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Posts Tagged ‘season win totals’

August 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Cappers Info continues working towards the 2010 NFL betting season, and to prepare you for the action, we take a look at the five teams that you should be avoiding this year. Placing your season win total bets on the 'under' on these five squads!

Buffalo Bills under 5.5 (-135 @ Brobury Sports):  For our money, the Bills are the worst team in football. The quarterbacking trio of Ryan Fitzpatrick, Trent Edwards, and Brian Brohm will inevitably all get plenty of time under center this year, but none of the three are really capable of being starting quarterbacks. The AFC East is a horror this year, and getting even one win in division would be a triumph. Yes, we love the addition of RB CJ Spiller as a playmaker, but there were several other positions of need for Buffalo, while Fred Jackson or Marshawn Lynch were both capable of running for 1,000+ yards. Missing WR Terrell Owens is going to hurt, especially considering the fact that there were really no great replacements. The pass rush on this team is going to lack as well without DE Aaron Schobel in the mix. The secondary was fantastic last year, and though it is still a strong unit, you can only guard wide receivers for so long. Head Coach Chan Gailey has never really succeeded at any level, and it is puzzling how he got this job. There's no way Buffalo is winning six games this season.

Denver Broncos under 7 (-130 @ Brobury Sports):  We can see the Broncos finishing at 7-9 this season to push us, but to win eight games and finish .500 is going to be a tall task. The Broncos really don't have any marked improvements from last year's team, especially after picking up QB Tim Tebow in the first round of the NFL Draft. Demaryius Thomas is a good replacement for WR Brandon Marshall in the long run, but replacing that type of productivity is going to be nearly impossible for just one man. The Broncos do have four games combined against the Kansas City Chiefs and Oakland Raiders, but that doesn't mean that those are four given wins. Aside from that, this is a second place schedule. With HC Josh McDaniels on the hot seat already in his second year, he is going to feel a lot of pressure if things start to go downhill. Winning in Jacksonville in Week 1 will be paramount, because a four game stretch shortly thereafter of games against the Colts, Titans, Ravens, and Jets probably won't yield a single win. Going .500 just isn't going to happen with this schedule, especially considering we haven't discussed two games with the San Diego Chargers yet.

Jacksonville Jaguars under 7 (-140 @ Brobury Sports):  The Jaguars have a number of problems this year. The first is that HC Jack Del Rio is probably on the hottest seat in the sport. The second is that the city is on the hot seat as well. Trying to get sellouts together for a team that isn't winning in a lousy market is nearly impossible, and with the bright lights of Los Angeles potentially calling, the Jags are going to have a lot of distractions. The first home game of the year will be anything but, as there will be more No. 15 Tim Tebow jerseys floating around than Jacksonville jerseys at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium. Without WR Torry Holt, QB David Garrard really doesn't have many options to throw the pigskin to. For a man that has never thrown more than 18 TD passes, this doesn't look like the year that Garrard emerges as a truly elite quarterback in the NFL. The defense is undergoing a transformation as well, particularly in the front seven. Adding Kirk Morrison seems like a good idea after he led the Raiders in tackles last year, but when you get kicked out of Oakland and replaced by a rookie, how good could you possibly be? Picking up DL Tyson Alualu so early in the NFL Draft was questionable at best, and poor drafts of late are probably going to cost this team. Now look at the NFC South schedule! A 2-4 record might be the best case scenario for the Jags. They aren't winning six games out of division play this year.

New York Jets under 9.5 (+110 @ Brobury Sports):  There is no doubt that the Jets have a better team this year than they did last year when they went to the AFC Championship Game. However, let's remember that this team only went 9-7 last season. Now remember that this isn't a third place schedule any longer. The Miami Dolphins won't have the same type of problems they did last year in all likelihood. If QB Mark Sanchez can't get it together this year, there are going to be a lot of problems in the Big Apple. The defense isn't going to be sneaking up on anyone this year, as the game plan for HC Rex Ryan is fairly clear. There is also a big question about whether or not RB Shonn Greene and RB LaDainian Tomlinson can really put up the same type of numbers that RBs Thomas Jones and Leon Washington have in recent seasons. The only games this year that aren't going to be a huge challenge are @ Buffalo on October 3rd, @ Detroit on November 7th, @ Cleveland on November 14th, and home against Buffalo on January 2nd. Notice that three of those four games are on the road… The Jets are improved, but the schedule is brutal. Getting to ten wins is going to be a difficult task and won't happen half the time for this team.

Philadelphia Eagles under 8.5 (-120 @ Brobury Sports):  By the end of the season, the Eagles will get a swift kick in the butt from the ghost of Donovan McNabb. Getting rid of No. 5 was a huge mistake, and it will show immediately. We aren't doubting that Kevin Kolb has the ability to be a starting quarterback in the NFL, but we aren't so sure that that transformation can really take place this year. The Eagles could have problems in the rushing game without RB Brian Westbrook, as LeSean McCoy probably isn't in the same sort of class as the rest of the backs in the NFC East. Defensively, the squad took a huge blow with the loss of SS Marlin Jackson in the preseason to a ruptured Achilles tendon. Just like the Jets, the Eagles might have a different perception if the schedule was a bit easier. Six games against the NFC East and four against the AFC South are going to be a terror, while the NFC North isn't a walk in the park either. Could Philly finish .500? Sure. Is it likely that it will get above that crucial point and finish in the playoff picture? Probably not.

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August 10th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The NFL betting campaign is getting ready to get underway, and here at Cappers Info, we have five teams on the slate to watch out for that could be tremendous teams to back the 'over' on the season win totals!

Baltimore Ravens over 10 (-125 @ Brobury Sports):  The Ravens could be the class of, not just the AFC North, but the entire NFL as well. The addition of WR Anquan Boldin gives QB Joe Flacco a second huge weapon at his disposal to go with WR Derrick Mason. Two of the top receiving tight ends in this year's NFL Draft were also acquired in the forms of Dennis Pitta and Ed Dickson. With TE Todd Heap reaching the latter stages in his career, these two could both step in and make an impact with a ton of reps. As always, RBs Ray Rice and Willis McGahee are going to make up a feared rushing attack. The idea of this offense racking up 6,500 yards of production on the season is totally believable. On the other side of the pigskin, DT Terrence Cody is going to pair with DT Haloti Ngata to make one of the biggest tackle duos in the game. LB Sergio Kindle should make a nice complement for LB Ray Lewis in the middle of the 3-4 defense. Parlay that with a schedule that features almost certainly given wins against Cleveland (twice), Buffalo, Miami, and Tampa Bay, and the idea of reaching at least 11 wins seems like a given, especially if the Pittsburgh Steelers are going to end up having a down year.

Detroit Lions over 5 (-135 @ Brobury Sports):  Call us crazy, but the Lions are going to have a decent chance to compete in the NFC North this year. The weapons on offense for Detroit are starting to resemble that of the best teams in the league. QB Matthew Stafford took a huge jump last year, and many think he could be amongst the elite signal callers in the NFC and soon. HC Jim Schwartz gave him a new weapon on offense with his second first round draft selection of RB Jahvid Best, who could be good for 70 yards every time he touches the football. Yes, the defense in the Motor City is still a mess, but DT Ndamukong Suh can only help out. The NFC North could get a lot more interesting if QB Brett Favre doesn't return to the Vikings, so there really could be a couple divisional wins this year. There are very winnable games against St. Louis, Washington, Buffalo, and Tampa Bay well. Seeing this squad get to seven wins could be a real possibility with an upset or two. We don't see any way that the Lions are stuck on just four as long as they stay relatively healthy.

New England Patriots over 9.5 (-150 @ Brobury Sports):  The Brady Bunch is back and should be efficient once again this season. We tend to think that New England is getting disrespected as the second choice in the AFC East, and though divisional play will be tough, there are certainly plenty of reasons to think that there will be at least ten wins in the future of the Pats this year. QB Tom Brady is still one of the best in the biz, and until further notice, WR Randy Moss is still one of the best receivers this game has to offer. No, the defense for New England isn't as strong as it once was, but that doesn't mean that this is an incompetent unit. Especially if WR Wes Welker is really healthy going into the regular season, this win total should be a given. There should be a bare minimum of four wins in divisional play, and aside from that, games against teams like Cleveland, Detroit, Chicago, and potentially Minnesota should be givens as well. We tend to believe that the mastermind known as Bill Belichick is going to find a way to scratch two more wins together somewhere on this schedule.

Oakland Raiders over 6 (-150 @ Brobury Sports):  Raider Nation is about to get a real shot in the arm. Oakland plays in the most atrocious division known to man in the AFC West, making for four very winnable games against Denver and Kansas City. There is a new signal caller in town in the form of QB Jason Campbell, and though he will be playing for his sixth different offensive coordinator in as many years of football, he is a dramatic upgrade on the garbage that the silver and black have had in recent years. Owner Al Davis also finally made a fantastic move on draft day, picking up LB Rolando McClain from Alabama to be the new captain of his defense. McClain is a tackling machine and has a high motor, and those traits will sit well in the Black Hole. A third place schedule sets up a lot of great potential matchups, and four games against the putrid NFC West foes could set up a ton of victories as well. No, playing the AFC South won't be fun, but we tend to believe that even an 0-4 showing can still yield seven wins on the season. The Raiders certainly aren't going backwards from last year's 5-11 record, so the worst case scenario should be a push.

San Diego Chargers over 11 wins (+140 @ Brobury Sports):  We'd feel a bit better about laying some chalk at 10.5 wins, but getting this type of price on 11, knowing that an 11-5 mark is a push is just fine with us. Let's get one thing straight first: The Chargers aren't as good this year as they were last year. You don't lose a future Hall of Famer in RB LaDainian Tomlinson and one of the best corners in the game in Antonio Cromartie without taking a step back in life. However, assuming that RB Ryan Mathews can step in and carry the load as a feature back, the rest of this offense is downright frightening. QB Philip Rivers, TE Antonio Gates, and WR Vincent Jackson make up one of the most lethal passing games in the league. On defense, it was an off year for LB Shawne Merriman in 2009, and he might be back with vengeance this year, especially knowing that many are doubting the abilities of this defense. Finally, just like with Oakland, look at this schedule! Anything less than a 6-0 mark in division is going to be a brutal disappointment, and a 4-1 record in games against the Jacksonville Jaguars and the NFC West is probable as well. Truth be told, anything less than a 13-3 record with this schedule should leave HC Norv Turner scratching his head. The Bolts aren't going to win the Super Bowl, but they are going to have one of the best records in the league when the regular season is finished.

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