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Archive for January 23rd, 2011

January 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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One team has made the most trips to the Super Bowl and has the most Superbowl betting triumphs. The other has the most titles in the history of the professional football. That's what we're going to get when we analyze the Super Bowl XLV odds in the clash between the Green Bay Packers and the Pittsburgh Steelers.  Below you will find my anylasis and free Superbowl picks for 2011.

2011 Superbowl Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, February 6th, 6:25 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Current Superbowl Spread: Green Bay -2.5
Over/Under (Total): 46

Packers Notes: At the start of the season, the Packers were considered the dark horse Superbowl picks, and though it wasn't the easiest road in the world to get there, they have gotten the job done and are well on their way to winning their fourth Super Bowl title. They are 3-1 all-time here in the Super Bowl, though two of those wins came way back in Super Bowl I and Super Bowl II. QB Brett Favre, the legendary future Hall of Famer, only took the Pack to two Super Bowls in his career, and he only won one of them, and it's amazing to think that QB Aaron Rodgers can basically duplicate Favre's production with just one more win. He's going to have to play a lot better than he did in the NFC Championship Game though, particularly in the second half. Rodgers only went 17-of-30 for 244 yards with two INTs on the day, but he also had 39 yards on the ground and a rushing score to boot. RB James Starks is going to be a real key to beat the Super Bowl XLV odds. After watching this rushing attack struggle all season long, Starks, a rookie, has chosen a great time to shine. He has at least 22 carries in all three postseason games, and he is the top rusher in the playoffs with 263 yards and a TD. The defense is going to be paramount as well. This unit has played some dynamite ball, holding teams to just 17.0 points per game in the playoffs and not allowing a single team to get beyond 20 points. Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers has put together a unit that has done a great job getting after the passer in this postseason, accounting for 10 sacks. DB Tramon Williams has three picks in the playoffs, while DB Sam Shields has two INTs, both of which came in the NFC Championship Game against the Pittsburgh Steelers. DT BJ Raji has the sixth forced turnover of these three games for the Packers, who now have 30 total INTs between the regular season and the playoffs. Two of those picks in the postseason have come back for TDs that essentially sealed up games.

Steelers Notes: The Steelers are back in the Super Bowl once again for the third time in the last six seasons. Head Coach Mike Tomlin is the youngest man to ever bring a team to the Superbowl betting festivities for a second time, and he brings a team with a ton of experience to the table in Big D. QB Ben Roethlisberger would love to claim a third ring in his career, and he would be one of the rare signal callers that actually missed a handful of games in a season to claim Super Bowl glory. Big Ben hasn't really had great games thus far in the postseason, as he only has thrown for 359 yards and two TDs against two picks in his two appearances. Still, this unit has gotten to 55 points in the two games without any legitimate superstars. Do keep an eye on RB Rashard Mendenhall, who really had a bust out season this year with 1,273 yards and 13 scores. He had 121 yards on 27 carries against the New York Jets in the AFC Championship Game, and if he can have that type of production against one of the fiercest defenses that the league has to offer, he can certainly do a lot of great work against the Packers as well if given the chance. Defensively, Pittsburgh ranked No. 1 in the league this year in scoring at 14.5 points per game, and this 'D' knows that the offense and special teams have really set it back to put a lot of points on the board that probably didn't deserve to be there. The unit has forced four turnovers and accounted for seven sacks in just two games in the playoffs as well, and you can bet that two weeks to prepare for Rodgers and company is going to be a very welcome thing.

The Final Word: We know that the Packers are really the choice du jour for the Super Bowl, as they really blew through the rest of the NFC by storm this year. And yes, it's also true that when push came to shove, they beat the New York Jets on the road and nearly took out the New England Patriots on the road with a backup quarterback. However, Pittsburgh provides a significantly different type of challenge. The Steelers have been there and done that, and they have a ton of Super Bowl experience, whereas there are only two players on the Packers that have ever played in this big game. It should be a great duel, but in the end, the black and gold will reign supreme and pick up their seventh title by beating the Super Bowl XLV lines.

Free Superbowl Picks: Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5
Super Bowl Prediction: Pittsburgh 24 – Green Bay 16

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January 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Green Bay Packers know that they have a great chance of snaring the Lombardi Trophy. The oddsmakers have lined them as 2.5 point favorites on the Super Bowl XLV lines. These are the five players that are going to be the keys to victory against the Pittsburgh Steelers in the biggest game of the year!

Aaron Rodgers: It almost seems like a foregone conclusion that Rodgers is going to have to play like a man capable of beating the Super Bowl XLV MVP odds for Green Bay to be able to win this one. He really had a terrible NFC Championship Game, especially after starting off 5-for-5 on the day. Rodgers ended going just 17-of-30 for 244 yards with two picks on the day, but he did account for 39 rushing yards and a TD. We know that he has the ability to be a hero, though. Just ask the Atlanta Falcons how they feel about his 31-of-36 game in which he accounted for four TDs and 366 passing yards. This is going to be a tough defense to try to crack, but Rodgers is going to be the top priority to beat the Superbowl lines.

James Starks: All of a sudden, the Packers absolutely unleashed a monster in the backfield, as Starks came out of nowhere to help a rushing attack that had really been crippled all season long. Though Green Bay is nowhere near a juggernaut now with a rookie taking control, it feels like a team that should be able to put up more than the 100.4 yards per game it averaged in the regular season if given the chances. Starks doesn't have a great yards per carry average in the postseason, as he is just at 3.76 YPC, but his 263 yards in three games has really struck some fear in the competition. It's not about Starks really getting the stats. It's just about him keeping the opposing defense honest to help give the Packers a 'W' on the Superbowl odds.

Tramon Williams: Williams had a relatively quiet third postseason game, but his first two were certainly ones to remember. He picked off QB Matt Ryan twice and QB Michael Vick once in the first two rounds of the postseason, giving him a total of eight picks including the regular season. We know that Williams is an explosive man when he gets the ball in his hands, and he has done a great job as a cover corner as well. This is also the team's punt and kick returner as well. Williams accounted for 1,010 yards between kick and punt returns on the campaign, and he is still waiting to really break his first one wide open. If he does, he could be the key to the game as well.

Clay Matthews: Matthews came out of the blocks like a house of fire this year, accounting for six sacks in his first two games. He did slow down over the course of the rest of the year, but there isn't a person that could deny that he was the defensive MVP for this team en route to Superbowl betting action this year. It almost seems like Matthews has been really, really quiet this year in the second season, but he does have 3.5 sacks and has at least gotten to the quarterback once in all three playoff games. It might not be what Matthews really does on the stat sheet either, but he is going to be able to force a lot of havoc in the backfield all night long.

Charles Woodson: Woodson is the forgotten man in the Packers' secondary, as he really hasn't had the season that he did last year when he was arguably the best player on one of the best defenses in the league. He only had two picks and two sacks this year, and he really hasn't made a huge impact like Williams or DB Sam Shields have, but he knows what it is like to play in Superbowl betting action, having done so with the Oakland Raiders against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Woodson is one of just two players on the active roster for the Packers that has Super Bowl experience, with the other being DT Ryan Pickett.

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January 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Here at Cappers Info, we've got our thumb on all of the NFL props for the biggest games of the season. Today, we are looking at the NFC Championship Game between the Chicago Bears and the Green Bay Packers, and we are making our NFL prop picks for the game. All NFL lines courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook.

James Starks Under 48.5 Rushing Yards: Pardon us for being a tad cynical, but we aren't believers that a man that all of a sudden just came onto the scene over the course of the last few weeks is going to have all that much success against one of the best ground defenses in the game, especially in a system in which he might be required to split some carries three ways. This is a tall task for a rookie to take in, and we know if Starks struggles, he might be replaced by either RB John Kuhn or RB Brandon Jackson on Sunday in the NFC Championship Game.

James Jones Under 3.5 Receptions: We know that Jones has become a more popular target of late for QB Aaron Rodgers, but we also know that there are three other receivers on this team that are grabbing all sorts of attention as well. Remember that Jones is often used as the deep threat for the Pack, and he often gets fewer looks than WR Donald Driver or WR Greg Jennings. This season, Jones only had eight games with at least four catches, and that includes the two playoff games as well. We'll take our chance that he doesn't snare four balls in this one.

Jay Cutler to Not Throw an Interception: You know, someone has to give Mr. Cutler a break one of these days, right? After all, he did have six games this season in which he didn't throw an INT, and though neither one of those came against the Packers, this prop only really needs to be victorious one out of just under three times for us to make money on it. The oddsmakers are certainly playing to the fact that you and everyone else out there hates Cutler and is convinced that he has a five pick game in him this week. He very well could, but as the Super Bowl odds have it, Cutler is more likely to not throw an INT than he is to be totally ruined by the Green Bay defense.

Devin Hester Under 60.5 Punt + Kick Return Yards: The equation for special teams this year has been really simple a good chunk of the time against the Bears. Kick the ball anywhere but to where Devin Hester is standing. The Packers didn't really do a great job listening to that this year, as Hester returned one of his three punts for a TD against the Pack in Week 3, and they did put the ball to him twice in Week 17. However, we know that there is very little chance for Hester to get his paws on a kick return, and we aren't so sure that he is going to have too many chances to bust a big one on a punt either. This one should stay under the number by a comfortable margin.

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January 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Here at Cappers Info, we've got our thumb on all of the NFL props for the biggest games of the season. Today, we are looking at the AFC Championship Game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets, and we are making our NFL prop picks for the game. All NFL lines courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook.

Mark Sanchez Under 1.5 TD Passes: Let's be real here… Are the Jets really scoring two TDs in this game? Sanchez might be an improving signal caller, but this is a significantly different challenge against a Pittsburgh defense that doesn't surrender two TDs often, let alone two TDs that both come through the air. We also know that if something happens to Sanchez, this NFL prop pick is a winner.

Ben Roethlisberger Over 21 Completions: The Steelers really do trust Big Ben, and if you want to see an example of that, just check out the fact that he put the pigskin in the air a whopping 32 times last week against one of the most ferocious defenses in the gmae. Roethlisberger had at least 21 completions five times over the course of the last eight games of the season, and we are expecting him to do enough damage in this one to be able to get to this sort of a number as well, especially if the Steelers do end up really getting challenged, if not in a spot where they might lose this game.

Dustin Keller to Not Score a TD: We know that the Steelers really haven't done a great job this year beating up on tight ends, as these are usually the men that end up having no choice but to do a ton of the grunt work, as quarterbacks usually don't have the time to get the ball up the field to their streaking receivers. However, Keller hasn't scored a TD since October 3rd, a stretch of 13 straight games that he has played in without finding the end zone. There's no reason to think that, against one of the best defenses that the game has to offer, that all of a sudden, Keller is going to find his way to pay dirt.

Rashard Mendenhall Under 72.5 Rushing Yards: We know, we can already hear your screaming. The Jets gave up 100 yards to Mendenhall on just 19 carries a month ago when these two teams met here at Heinz Field, but this just feels like a totally different matchup against a team that is really playing its best ball right now. New York knows that it has one of the best rush defenses in the league, and even though Pittsburgh generally plays a smash mouth type of a game, it isn't going to make a huge difference. The Steelers won't have 100 yards on the ground as a team, and if that's the case, there's no hope to get Mendenhall into the 70s.

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