but our Belmont Stakes picks are going to be on him to come in second once again. First Dude will inevitably get out to the front of the pack yet again and try to run wire-to-wire, but it is incredibly rare to see a horse pull off that feat for a mile, let alone for a mile and a half. The odds aren't great here, but we can't ignore First Dude after that run in the Preakness.

Drosselmeyer (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – This Belmont Stakes pick might surprise some, but Drosselmeyer was the odds on favorite to win the Dwyer over Fly Down for a good reason. He had a miserable run that day, slipping out of the gate and running into traffic that took him off of his game. Still, finishing second best was impressive against a reasonable crop of three year olds. If Drosselmeyer gets off to a clean start and ends up in a decent stalking lane, he should have the distance breeding in him to make his move at the wire. Last year, Summer Bird took down the Belmont Stakes after winning on this track the month before, and we expect Drosselmeyer to prove why he was odds on against the best of the three year olds that are running in horse racing's most grueling test.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #7 Drosselmeyer – #11 First Dude – #6 Ice Box – #5 Fly Down

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May 14th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Preakness Picks

If you're looking for early predictions for the colts that you should be throwing down on in the 135th Preakness Stakes, look no further than Cappers Info! We've got the race covered from wire to wire and have your winning superfecta all picked out!

#8 Super Saver (+200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – The favorite of the Preakness Stakes odds is once again the colt that won the Kentucky Derby. Jockey Calvin Borel has most famously come out and declared that his horse will win the Triple Crown, but the sledding is going to be very tough for him against this field of 12. Many are entered seemingly only to see to it that Super Saver doesn't win the second leg of the Triple Crown, as opposed to on Derby Day when it was every colt for himself. Don't be shocked if the man nicknamed Calvin "Bo-Rail" has a hard time getting inside position for his horse, which is going to make things difficult. In a longer race, we'd be picking Super Saver to come out on top. But we think there are too many landmines for him to really make a difference overall.

#6 Jackson Bend (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Jackson Bend is the longest shot on the board amongst horses that ran in the Kentucky Derby. Most famous for finishing second to Eskendereya in two prep races leading up to the Triple Crown, Jackson Bend isn't considered a tremendous threat to win this race, but perhaps horse racing betting fans should be paying more attention to him. This is a colt that didn't have a clean run at Churchill Downs, but still has a solid core of people working with him. Trainer Nick Zito thinks that this thoroughbred gives him the best shot at taking down a Triple Crown jewel, and jockey Mike Smith has been given the vote of confidence that he is the man that can take this horse to the winner's circle in spite of the fact that he had such a miserable 12th place finish in the Kentucky Derby.

#12 Dublin (+1000 at BetUS Sportsbook) – What a great price for a horse that may have some help in winning the race! If trainer D. Wayne Lukas has his way, his other entrant into this race, #4 Northern Giant will push the pace early on the rail. That would really serve two purposes. First would be to stretch out the stalkers in this field and make them run at a slightly more uncomfortable pace than perhaps they would be accustomed to. The second is to still right there on the rail and make Borel do something different to get past him. With the Dublin camp knowing this strategy, this could be the horse to come up right at the wire and get the job done.

#7 Lookin At Lucky (+300 at BetUS Sportsbook) – Many wondered whether or not Lookin At Lucky could successfully pull off the Kentucky Derby on the rail or not. Not. Running out of the #1 spot at Churchill Downs for a colt that isn't a speed horse is virtually impossible. It would've been quite the feat had Lookin At Lucky pulled it off, especially on a sloppy, and very unpredictable track. However, this colt is back, and he's very deserving of being called a favorite in this race. After all, he still has six wins under his belt already and, save Super Saver, he is the only other three year old horse that is running in any of the Triple Crown races that can say that he is already worth a million bucks! At post #7, things still aren't ideal for Lookin At Lucky, but he'll be in store for a significantly cleaner run on Saturday than he was two weeks ago, and the end result should make him the horse to beat.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #7 Lookin At Lucky – #12 Dublin – #6 Jackson Bend – #8 Super Saver

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April 30th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Kentucky Derby Picks

Confused with what to do with the 20 horse field in the Kentucky Derby this year? No worries! Cappers Info has you covered! Here is a look at the four horses that we are projecting out of this crop of three year olds to be the ones that are on the board at the end of Saturday afternoon's big race at Churchill Downs!

Paddy O'Prado (+1600 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – A little luck of the Irish, shall we? The big grey colt won't be one to miss on the track on Saturday afternoon, as he'll be the grey blur that is always just on the outside of your television screen that starts to inch up towards the front of the pack as a stalker for the duration of the race. Unfortunately, we'd love to make Paddy O'Prado the winner of this race, but we just don't believe that he has the tools to get all the way to the front. As a traditional Irish turf horse though, running the full 1 1/4 miles isn't going to be an issue whatsoever. It's going to be hard for us to take this horse off of the board.

Mission Impazible (+2000 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Every year it feels like there's a horse that comes out of nowhere in the closing furlong or so that finds his way onto the board that screws up all of the odds. Last year, Mine That Bird did just that and more, as he actually won the race from well off the pace and posted the second highest "To Win" price that the Derby has ever seen. Mission Impazible won't be a horse that does all of that damage, but he can make an impact from the parking lot in this one if the horses around him aren't careful.

Dublin (+1200 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Dublin has been a bridesmaid a number of times, but has never quite had the opportunity to be a bride. Champion trainer D. Wayne Lukas knows that he has a very dangerous horse in this race, as Dublin has never gone off at less than 9/2 in any race that he has run. That won't be the case at the Derby, as he'll probably be one of the mid-range choices. Dublin feels like he finishes on the board in every race that he runs, and this probably won't be an exception. Unlike some other colts who ran against weaker fields, Dublin has taken on all challengers. Though he has come up short every time to date, this could be his race.

Lookin At Lucky (+375 at BetUS Sportsbook - 100% Bonus) – Lookin At Lucky was always on the radar, but he was never considered the real favorite to win this race until previous favorite Eskendereya was scratched last week. Now all of a sudden, people are paying attention to the horse that won five stakes races in preparation for the Kentucky Derby. Lookin At Lucky is the only $1M horse in this field, which immediately gives him a ton of credibility. Now all that has to happen is that he has to find a way to do something that no horse has done since 1986: Win from the rail. If Lookin At Lucky can have a relatively clean ride, he is going to be the horse to beat on Saturday afternoon.

Cappers Info Superfecta  – #1 Lookin At Lucky – #17 Dublin – #14 Mission Impazible – #10 Paddy O'Prado

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April 28th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Last year, Mine That Bird stole the Kentucky Derby with jockey Calvin Borel riding. No one saw the three year old colt sneak between horses to jolt to the front of the crowded pack of 20 horses, just like no one at the betting mutuels saw it coming either. Mine That Bird cashed in for his horse racing betting fans at a cool 50.60-1, making him the second longest shot to ever win the Run for the Roses.

Giacomo pulled off a very similar feat in 2005, running from the far outside for a late close on what was supposed to be an incredible field of three year olds. He went off at 50.30-1 for a similar payout.

We don't expect you to remember the longest shot ever to win the Derby, Donerail back in 1913 (91.45-1).

On the day that the posts are drawn for the 136th Kentucky Derby, we have to go back and ponder why these major upsets are occurring in the first leg of this Triple Crown.

We were given a sharp dose of reality once again when Eskendereya was scratched from this year's Derby. Many thought that he was going to go off as a supreme favorite to win the race. Instead, Lookin At Lucky, a horse that was nearly perfect as a two year old but didn't perform all that well in his prep races, will most likely take the honors as the horse to beat.

This year's field will probably include a real mish-mosh of horses, including a filly that had mixed results against her own breed (Devil May Care), a trio of horses that have only been one hit wonders (Endorsement at the Sunland Derby, Ice Box at the Florida Derby, and Line of David at the Arkansas Derby), a horse that made almost all of its money as a two year old and has been awful since turning three (Homeboykris), a horse that has been the favorite nearly every time out yet has underachieved (Dublin), and even a horse that only has one career race under his belt on dirt… and he lost by 34 lengths (Dean's Kitten).

Yes, it's becoming more and more apparent that the so-called "Sport of Kings" is evolving into a crapshoot where we go to the track and try our best to handicap out horses that have been the picture of inconsistency.

However, that doesn't mean that the oddsmakers aren't going to throw a few curveballs on the board that could be incredibly profitable on Saturday afternoon. Here at Cappers Info, we'll have our eyes glued to all of the odds and the racing ins and outs for Saturday's Run for the Roses, so be sure to check back to the Cappers Info blog as the weekend draws nearer!

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