One must pick more than 52.38% winners against the spread (ATS). How much more?  It depends on all costs (over and above the bookie’s vigorish).  Further, this only holds true when flat betting, that is, making all bets the same size.  The break even percentage could be higher or lower than 52.38% when betting various amounts on different games. 

One should always seek to improve his or her techniques and methods of handicapping by keeping exact records of his or her performance. Thus, he or she can better identify the weaknesses and strengths of such handicapping and be more likely to make improvements.  Any competent meteorologist should be able to predict inclement weather, but seldom, if only predict percentages of such occurrences. The further in advance, the less sure their predictions. The incalculable variables that might influence the weather far in advance are beyond accurate discernment by the limited understanding of the human mind, the chaos involved and the limitations of the best technology available. Likewise, the incalculable variables in an upcoming football game make predicting its outcome against the spread, at best, an estimate or educated guess.

I’ve never known a successful sports bettor, or any other type of successful gambler, who was undisciplined in his or her behavior. When all else is understood, without the discipline it takes to make it work, there is little or now chance that it will work. Good handicapping only leads to profits if sound money management principles are adhered to. The best money management program can only be effective if one exercises the discipline it takes to make it work. Olympic gold medalists are that because they exercise the utmost discipline in a regimented training program so that their talents can be realized.

Dedication is another quality that directs winners to their goal. A predisposition and determination to overcome all obstacles, bad luck and other adversities is also part of the personality and character of a winner.

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