Archive for the ‘NFL Football’ Category

January 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Here at Cappers Info, we've got our thumb on all of the NFL props for the biggest games of the season. Today, we are looking at the AFC Championship Game between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the New York Jets, and we are making our NFL prop picks for the game. All NFL lines courtesy of BetUS Sportsbook.

Mark Sanchez Under 1.5 TD Passes: Let's be real here… Are the Jets really scoring two TDs in this game? Sanchez might be an improving signal caller, but this is a significantly different challenge against a Pittsburgh defense that doesn't surrender two TDs often, let alone two TDs that both come through the air. We also know that if something happens to Sanchez, this NFL prop pick is a winner.

Ben Roethlisberger Over 21 Completions: The Steelers really do trust Big Ben, and if you want to see an example of that, just check out the fact that he put the pigskin in the air a whopping 32 times last week against one of the most ferocious defenses in the gmae. Roethlisberger had at least 21 completions five times over the course of the last eight games of the season, and we are expecting him to do enough damage in this one to be able to get to this sort of a number as well, especially if the Steelers do end up really getting challenged, if not in a spot where they might lose this game.

Dustin Keller to Not Score a TD: We know that the Steelers really haven't done a great job this year beating up on tight ends, as these are usually the men that end up having no choice but to do a ton of the grunt work, as quarterbacks usually don't have the time to get the ball up the field to their streaking receivers. However, Keller hasn't scored a TD since October 3rd, a stretch of 13 straight games that he has played in without finding the end zone. There's no reason to think that, against one of the best defenses that the game has to offer, that all of a sudden, Keller is going to find his way to pay dirt.

Rashard Mendenhall Under 72.5 Rushing Yards: We know, we can already hear your screaming. The Jets gave up 100 yards to Mendenhall on just 19 carries a month ago when these two teams met here at Heinz Field, but this just feels like a totally different matchup against a team that is really playing its best ball right now. New York knows that it has one of the best rush defenses in the league, and even though Pittsburgh generally plays a smash mouth type of a game, it isn't going to make a huge difference. The Steelers won't have 100 yards on the ground as a team, and if that's the case, there's no hope to get Mendenhall into the 70s.

 
January 20th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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We seem to think that it is pretty clear that the four teams left standing in the playoffs really aren't the best teams for NFL betting fans to back in 2010. However, with right combination of luck, skill, and timely plays, the Chicago Bears, Green Bay Packers, New York Jets, and Pittsburgh Steelers have made it to the NFL's version of the Final Four, and one of the four teams will be lifting the Lombardi Trophy in February. Which team is the best of the bunch? We make our Superbowl picks and break down the key facets to the four teams still alive in the postseason.

Ranking the Passing Games: It probably would've taken us being in a bit of a parallel universe to think that both Mark Sanchez and Jay Cutler would be in the AFC and NFC Championship Games respectively, but that's exactly what has happened. We believe that Cutler is clearly the worst of the bunch, as he really doesn't have any major targets that he can throw to on a regular basis, and he still has that problem with throwing interceptions that turns up every so often. Names like TE Greg Olsen, WR Johnny Knox, and the likes just don't scare us. Sanchez has all of a sudden won four playoff games, all on the road, in the last two seasons, and he now has double the playoff wins in his career that any Jet quarterback has in team history. There is no doubt that we would rather have the combination of WR Braylon Edwards, WR Jerricho Cotchery, WR Santonio Holmes, and TE Dustin Keller than any other group in the league, but it clearly isn't enough to make up for the fact that Sanchez isn't even a Top 15 quarterback in the NFL today. The Packers clearly have the QB du jour right now, and the reason that many are making their Super Bowl XLV picks on them is because of Aaron Rodgers. Sure, we know that there isn't a player in the league that has made more plays than Rodgers in the playoffs, as he has thrown six TDs and has yet to be picked off. He is putting on a run that is nothing like we have ever seen from a Green Bay quarterback before, something that we never thought we would saying knowing that No. 4 isn't in town anymore. Rodgers has a great crop of receivers as well, but this unit would have looked a lot better with TE Jermichael Finley in the fold. All four of Donald Driver, James Jones, Greg Jennings, and Jordy Nelson had at least 75 receiving yards last week against the Atlanta Falcons as well. Our choice though, is the Pittsburgh Steelers, and that's in spite of the fact that this offensive line looks like Swiss cheese and got Ben Roethlisberger sacked six times against the Baltimore Ravens. There is no doubt that Big Ben is the man that we want making plays for us down the stretch, and he has a fantastic crop of receivers to work with as well, most notably Hines Ward. There's no glitz and no glamour, but there are two rings for this offense to flash right now, and that's something that we cannot ignore. Super Bowl Preview for Passing Games: 1) Pittsburgh 2) Green Bay 3) New York 4) Chicago

Ranking the Running Games: There isn't much that is all that flashy about any of these four ground games on the road to Super Bowl betting action. The Packers are clearly the worst of the bunch in spite of the fact that James Starks really has come out of nowhere to put up some great numbers. However, if you fed us the football 25 times in a game, we'd be able to come up with 60 yards just like Starks did against the Falcons as well last week. Chicago is in terrible shape right now with its ground game as well, as we aren't so certain that Matt Forte really has the ability to carry a team to beat the Superbowl lines. The Jets know that Shonn Greene and LaDainian Tomlinson have all sorts of ways that they can get yards and score, and we have to remember that this is really the only team in the bunch that utilizes the Wildcat look with WR Brad Smith if he is healthy. We know that New York has the toughest matchup this week, but we tend to believe that the Jets get the nod over Rashard Mendenhall and the Steelers ground game. Don't get us wrong. We absolutely love Mendenhall and think that Pittsburgh might have had the steal of the entire NFL Draft when it got the former Illinois Fighting Illini runner late in the first round of the draft two years ago. Still, LT looks like he has found the fountain of youth, and there are just more options for Head Coach Rex Ryan and company to rely on. Superbowl XLV Preview for Rushing Games: 1) New York 2) Pittsburgh 3) Chicago 4) Green Bay

Ranking the Defenses: Now is when we're really splitting hairs, as the argument could really be made that any of these defenses could be the best in the league, or the worst of the four. One thing is for certain, and that's that we have four of the Top 5 or 6 defenses in the entire NFL here left in the second season, and this road to Super Bowl XLV betting action is going to be gritty. The Packers might be the most notable bunch on paper thanks to LB Clay Matthews and the fact that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers knows how to get after quarterbacks, but this is a unit that has really folded in close games at times this year. We know that DB Tramon Williams already has three picks, including the backbreaking pick six against the Falcons right before halftime, but there is just something about this unit that we don't like in the run to the Super Bowl. The Jets have had some stinker games as well, and we know that they can give up points in bunches at times. There isn't a more feared defense in the league than this one though, and it's really hard to argue with a unit that has kept QB Tom Brady and QB Peyton Manning, two future Hall of Famers and arguably the two best quarterbacks in the history of the NFL down to a total of 37 points in two games in the postseason. We know that Chicago has the most underrated unit in the bunch of these four, but we look at the job that these guys have done against Rodgers and the Packers this year and smile. There is a real argument that DE Julius Peppers could be the Defensive Player of the Year in spite of the fact that he only had eight sacks this year, but he is the most disruptive force in the league, bar none. LB Brian Urlacher and LB Lance Briggs know how to get this team to the Super Bowl, and they did it with QB Rex Grossman calling the shots. However, the staple of defenses in the NFL is that of the Steelers, and it isn't even close if Troy Polamalu is healthy. The former USC Trojan is all over the field 100% of the time, and there is no man that delivers more devastating blows that James Harrison. You can say that there were 22 points given up to the Jets earlier this season, but nine of those came via special teams or the offense, just as there were directly seven and indirectly three more points allowed to the Ravens last week thanks to poor play by the offense and the special teams. Preview for Super Bowl XLV Betting for Defenses: 1) Pittsburgh 2) Chicago 3) New York 4) Green Bay

 
January 17th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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In 2005, the Pittsburgh Steelers and New York Jets played an epic overtime battle in the playoffs that was separated by just a matter of inches here at Heinz Field. In that NFL betting affair, the Steelers came away with a slight three point win. Will the same be able to be said now that the stakes are even higher in the AFC Championship Game? Find out right here with our AFC Championship Game picks at Cappers Info!

Matchup: New York Jets @ Pittsburgh Steelers
Date: Sunday, January 23th, 6:30 ET
Location: Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA
Game Line: Pittsburgh -3.5
Over/Under 38

Jets Notes: If you're a fan of the Jets right now, you have to be pleased with the fact that your team is still kicking in the second season after going through the gauntlet of both QB Peyton Manning and QB Tom Brady. It is really notable that New York has held these two future Hall of Fame signal callers to just 37 points between them in two games, and seven of those points really came in garbage time at the end of the duel on Sunday against the New England Patriots. A team that was perceived to be all talk and no walk has really been proven otherwise, as for the second straight year, Head Coach Rex Ryan and company have had the game to back up their mouths. QB Mark Sanchez and his offense did a great job of taking care of the pigskin on Sunday against the Pats, not turning the ball over a single time on the afternoon. That's the type of play that got this team to the playoffs, and this is exactly what the formula was for reaching the AFC Championship Game last year. Also, in games in which New York has scored a TD this year, it only has been beaten one time, that wild loss to the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field. There aren't really anymore eye popping stats that stand out for the Jets offensively, but the defense is doing its job as well. Brady was sacked five times on Sunday, and he was constantly under pressure, especially on blitzes right up the middle. Against a Pittsburgh team that often struggles to protect its quarterback, this could be a tremendous key to the game. LB David Harris became the first man to pick off a pass from Brady since October, and you can bet that he and his defensive mates are ready to rock and roll against Big Ben and company on Sunday in Steeltown.

Steelers Notes: There are some positive signs for the Steelers to rest on coming into the AFC Championship Game, but there are a heck of a lot of negative ones as well. We've already mentioned the biggest downer, and that's that QB Ben Roethlisberger is virtually always under the gun. He was sacked six times and pressured seemingly a zillion others against the Baltimore Ravens on Saturday afternoon, and you know that the Jets are watching tape of that game and salivating right now. The ground game never really got its act together with RB Rashard Mendenhall either against the Ravens. This rushing defense is statistically stronger than that of the Ravens, though, as the Jets ranked No. 2 in the AFC and No. 3 overall in holding running backs down. In fact, the first time that they allowed a 100+ yard rusher in the Rex Ryan era was against this Pittsburgh team in Week 15. That's the brightest news that the Steelers have to look forward to in this one. Mendenhall had 19 carries for exactly 100 yards, and he gashed a ton of holes in this New York 'D' on that day, and this might set up to be another rock solid day for him as well. As always, the biggest thing that the Steelers have going for them is the fact that their defense is just downright nasty. They forced a few crucial turnovers against QB Joe Flacco and company over the weekend, and though allowing 24 points doesn't look like they had a phenomenal game, only 14 of it was the fault of the defense, as seven came directly from the offense, while another three came when Baltimore started a drive in field goal range thanks to special teams. We continue to preach how strong this team was this year against opposing ground attacks as well. Pittsburgh only allowed a miniscule 61.1 yards per game on the ground this year.

The Final Word: Hasn't this been a crazy year of NFL betting action? There is no doubt in our minds that these are not the four best teams left standing in the league this year, but these are the ones that are merely peaking at the right time. If that holds true, the Jets should be the winners in this one, as they are clearly in the best form right now in the AFC. Even if they don't walk out of the Steel City with a 'W', you'd like to think that these two are going to play a close enough game to bring that point spread into some consideration. We'll talk the Jets outright, but it wouldn't surprise us if this one came down to a last second kick or some OT, and if that's the case, we want all of the points that we can get.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York +3.5
Prediction: New York 16 – Pittsburgh 13

 
January 16th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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After splitting the first two clashes of the year, the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears will be duking it out one final time this year at Soldier Field in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday afternoon. We have all of the action covered here at Cappers Info with our NFC Championship Game picks.

Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Chicago Bears
Date: Sunday, January 23th, 3:00 ET
Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Game Line: Green Bay -3
Over/Under 44

Packers Notes: You won't find a more trendy team in NFL betting action right now than the Packers, as they have posted back to back tremendous victories in the Wild Card and Divisional rounds of the playoffs and have stormed into the NFC Championship Game as favorites. They were the trendy choice at the start of the year to win it all as well, and it almost seems like a distant memory that they had to beat these Bears in Week 17 just to get into the second season. As it is though, QB Aaron Rodgers is the hottest signal caller in the league, as he is completing 77.8 percent of his passes in the playoffs and has six TDs without throwing a pick. All four of his top receivers, Greg Jennings, Jordy Nelson, Donald Driver, and James Jones had at least 75 receiving yards against the Falcons on Saturday night, while RB James Starks had a second straight respectable game on the ground after not being heard from in the entire regular season. However, the key really has been the defense. We've always known that Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers in a genius on this side of the ball, and it is really showing this year. Capers' unit ranked No. 2 in the league in scoring at 15.0 points per game this year, and it was No. 5 overall in yardage at 309.1 yards per game. Those numbers have vastly improved in the second season. Green Bay allowed just 16 points to the Philadelphia Eagles, who had one of the best offenses in the league this year when QB Michael Vick was healthy, and it turned around just six days later and kept QB Matt Ryan, WR Roddy White, RB Michael Turner and company to just 194 total yards. The real impact play of the game was a 70 yard INT return for a TD by DB Tramon Williams. A game ball also went to LB Clay Matthews, who was arguably the best defensive player of the entire season this year. Matthews had four tackles, two sacks, and a fumble recovery as a part of the great effort against Atlanta.

Bears Notes: Are they really that lucky, or are they really that good? That's the question that has been surrounding the Bears all season long, and it is amazing that we are in the fourth weekend of January and still don't have an answer to that question. Beating up the Seattle Seahawks was nice in the Divisional round of the playoffs, but there isn't a person alive that didn't know that Head Coach Pete Carroll's men had the weakest side in the entire postseason from the get go. This was a game that was expected to be won by double digits, and that's exactly what happened. Chicago came out and dropped the first 28 points on the board before letting its foot up off the gas pedal just a tad. Though nothing was really proven, the confidence for QB Jay Cutler really has to be soaring after this one on Sunday. He threw for 274 yards and two long TDs, and he rushed for a pair of scores as well. The key though, was not turning the ball over. Chicago only had one turnover, and that was on a bad play call and poor execution on a halfback pass by RB Matt Forte. Cutler didn't play well in two games against the Packers this year, throwing for just 389 yards and one TD against two picks, and you can bet that the buzzards will once again be swarming in the Windy City about whether this is a man that can really bring this team to the Super Bowl if he doesn't have a good game against the Pack on Sunday.

The Final Word: For a good chunk of the season, we've been preaching that the Bears are a victim in NFL betting action. There really isn't a home team that should be an underdog at this juncture of the playoffs, particularly in a rivalry game like this. All you're going to hear all week long is that the Bears are a product of a weak schedule and a weak division, and that Cutler is only good enough to beat up the bad teams. Everyone will talk about how he is going to implode and throw three picks against the Packers, and how Forte won't be able to get anything going on the ground. Look, Green Bay is great. We know that. However, our first inclination in this one is that the Bears really do have the better defense. This unit really proved it this year when it held the Packers to just 27 points in two games. If Chicago flexes its muscles in this one, there is no reason that it can't go back to the Super Bowl for the second time in the tenure of Head Coach Lovie Smith.

Free NFC Championship Picks: Chicago Bears +3
NFC Championship Prediction: Chicago 20 – Green Bay 17

 
January 9th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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There has been a ton of talking between the New York Jets and the rest of the NFL, and this week, you know that there is going to be a lot of jabber going back and forth with their divisional rivals, the New England Patriots. These two teams split the NFL betting proceedings in the regular season, and today, we are taking aim at our NFL picks for the final game of the weekend.

Matchup: New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, January 15th, 4:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Game Line: New England +9
Over/Under 45.5

Jets Notes: It should be interesting to see whether the Jets are going to stick to their run first attack or not this weekend. Head Coach Rex Ryan knows that New England's pass defense can be porous (more on that in a moment), but its ground game was devastated a few times this year as well. RBs LaDainian Tomlinson and Shonn Greene probably didn't get enough carries this season, as the two only just barely exceeded 400 carries and didn't come anywhere near 500 total touches as expected. However, in that first playoff game, they had 35 carries and 39 total touches for 152 yards combined (169 if you include Tomlinson's 17 receiving yards), and LT ended up with two TDs, both of which came in the second half of the win against the Indianapolis Colts. The confidence level for QB Mark Sanchez really could have been shattered in the first half of that game, as he was picked off in the end zone to ensure that New York would be shut out in the first 30 minutes. However, when all of the marbles were really on the line in the fourth quarter with less than a minute to play, Ryan called Sanchez's number, letting him throw the ball to WR Braylon Edwards on the final offensive play of the game. The ball was complete, and K Nick Folk ended up with a significantly easier job to win the game. The Jets know that they did a fantastic job keeping Indy down to just 16 first downs and 312 total yards on the day, but their defense is going to have to put forth an even better effort to hold the Pats to such numbers on Saturday.

Patriots Notes: New England has confidence coming into this one, knowing that it scored 45 points in a complete romp when these two teams met up at Gillette Stadium earlier this year. It knows that it has an offense that is, without a shadow of a doubt, the best in the NFL. For the last eight weeks of the season, there were definitely some shades of the undefeated regular season, as the Pats scored at least 31 points in all of their games to bump up their scoring average for the year beyond 32 points per game. QB Tom Brady is, without a shadow of a doubt, the league's MVP this year, as he threw for 36 TDs against just four picks and threw for 3,900 yards. Though his numbers don't necessarily suggest it, Brady probably had just as good of a season this year as in that perfect season in which he threw 50 TD passes and broke virtually every record in the books. He could be hampered if TE Aaron Hernandez is kept out of the lineup in this one, as Hernandez was one of the top pass catchers on this team and made a great sidekick for fellow rookie TE Rob Gronkowski. The two had almost 90 catches this year and had 16 TDs. The difference between this year and in 2007 is that RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis is a legitimate superstar on the ground. He had 1,008 yards and 13 TDs this year, and he had a great complement in RB Danny Woodhead. The problem, if there is one, is that aforementioned defense, which ranked just No. 25 in the league at 366.5 yards per game and was third to last in the league in pass defense at 258.5 yards per game. Still, New England overcame that all season this year and only had two losses, though one of the two did come against these Jets.

The Final Word: Be very, very careful, New England. The layoff might not be what the doctor ordered for the perceived best team in the NFL. New York is the real deal, and there is a reason that this team won two more games in the regular season this year than it did last season. Eleven wins teams don't go down without a fight in the playoffs, and you can bet that this is going to be no exception. The Jets could pull off the tremendous upset in this game as well, just like they did last year against the San Diego Chargers in this exact same spot.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York Jets +9
Prediction: New York 20 – New England 19

 
January 7th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Philadelphia Eagles and the Green Bay Packers have already met once this year here in the City of Brotherly Love, and on that day, the visitors scored a 27-20 victory. However, the Eagles made a huge stand that day and nearly erased a three score deficit. The two are going to have at it again this Sunday to wrap up the first round of NFL betting action in Wild Card Weekend.

Matchup: Green Bay Packers @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 4:30 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Game Line: Philadelphia -2.5
Over/Under 46.5

Packers Notes: About the only thing that has really changed for the Packers since Week 1 is that RB Ryan Grant hasn't been in the lineup. He suffered his season ending injury in that game against the Eagles and has not been heard from since. RB Brandon Jackson really didn't cut it as his replacement, rushing for just over 700 yards on the year. The argument could be made that QB Aaron Rodgers was the league's MVP this year, as he really put this team on his back and carried it to the postseason in the face of adversity. Rodgers threw for 3,922 yards and 28 TDs this year against just 11 picks, and he was the man responsible for winning these last two must win games of the year to get the Pack into the playoffs. He turned WR Greg Jennings into a Pro Bowler this year, as he caught 76 passes for 1,265 yards and 12 TDs. WRs James Jones and Jordy Nelson both replaced a struggling and aging Donald Driver, though all three had at least 565 yards and 45 receptions this year. The real key to this team is the defense, which was one of the best in the NFL this year. LB Clay Matthews might be the Defensive Player of the Year after he picked up 13.5 sacks on the season. Green Bay ranked No. 5 in the land in total 'D' at 309.1 yards per game and No. 2 in scoring at 15.0 points per game. Though there were some shoddy games, there were some absolutely fantastic ones as well. The Packers held a whopping six foes to seven points or fewer this year, and the only team to score more than 26 points on this unit all season long was the New England Patriots, and QB Matt Flynn was forced to start in that game.

Eagles Notes: The difference between this NFL betting affair and the one in Week 1 for the Eagles is that the signal caller starting the day will not be QB Kevin Kolb. Instead, QB Michael Vick has turned himself into an MVP candidate, and a surefire Comeback Player of the Year winner. Vick, who was only in prison just two years ago at this time, came back this year to throw for 3,018 yards and rush for 676 more. Had you prorated his numbers over a full 16 game season, Vick would have thrown for 4,024 yards and 28 TDs and rushed for 901 yards and 12 scores on the ground, and he surely would be the owner of the league's most illustrious individual award. Alas, injuries and some shoddy coaching at times by Head Coach Andy Reid kept him on the bench for far too long. When Vick was in the lineup, this team averaged over 400 yards per game, and the unit would have averaged 33.8 points per game, both numbers of which would have been No. 1 in the league. Watch out for WR DeSean Jackson, as he led the NFL in yards per reception with 22.5. He had 47 catches for 1,056 yards and six TDs, and he also had 104 yards and a TD on the ground and 231 yards and a TD while returning punts. WR Jeremy Maclin had 70 catches for 964 yards and 10 TDs. On the ground, RB LeSean McCoy was one of the most underrated backs in the league. he had 1,080 yards and seven TDs as a runner, and he led the team with 78 receptions, accounting for 592 yards and two more TDs as a receiver. The Philly defense is suspect in spite of the fact that DB Asante Samuel ranked No. 2 in the NFL with seven picks. This unit allowed 326.8 yards and 23.6 points per game.

The Final Word: The Packers are a trendy selection both here and for the right to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl this year, but we tend to disagree. Beating the same team twice in the same season on the road both times has to be one of the hardest things to do in the NFL. The Eagles have learned their lesson, and Vick and company are sure to be pulling out the 'W' in front of their hometown crowd.

Free Pro Football Picks: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Prediction: Philadelphia 27 – Green Bay 20

 
January 7th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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There might not have been a more improbable team in the playoffs this year than the Kansas City Chiefs. They were one of the longest shots on the board to win their division regardless of what division you were talking about in football, but they are laughing last. KC beat the NFL odds all year long, and now it has to overcome some awfully long Super Bowl odds this week to take care of the Baltimore Ravens, who have become known as killers to home teams in the AFC playoffs.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Sunday, January 9th, 1:00 ET
Location: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO
Game Line: Baltimore -3
Over/Under 40.5

Ravens Notes: Over the course of the last two seasons, the Ravens have really done well in the playoffs, taking care of a number of teams en route to the AFC Divisional round of the playoffs and the AFC Championship Game in back to back years. This is the third year in a row that they are going to have to win three road games if they want to play for the Lombardi Trophy. The argument could be made that this is the best team that the Ravens have put together in a number of seasons, and that might even include the Super Bowl squad. QB Joe Flacco is one of the best up and coming signal callers in the league, and he proved it this year by throwing for 3,622 yards and 25 TDs against just 10 picks on the season. He has a great crop of receivers to work with as well, as WR Derrick Mason, WR Anquan Boldin, WR TJ Houshmanzadeh, and the always dependable TE Todd Heap were all great this year. RB Ray Rice was also used as a pass catching option quite a bit, 63 times to be exact. Rice had 556 yards through the air and 1,223 more on the ground, and though he only had six scores for the season, we know that he can go off for a tremendous game at the drop of a hat. Boldin, Mason, and Heap all also hit the 600 yard barrier this year. Boldin and Mason had nearly identical numbers, as the two combined for 125 receptions, 1,639 yards, and 14 trips to the end zone. Defensively, things really changed when S Ed Reed came back into the lineup. He has eight picks this year, which led the league, and he missed the first six weeks of the year on the PUP list. As always, LB Ray Lewis is one of the best in the biz as well, as he had a pair of picks, a pair of sacks, a pair of fumble recoveries, and a team high 102 tackles on the year. Needless to say, he and several of his teammates on this side of the ball will be playing in the Pro Bowl this year.

Chiefs Notes: Arrowhead Stadium has become a real house of horrors for the opposition this year, as the only team to come in here and pull out a victory was the Oakland Raiders. However, what we have to remember is that there was only one team that this team beat all season long that finished above .500, and the 'W' against the San Diego Chargers came way back in Week 1. In fact, there was only one other team that even finished this year above .500 on this entire slate, and the Chiefs lost to the Indianapolis Colts by 10. The good news for KC is that it has a great mold for winning games. Run the ball, and play great defense. The 'D' has some real stars on it this year, and the addition of S Eric Berry has clearly made a big difference. DE Tamba Hali is headed to the Pro Bowl as well after he picked up 14.5 sacks on the campaign. Offensively, the team averaged 164.2 yards per game on the ground this year, led by RB Jamaal Charles. The former University of Texas standout averaged a league high 6.4 yards per carry this year, and he had 1,467 yards and five TDs this year. Don't forget about RB Thomas Jones either, who had 896 yards and six TDs. When QB Matt Cassel has to put the ball in the air, he generally does well, though he is coming off of the worst game of his career against the Oakland Raiders. Cassel threw for 3,116 yards and 27 TDs against seven picks this year, one of the best TD/INT ratios in the league. WR Dwayne Bowe led the NFL in receiving TDs with 15, and he had 72 catches for 1,162 yards in 2010.

The Final Word: Kansas City has been a nice story this year, but this team is nothing more than smoke and mirrors. The Chiefs really haven't done anything but beat the teams that they were supposed to beat this year, and unfortunately for them, this isn't a team that they are supposed to beat. Going on the road isn't going to intimidate the Ravens, and unfortunately for the hosts, they are going to be the next team in line that had no business getting in their way. Quoth the Ravens: Never score. Don't be shocked if this one gets very, very ugly.

Free Pro Football Picks: Baltimore -3
Prediction: Baltimore 17 – Kansas City 6

 
January 7th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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If you listen to Head Coach Rex Ryan, the New York Jets think that this battle against the Indianapolis Colts is one that is personal on Saturday night. These two behemoths will square off at Lucas Oil Field, where they are going to be slugging it out with one another in the 3/6 battle in the AFC side of the playoffs. Check out our NFL playoff picks for this one!

Matchup: New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Saturday, January 8th, 8:00 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Game Line: Indianapolis -2.5
Over/Under 44.5

Jets Notes: This was supposed to be a season for the Jets in which they won the AFC East, earned a first round bye in the playoffs, played two home playoff games, and captured the Super Bowl. The media hype in the Big Apple is tremendous here, and there will be a lot of pressure on Ryan's shoulders to perform next season if New York doesn't at least get out of the first round of the playoffs. QB Mark Sanchez has improved, but we are still questioning whether he really has the ability to win as a quarterback in this league without a ton of help. He only completed 54.8 percent of his passes this year for 3,278 yards, and though his TD/INT ratio improved, 17/13 in that category is really nothing to write home about. He does have a great crop of backs and receivers, and a stellar offensive line around him, though. The combo of WR Santonio Holmes, WR Braylon Edwards, and TE Dustin Keller is one of the most talented trios in the league, and all three had averaged over 750 yards and 54 receptions apiece. On the ground, we tend to think that New York upgraded by trading in last year's rushing duo of RB Thomas Jones and RB Leon Washington for RB LaDainian Tomlinson and RB Shonn Greene. Greene was probably a bit disappointing with just 766 yards and two TDs this year, but LT proved that he still has some legs, rushing for 906 yards and catching 52 passes for 355 yards, totaling six scores. Defensively, this team can still cause opponents fits, as New York comes into the postseason ranking No. 3 against the rush at just 90.9 yards per game allowed and No. 3 overall at 291.4 yards per game allowed. Giving up 19.0 points per game shows that there have been some chinks in the armor, but when push came to shove this year, the Jets held seven foes to 14 points or fewer.

Colts Notes: QB Peyton Manning certainly wasn't the league's MVP this year, but if he is going to win the Super Bowl this season, he is going to have to put on a fantastic face and put this team on his back to do so. We know that this defense has improved just a tad this year, but there is still no excuse for a playoff team that is hoping to really win the Super Bowl to allow 341.6 yards and 24.2 points per game. The ground game is one of the worst in the league as well at just 92.7 yards per game, though we know that the combination of RB Joseph Addai and RB Dominic Rhodes has played relatively well in recent weeks. It's all up to Peyton though, and he knows it. He led the No. 1 ranked passing attack in the game this year at 288.1 yards per game, and he broke the single season record for most completions in a season with 450. Manning won't have either WR Austin Collie or TE Dallas Clark to work with, but there is still something to be said about how good TE Jacob Tamme, WR Pierre Garcon, and particularly WR Reggie Wayne have been this year. Wayne led the AFC in receptions with 111, and he had 1,355 yards and six scores to show for his work. He was also the only other skill position player, outside of Manning, that played in more than 14 games this year. Garcon had 67 catches and 786 yards in 14 games, while Tamme, who only took over as a starter seven games into the year, had 67 receptions for 631 yards and four TDs. Manning ended the year with 33 scores on the campaign, but he had 17 picks as well that proved to be real eyesores.

The Final Word: Though this sort of feels like the same type of mountain for the Jets to climb this year, the results aren't quite going to be the same. New York clearly has a better team than it did last year, and though it doesn't look this way statistically, it does reflect in the wins and losses. Don't be surprised if the Jets put their money where their head coach's mouth is and come away with an upset to avenge last season's loss in the AFC Championship Game.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York Jets +2.5
Prediction: New York 26 – Indianapolis 21

 
January 7th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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It might be one of the great mismatches of our time in the NFL playoffs, and it might be one of the most sterling upsets in the history of the league. We clearly have a David vs. Goliath situation on our hands on Saturday afternoon at Qwest Field in NFL betting action, as the defending Super Bowl champs, the New Orleans Saints, take on the only team in major sports to win a division and get into the playoffs with a sub-.500 record, the Seattle Seahawks.

Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks
Date: Saturday, January 8th, 4:30 ET
Location: Qwest Field, Seattle, WA
Game Line: New Orleans -10.5
Over/Under 44.5

Saints Notes: Pretty much everything here is in the favor of the Saints in this one, as they are really in a great spot. They were a great road team this year at 6-2, and they know that they can beat some of the best teams in the land; a road win over the Atlanta Falcons, the top seed in the NFC playoffs proved that from a few weeks ago. Still, there are questions surrounding the running game, which is essentially going to be a cut and paste mish mosh between RB Julius Jones and RB Reggie Bush. The two only had about 300 rushing yards on the year between them, but the rest of the running backs in this core are all on IR. That means that the pressure is on the lap of QB Drew Brees, who really does have the chance to be a hero for the city of New Orleans for the second straight year. He threw for 4,620 yards and 31 TDs this year, and his only bugaboo is 22 INTs. The trio of wide outs on this squad, Marques Colston, Lance Moore, and Robert Meachem is one of the best in the land, as these three combined for almost 200 receptions, over 2,400 yards, and 20 TDs between them. Where New Orleans has really improved from last season is defensively. This unit is no longer a liability, as it ranked No. 4 in the league in total 'D' at 306.2 yards per game and No. 7 in scoring at 19.2 points per game. We also know that without the terrible efforts of the special teams and the overabundance of turnovers by Brees, this unit could have allowed even as few as 14 or so points per night.

Seahawks Notes: Short of some fantastic prayers, great special teams play, and the resurgence of either an offense or a defense that really hasn't been around all season long, the Seahawks certainly look like they are going to have a very short stay in the second season this year. It isn't often that you see a team rank No. 28 overall in offense and No. 27 overall in defense and still make the playoffs, but then again, you don't normally see a team that is 6-9 controlling its own destiny for the postseason going into the last week of the regular season. The good news is that QB Matt Hasselbeck is back, and he already knows what it takes to bring his team to the Super Bowl. He threw for 3,001 yards and 12 TDs against 17 picks this season, one which will surely be one of the last of his career. Hasselbeck loves looking for WR Mike Williams, a former USC Trojan just like Head Coach Pete Carroll. Williams really has revived his career this year, catching 65 passes for 751 yards and a pair of scores. The problem is that there isn't another receiver with even 40 catches or even 500 yards on the season, and no one had more than four TDs as a receiver. To make matters worse, the rushing game ranked dead last in the conference and second to last in the NFL. RB Marshawn Lynch came over to Seattle early in the year, but he only averaged 3.5 yards per carry and had just 573 yards and six TDs to show for his work. RB Justin Forsett had just 523 yards and two TDs.

The Final Word: Though it would be a great story to see Seattle spring the upset, we just don't see any way that the Saints are doing anything but winning this game by at least three TDs. This is the big time right now, and there aren't going to be any letdowns from New Orleans' perspective. Brees knows that he just has to be good and doesn't have to force things. If that's the case, this should be an easy romp through Qwest Field in what could be another run to the Super Bowl for the fantastic Saints.

Free Pro Football Picks: New Orleans -10.5
Prediction: New Orleans 38 – Seattle 10

 
December 30th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 17 picks…

Oakland Raiders (+3.5) @ Kansas City Chiefs – Can you say, "Motivation?" The Raiders have it. The Chiefs don't. The only thing that KC really has to play for is the difference between being the No. 3 and the No. 4 seed, and the truth of the matter is that it is far more important to stay healthy and get ready for either the New York Jets, Baltimore Ravens, or Pittsburgh Steelers next week. QB Jason Campbell and company are trying to save the job of Head Coach Tom Cable. They might get the job done by finishing at .500 this year. Oakland +3.5

Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-3.5) – Sure, I know that QB Tom Brady isn't playing much, if at all this week, but this is still QB Chad Henne on the other side of the field. I could care less whether it's Tom Brady or Tom Cruise under center. If this one is anything like the last meeting, the special teams will cover this spread for the Pats. Go with New England -3.5.

Tennessee Titans (+9.5) @ Indianapolis Colts – The Titans found a way to hit the backdoor a few weeks ago against the Colts, and there is no reason to think that they might not be able to do it again. Don't be shocked if QB Peyton Manning is looking at the scoreboard for the Jacksonville Jaguars game. If the Jags are losing handily, Manning is inevitably going to be taking himself out of this game. I'll play the odds with Tennessee +9.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+3) @ Houston Texans – Haven't Houston fans suffered enough this year? If there is a football god watching over this team, the Jags are going to win this game to help put Head Coach Gary Kubiak out of his misery. QB Trent Edwards has to be smirking right now that he has a chance to take this team to the playoffs and potentially the Super Bowl, while his former team, the Buffalo Bills are just sitting there thinking about draft picks for next year. If Tim Tebow can throw for three bills against this secondary, so can Edwards. Jacksonville +3.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cleveland Browns (+6) – Don't kid yourself in this one. The Steelers are in a lot of trouble if S Troy Polamalu doesn't play. This is the whole season for the Browns, who are one of the teams that might be playing for the job of their head coach next year. Cleveland finished up last year in good shape, and it might be able to pull it off again in this one. Remember that QB Colt McCoy played relatively well the first time around when these teams met, and that was his first career start. The Browns might not win it outright, but Cleveland +6 is still the easy choice for me.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5) – The Ravens are just too strong to be taken down in this game with so much on the line. It might not ultimately mean anything, and as a result, there might be some changes in the lineup earlier than the end of the game, but before Baltimore turns out the lights in this one, it will have a comfortable enough lead for it to not make a difference. Baltimore -9.5

Minnesota Vikings (+3) @ Detroit Lions – Blah. Whatever. The Vikes looked good last week, and it still seems like there is an ethical issue with laying points with the Lions. Minnesota +3.

New York Giants @ Washington Redskins (+4) – The Giants might be the team that is looking forward to the playoffs with a win and some potential help this week, but this just feels like a situation where QB Eli Manning completes one too many passes to DB DeAngelo Hall… Sexy Rexy, QB Rex Grossman gets the job done and eliminates Big Blue, potentially putting Head Coach Tom Coughlin at risk. Washington +4

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-10) – What a sucker set of NFL odds this is from the oddsmakers… Green Bay is absolutely going to demolish the Bears in this one, whether they rest their starters or not. QB Aaron Rodgers gets to the 4,000 yard barrier and blows out Chicago to get into the second season by a comfortable margin. Green Bay -10 for me.

Carolina Panthers (+14.5) @ Atlanta Falcons – This would be the biggest collapse in the history of the world as we know it if the Falcons end up having to go on the road for the playoffs this year. It won't happen, but it could be a lot more interesting than Head Coach Mike Smith really wanted. Take Carolina +14.5 and don't be so shocked if this ends up being a lot closer than the NFL lines suggest.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+7.5) @ New Orleans Saints – This could be the biggest game that the Bucs have played in quite some time, and even though it probably won't ultimately mean anything, it would be huge to end this year with ten wins one way or the other. There are too many offensive pieces to the puzzle out of the lineup in this one for the Saints to beat this type of a number. They'll probably win this one SU, but Tampa Bay +7.5 is the right side.

Arizona Cardinals (+5.5) @ San Francisco 49ers – Head Coach Jim Tomsula came into San Fran as the new man in charge and promptly guaranteed victory against the Cards this week. You know what that means, right? Arizona +5.5 is a mortal lock.

San Diego Chargers @ Denver Broncos (+3.5) – It would only be fitting for the Chargers to go out with a fizzle this year. This was just the team that you hated to see underachieve all season long, and this is the type of team through college that QB Tim Tebow just destroyed. Don't be shocked if he does it again. Go with Denver +3.5 for one of the upsets of the day.

St. Louis Rams (-3) @ Seattle SeahawksRemember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! QB Charlie Whitehurst is really going to be playing in a de facto playoff game? Really? Let's get realistic here. The Seahawks can't possibly head to the postseason with this guy at the helm. QB Sam Bradford and Head Coach Steve Spagnuolo really deserve this division title this year even though they are only going to finish at .500. That's still a tremendously marked improvement from a team that won just one game a year ago. St. Louis -3

Official Week 17 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs (-3.5)
Miami Dolphins @ New England Patriots (-3.5)
Tennessee Titans @ Indianapolis Colts (-9.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Houston Texans (-3)
Pittsburgh Steelers (-6) @ Cleveland Browns
Cincinnati Bengals @ Baltimore Ravens (-9.5)
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions (-3)
New York Giants (-4) @ Washington Redskins
Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-10)
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons (-14.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ New Orleans Saints (-7.5)
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers (-5.5)
San Diego Chargers (-3.5) @ Denver Broncos
St. Louis Rams (-3) @ Seattle Seahawks