Posts Tagged ‘NFL betting’

December 15th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The season could very well be on the line for both the San Diego Chargers and the San Francisco 49ers when the two square off at LP Field on Thursday Night Football this week. Check out our NFL free picks for the duel between these two AFC South rivals, as they both try to close a bit of ground on the Jacksonville Jaguars for the division lead.

Matchup: San Francisco 49ers @ San Diego Chargers
Date: Thursday, December 16th, 8:20 ET
Location: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA
Game Line: San Diego -9.5
Over/Under 44.5

49ers Notes: The 49ers kept their season alive last week by knocking off the Seattle Seahawks in a big time way, but Head Coach Mike Singletary knows that there is still plenty of work to be done in order to get into the playoffs as the NFC West champs. Not only is San Fran going to need to win out, but it is probably going to need both the St. Louis Rams and Seattle Seahawks to lose twice in these last three to get the job done as well. A loss here isn't a total eliminator, as the playoffs would still potentially be in sight as long as both the Rams and Seahawks don't win on Sunday, but it would certainly be a devastating thought to be one game back of two teams with just two to play. Singletary pushed the right button last week in letting QB Alex Smith get the nod under center, as he threw for 255 yards and three TDs in arguably his best game of the season. He is going to have to get both TE Vernon Davis and WR Michael Crabtree into the game more often than they are used to right now. These two are both Pro Bowl caliber players, but their numbers don't quite warrant it yet. Davis has 49 catches for 744 yards and six scores, while Crabtree is at 42 grabs for 555 yards and five TDs. The key to holding down the San Diego offense though, is going to be the running game, which has really lacked since RB Frank Gore broke his hip. RB Brian Westbrook did have a nice game last week, but the majority of his damage came as a receiver, not as a runner. Defensively, we know that LB Patrick Willis is one of the best in the game, as he has 83 tackles and five sacks this season. Forcing turnovers can be difficult for this team at times, as 19 in 13 games just isn't good enough at this point. Starting G Mike Iupati is questionable with a shoulder injury, and a very thin, yet very solid offensive line cannot afford for him to be out of the fold.

Chargers Notes: Just like San Fran, San Diego did what it had to do last week in beating the Kansas City Chiefs to get back within one game in the AFC West. However, just like with the Niners, the Chargers are going to need to win out and get some help, at least in the form of one more, and potentially two more losses by the men in red and gold. A loss could end any hope of getting into the second season, as it would take an absolutely perfect storm to get San Diego in at that point. For a team that is managing 135 yards and eight points per game more than their foes, the Chargers sure are struggling just to find victories this year. Without a dominating running back to turn to, the ball is going to rest on the right arm of QB Philip Rivers in this one as it has all season long. Rivers is going to become a 4,000 yard passer on the season this week, as he has 3,868 yards and 26 TDs against 11 INTs. His top target has been TE Antonio Gates, who has 50 catches for 782 yards and ten TDs. However, he really hasn't had any consistent threats to throw to all year long, as none of his other targets, save backup TE Randy McMichael, have played in more than ten games this year. Even now, Gates is listed as doubtful on the injury report with a foot injury, and if he can't go in this one, there won't be a target with more than 500 receiving yards in the starting lineup. WR Vincent Jackson is back, but he only has two catches for 29 yards in his two starts. Defensively, this might be the most talented unit in the game, even with the departure of LB Shawne Merriman. LB Kevin Burnett and LB Shaun Phillips probably headline the best linebacking corps in the league. Phillips has ten sacks and 40 tackles for the year, while Burnett is the leader in tackles with 64, has five sacks, two picks, and a defensive TD to show for his work on the year.

The Final Word: This seems like a great spot for the Chargers, as San Fran has underachieved all season long. However, this is the final home game in a very disappointing season for the Bolts, and the pressure is really on HC Norv Turner to win this game. The Niners know that they still have a lifeline left, but they are going to do everything that they can to make sure that they keep this one interesting for the full 60 minutes.

Free Pro Football Picks: San Francisco +9.5
Prediction: San Diego 24 – San Francisco 19

 
December 11th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Playoff dreams could be realized and could be smashed on Monday Night Football this week, and here at Cappers Info, we have all of the best news and notes to be able to make your NFL picks in the duel between the Baltimore Ravens and Houston Texans this week.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ Houston Texans
Date: Monday, December 13th, 8:30 ET
Location: Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX
Game Line: Houston +3
Over/Under 46

Ravens Notes: This just seems like it is destined to be another one of those years where the Ravens have to come through a very tough path on the road if they want to make it to the Super Bowl, and as a result, it will probably be yet another year in which they fall just short of the biggest game of the season. Baltimore really should have had the AFC North on lockdown last week, but it let the Pittsburgh Steelers back into the game and eventually let them win it at the death. Now, instead of having a one game lead with the tiebreaker with four to play, the Ravens are one back and are probably in a position to lose the tiebreaker with four to play. The good news is that a win in this one leaves them two games up on safety for the last Wild Card spot in the AFC, thus they'll be in great shape to make the second season. However, a loss could open up Pandora's Box for all sorts of teams to feel like they have a chance at swiping that last bid to the playoffs, including these Texans. QB Joe Flacco is just a few passes away from being a 3,000 yard passer this year, and he should be in for a field day against a very suspect Houston secondary. WR Anquan Boldin already has 770 yards and seven TDs as a receiver this year, and he will be the prime focus for the offensive assault on Monday night. RB Ray Rice is a real dual threat, as he is the top rusher for the team with 847 yards and three TDs, and he is second on the team in receptions with 49 and fourth in yards at 410. Watch for WR Derrick Mason, who has 47 receptions and 598 yards this year, as this could be the biggest game of his season. No analysis of the Ravens would be complete without talking about LB Ray Lewis, SS Ed Reed, and this defense, though. This unit has played awesome ball for the majority of the year, as the unit is allowing just 305.8 yards and 16.8 points per game.

Texans Notes: Last season, the Texans were in this very familiar spot at this juncture of the season, and they probably needed a lot more help than this to get into the playoffs for the first time in franchise history. Houston did its job last year, running the table to finish 9-7, but it still was the first team left out of the playoffs, as the New York Jets stole that last spot on the last day of the season. Things seem to be gloomy, especially knowing that this is a very, very tough schedule down the stretch, but it's not all that bad for the Texans. They need to win out and get one more loss out of the winner of the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Indianapolis Colts battle next week, and that will most likely get the job done and win the division for the first time ever. However, on the darker side of things, a loss will make it virtually impossible to win the AFC South, as catching the Colts and Jags from two back, and perhaps three back, with just three to play is going to be a task too tough to tame. If Head Coach Gary Kubiak does end up getting fired at the end of this season, he can look back at his secondary and wonder why this unit was just so downright horrible this year. There really hasn't been enough consistent pressure on opposing quarterbacks, as only really DE Mario Williams has any substantial numbers this year, and that has let QBs just sit in the pocket and pick the Texans apart. This unit ranks dead last in the league at 287.4 yards per game, and this is why this team has allowed at least 24 points to all but one foe this year. Offensively, we know that QB Matt Schaub, WR Andre Johnson, and RB Arian Foster are all potential Pro Bowlers this year, as all three are amongst the best at their trade in the game. Foster is arguably the most valuable player on this team, as he has 1,230 yards on the ground and 479 more as a receiver, and he has 15 total TDs on the season.

The Final Word: Houston is in a bad spot in this one, as the Ravens really can do anything that these please against this unit. The spirit of the fans at Reliant Stadium will be broken early, and when that happens and the crowd turns against Kubiak and company, things could get really, really ugly. Don't be shocked if this one turns into a romp and if Kubiak gets a pink slip shortly after the game for it.

Free Pro Football Picks: Baltimore -3
Prediction: Baltimore 31 – Houston 10

 
December 8th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The season could very well be on the line for both the Tennessee Titans and the Indianapolis Colts when the two square off at LP Field on Thursday Night Football this week. Check out our NFL free picks for the duel between these two AFC South rivals, as they both try to close a bit of ground on the Jacksonville Jaguars for the division lead.

Matchup: Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans
Date: Thursday, December 9th, 8:20 ET
Location: LP Field, Nashville, TN
Game Line: Tennessee +3
Over/Under 45

Colts Notes: If anyone has seen the real QB Peyton Manning floating around, please let us know. This imposter that has thrown 11 picks over the course of the last three games clearly isn't the man that is getting into No. 18's jersey in blue and white on a weekly basis right now. The mass majority of the time, Manning is putting up numbers and making plays like a real MVP. However, there are just those moments when he uncharacteristically tries putting the ball into traffic, and more often than not, those balls are getting intercepted. Two of those were returned for touchdowns last week by the Dallas Cowboys, and the final one of the four set up the game winning score in overtime. Manning needs 291 yards to crack the 4,000 yard barrier on the season. There are more injury woes now for Manning and his offense to worry about as well. RB Mike Hart came back to the lineup for one week, but an ankle injury is almost certainly going to sideline him. Parlay that with the ineffectiveness of both RB Javarris James and RB Donald Brown, and the necessity was there to go sign an old friend. Manning welcomes back RB Dominic Rhodes this week after his time with the Orlando Tuskers in the UFL was complete. WR Pierre Garcon and WR Austin Collie are probably both out as well this week, which will call WR Blair White into more action. If there's good news for Indy, it is that it will probably ultimately control its own destiny to win the AFC South and to get into the playoffs, though another divisional defeat will clearly shift the balance of power over to the Jags once and for all. The Colts are one back of Jacksonville right now, and they can avenge an earlier season loss when the two meet up one last time this month.

Titans Notes: There aren't many teams that can say that they are still in the playoff race in spite of the fact that they are 5-7, but if the Titans don't get things worked out right now, they are certainly finished, as they will be at least two games back, if not three by the time the week is over, with just three games to play. HC Jeff Fisher is clearly in some trouble and might have some questions that he needs to answer very, very soon in the Music City, as another loss would once again keep his squad out of the postseason, which could result in his firing. And for good reason! Last week, the Titans scored just six points at home in a divisional game against said Jaguars, marking the second straight game in which they did not score a touchdown. In fact, the last time this team found the end zone was on a punt return for a score by Marc Mariani. The last time the offense scored was over 13 quarters ago, easily the longest stretch for any team in the NFL this season. Things aren't necessarily getting better either, as QB Kerry Collins was the man that was responsible for that six game losing streak to start the season off last year. RB Chris Johnson, at least on paper, should have a great game against the Colts and their porous rush defense, but we just aren't so sure. Johnson is over the 1,000 yard mark this year with 1,026 yards, but he has only rushed for 58 yards on 20 carries with no scores over the last two weeks. Tennessee has lost five games in a row both SU and ATS, easily one of the worst stretches that this team has had in the illustrious coaching tenure of Fisher.

The Final Word: Conventional wisdom suggests that the Colts are finally going to rebound and get off the mat in the first meeting of these division foes this year. However, we just aren't so sure that's the case. We think that this is the game that Johnson really shines, and if he can get going on the ground and keep Manning off the field and make him pay for any potential mistakes, the Titans have a real shot in this one. Don't be surprised if Fisher outfoxes the Colts in this one and pulls out a tremendous victory from his hat that would absolutely cripple the season for the visitors.

Free Pro Football Picks: Tennessee +3
Prediction: Tennessee 24 – Indianapolis 23

 
December 5th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Coming into Week 13, the New York Jets and New England Patriots were tied for the best record in the NFL at 9-2, and they are the only two in the AFC with these marks. They'll meet on Monday Night Football in one of the most highly anticipated clashes of the entire regular season. The winner will have the inside track to the No. 1 seed in the playoffs in the AFC, while the loser knows that there is a lot of work and help that needs to be done and had to avoid having to play three road games to get to the Super Bowl this winter.

Matchup: New York Jets @ New England Patriots
Date: Monday, December 6th, 8:30 ET
Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
Game Line: New England -3.5
Over/Under 45


Jets Notes: New York could argue that it has the upper hand in this game due to the fact that it has already proven that it is good enough to beat up the Pats at home this year. The 28-14 win was a thing of beauty, especially for QB Mark Sanchez, who threw for 220 yards and three TDs, but more importantly, no picks. Those INTs have really come back to bite him in the rear in recent weeks, as all eight of his mistakes have come in that stretch, but the Jets have been able to survive that with just one defeat. "The Sanchise" has guided the men in green to five wins without a defeat on the road this year, and his numbers are significantly better in Year No. 2 than they were when he was a rookie last campaign. Sanchez has completed 55.2 percent of his pass attempts for 2,459 yards and 16 scores against eight INTs. He also has significantly more weapons to work with this year. WR Braylon Edwards had a full year of camp to work with Sanchez this year, and he has 35 receptions for 618 yards and a team high six scores to show for it, while second year TE Dustin Keller is really emerging as a sophomore in the ranks of the NFL as well with 39 catches for 528 yards and five TDs. WR Santonio Holmes has at least five catches in five straight games, while WR Jerricho Cotchery should be back in the fold this week after sitting out the last two with an injured groin. Add into the mix the fact that RB LaDainian Tomlinson has 45 catches for 316 yards, and it is clear that Sanchez has a ton to work with. Tomlinson is also the team's leader on the ground with 733 yards and five scores, but he hasn't averaged even four yards per carry on the ground for a game since Week 5 in the season. RB Shonn Greene has been a big disappointment this year at just 575 yards and one TD.

Patriots Notes: Just as the Jets have been perfect on the road this year, so too, have the Pats been perfect at home. New England is 5-0 at Gillette Stadium this season, including tough home wins against the Indianapolis Colts and the Baltimore Ravens. Statistically, Head Coach Bill Belichick knows that he has been fortunate this year, as his team continues to find ways to win games in spite of the fact that his defense ranks No. 31 overall at 399.1 yards per game and dead last against the pass at 288.5 yards per game. The offense is uncharacteristically getting outdone by 50 yards per game, and there isn't a category on this side of the ball in which this team has been dominating… except where it really counts. On the scoreboard, New England has put up 30.4 points per game, easily tops in the league. QB Tom Brady is putting up numbers making him worthy of MVP consideration this season. He has completed 66.3 percent of his passes for 2,703 yards with 23 scores against just four INTs. Half of those four picks came in Week 2 though, against these very same Jets. Brady has done a great job spreading the football around, as he has six different receivers on his team that have at least 230 yards and 18 receptions this year. As always, his leading target is WR Wes Welker, who has 65 catches for 592 yards and six scores. TE Rob Gronkowski is starting to get involved a lot more of late, as he has really replaced TE Aaron Hernandez as the top rookie tight end man for Brady to find, especially near the end zone. On the ground, RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis leads the team with 627 yards and a team best nine scores, but don't be shocked if RB Danny Woodhead gets called upon a lot in this one. Woodhead was a Jet through Week 2 this year, and he was picked up due to all of the running back injuries that the team incurred over the course of the first few weeks. He has rushed for 344 yards and caught 24 passes for 230 yards, and especially since he was let go by New York, you know that Belichick would love to let Woodhead get some sweet revenge on Monday Night Football.

The Final Word: The Patriots might be the perfect team at home in this one, but that doesn't mean that the Jets aren't going to have the last say when it is said and done. Sanchez and the Jets just keep finding ways to win games, and when it all really boils down, we expect to see that the New York defense is going to outperform the New England defense. If the Jets can force a few turnovers and get into the face of Brady, this one could be the slugfest that they really, truly want. If that's the case, Head Coach Rex Ryan will find a way to get his team to come out of this one with a season changing victory.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York +3.5
Prediction: New York 23 – New England 20

 
December 1st, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Houston Texans and Philadelphia Eagles both hope that the playoffs in their future, but only one of these teams is going to take a big time step in the right direction to start unlucky Week 13 in NFL betting action.

Matchup: Houston Texans @ Philadelphia Eagles
Date: Thursday, December 2nd, 8:20 ET
Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA
Game Line: Philadelphia -9
Over/Under 51.5

Texans Notes: It feels like we're saying that this is a do or die game every single week for the Texans, but this one really might not be an exception. Houston is just a game back of the lead in the AFC South, but it is going to be in tiebreaker Hell in all likelihood by season's end. The Texans have to feel fortunate that they didn't lose WR Andre Johnson this week, as he probably deserved to be suspended for his fist fight with DB Cortland Finnegan on the field last Sunday. He could be in for a really big game against the Philadelphia defense, and if he has that big time effort, he could make it to the 1,000 yard mark. QB Matt Schaub is probably going to become a 3,000 yard passer, as he already has 2,751 yards on the campaign. He has 15 TDs against seven picks on the year and would be well on his way to some MVP consideration if the Texans were in the playoff picture. RB Arian Foster is the best running back in the league this year, and that's shocking for a man that really needed to fight for his job in the preseason. The former Tennessee Volunteer already has 1,147 yards and a dozen TDs on the ground, but his real contributions are in the passing game, where he is the second biggest target on the squad with 48 catches, 453 yards, and a score. And then, there's the defense… This unit is coming off of a shutout against the Tennessee Titans in which DB Glover Quin picked off three passes. However, beating up a division rival with its third quarterback making his first career starts doesn't seem to strike the same type of cord as it would this week. Every other foe this year has scored at least 24 points on the campaign against the Texans, and six in a row before Tennessee had scored 29 or more points.

Eagles Notes: Fly Eagles, fly! Philadelphia might be coming off of a loss to the Chicago Bears, but it is still in first place in the NFC East in a tie with the New York Giants. QB Michael Vick threw his first interception last week, but the best remedy for throwing a pick is playing against the Houston defense! The former Atlanta Falcon really has to be salivating about this matchup on Thursday night, as it gives him a chance to shine against a bad defense and to showcase his skills on national television. Vick has thrown for 1,941 yards and 13 scores and has rushed for 419 yards and five more TDs. There are some potentially big time games out of both WR Jeremy Maclin and WR DeSean Jackson coming. Maclin leads the team with 752 yards and 51 receptions with eight TDs, while Jackson is averaging 19.4 yards per reception this year, one of the biggest averages on the campaign. The former Cal Golden Bear has caught 35 passes for 678 yards and five scores. WR Jason Avant is coming on strong right now, as he has 41 receptions for 479 yards and a TD. RB LeSean McCoy has caught 59 passes for 448 yards and a TD, and he has rushed for 779 yards and six trips to the end zone. Defensively, there are some superstars to watch out for. DE Trent Cole has seven sacks on the season, while DB Asante Samuel has seven picks. Both Nate Allen and Dimitri Patterson have three INTs as well, while Quintin Mikell has three forced turnovers to boot.

The Final Word: Here we go again for the Texans. They just continue to feel like they find ways to lose games, and now that they are playing a Major League team once again and not a bunch of has beens, they have a big time issue. Houston is every bit as good as Philly is, but with this game being on the road off of an Eagles loss, it's hard to see how the hosts are going to lose this one. The Texans will cover, but they'll find a way to get beaten in the end once again.

Free Pro Football Picks: Houston +9
Prediction: Philadelphia 31 – Houston 30

 
November 28th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Arizona Cardinals will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the San Francisco 49ers on MNF.

Matchup: San Francisco 49ers @ Arizona Cardinals
Date: Monday, November 29th, 8:30 ET
Location: University of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, AZ
Game Line: Arizona +1.5
Over/Under 40.5

Niners Notes: All season long, HC Mike Singletary has been insistent that his 49ers are still winning the NFC West this year. And yes, we have to admit that, even though his team is 3-7, it is still just two games back and is most probably going to be just 1.5 back by the time it takes the field on Monday Night Football. However, there's a point that you have to realize that you just have to start to win games to get into the second season, and this is probably that point. San Fran has been dreadful on the road all season long, going 0-4 thus far on the campaign. The good news is that there is one win overseas at Wembley Stadium, but the bad news is that four of the next five are on the road. The 49ers are coming off of a terrible 21-0 shutout loss at home to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and which they were absolutely just smacked in the mouth for the entire game, and they need to recover from that in a hurry if they want to win this game. The QB Troy Smith experiment still seems to be going sufficiently for the Niners, as he is going to get the nod again on MNF. Smith has thrown for 700 yards and two TDs against one INT this year in three starts. RB Frank Gore has to have shoulders that really, really hurt. He has 198 of the team's 244 carries on the season. He has 801 yards on the ground and has another 46 receptions for 452 yards in the passing game. Gore has found pay dirt five times on the campaign. Still, he is really the only star on an offense that has been dreadful this year, averaging just 16.0 points per game. Defensively, things might be improving, when your offense is this bad, giving up 328.2 yards and 21.9 points per game is the recipe for disaster after disaster.

Cardinals Notes: The Redbirds can't really feel like they have much of a chance to get in the playoffs, though they really have the exact same team right now that San Fran has. The difference is that Arizona probably has an easier schedule from here on out, and can do a better job taking advantage of those foes. The problem is that this offense only has one star as well, and unlike Gore, which just needs to be handed the ball, someone needs to be able to throw the ball up to WR Larry Fitzgerald. The former Pitt Panther has 55 receptions for 691 yards and five scores, but no one else on the team has accounted for more than three TDs offensively. Heck, the third leading scorer on the team is DB Kerry Rhodes, who has two pick sixes! Needless to say, this offense, whether being run by QB Max Hall or QB Derek Anderson, has been really, really bad. If not for the Carolina Panthers, the Cardinals would rank dead last in the NFL in total yards, as they are averaging just 275.7 yards per game this year. Only 84.5 yards per game are coming on the ground, and only 191.2 are coming through the air. It should come as no surprise that this is a team averaging just 18.8 points per game, which is really something considering the fact that the defense and special teams have chipped in with a number of scores. The other problem that this defense has right now is that it can't stop a pack of turtles, let alone another NFL team. Allowing 29.2 points per game in unacceptable at any level of pro football, especially when you rank No. 27 or worse in every single category. The Cards have allowed at least 31 points five times this year.

The Final Word: This is an ugly, ugly game, and it is really hard to separate these two teams. Neither one has played up to its potential this year, and neither one deserves to be even a game back in any division in football. Still, we look at that 0-4 next to San Fran's name on the road this year and wonder why, especially in one of the tougher venues to play football in the country, that the Niners are favored. We just don't see it. Arizona is bad, but it is the lesser of the two evils in this one.

Free Pro Football Picks: Arizona +1.5
Prediction: Arizona 26 – San Francisco 21

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The New England Patriots will be putting the best record in the NFL on the line on Thanksgiving Day this week, as they pay a visit to the stingy Detroit Lions in their annual Thanksgiving Day NFL betting battle.

Matchup: New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 12:30 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Game Line: Detroit +6.5
Over/Under 50.5

Patriots Notes: The Patriots have struggled at times this season on the road, as they were defeated by the Cleveland Browns two weeks ago. They also tend to play to the level of their opponent, something that championship teams tend to not do. Still, New England is at 8-2 after ten games and has to feel like a playoff spot really has been locked down, especially if it can win this one. QB Tom Brady is coming off of a pedestrian game against the Indianapolis Colts in which he didn't even make it to 200 yards passing, but his numbers this year still suggest him being an MVP candidate. Brady has thrown for 2,362 yards and 19 scores against just four picks in 2010. His running game might get a boost this week as well, as RB Fred Taylor might be returning from a toe injury that has kept him out of the lineup for the last two months. In the interim, RB Danny Woodhead and RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis have done their job, combining to rush for 879 yards and ten scores. Keep a close eye on the two rookie tight ends that Brady has to work with as well. TE Aaron Hernandez is second on the team in receptions with 35 and yards with 444, and he has found pay dirt three times. No one has scored more through the air this year than TE Rob Gronkowski though, as he has six scores on his 20 receptions. Defensively, New England is struggling, allowing 398.4 yards and 24.2 points per game. The first number is the third worst mark in the NFL, but is countered by an offense that is scoring a league best 28.9 points per game.

Lions Notes: Detroit may have had a lot of fight in its tank early in the season, but back to back failed attempts at covering the NFL odds have really hampered its progress. Playing without QB Matt Stafford has really hurt, and though backup QB Shaun Hill has potentially proven that he can earn back a starting job with another team next year, he just isn't good enough to lead a very young offense to wins on a regular basis. Hill has 1,921 passing yards and a dozen scores against nine INTs on the campaign. His biggest problem is going to be figuring out who to turn around and hand the ball to. RB Jahvid Best is out of the lineup with turf toe, and there isn't another player on this team that has more than 21 carries for the season. RB Maurice Morris is likely to get the nod, but he only has 41 yards on 21 carries this season. The Lions only have five rushing touchdowns this year, and Best and Stafford have accounted for all five. Though this is a defense that is improving, there are still some major problems to be worked out. The Lions have allowed at least 24 points six times this year and have given up at least 35 twice. Unless that really improves dramatically, the men from the Motor City are going to continue losing games.

The Final Word: It's kind of cool looking at how polar opposite these teams really have been over the years since their last meeting here in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day in 2002. The Pats have a pair of Super Bowl rings and an undefeated regular season, while the Lions haven't even sniffed the playoffs and have an 0-16 campaign under their belts. Though we know that Detroit isn't as bad as its 2-8 record and that New England isn't as good as its 8-2 record, we also know that the Lions are 0-6 SU and ATS over the last six years on Thanksgiving Day, and with such a great team coming to town, there is no way that they are going to be able to fend off a near certain defeat that will probably come by at least two scores, if not more.

Free Pro Football Picks: New England -6.5
Prediction: New England 34 – Detroit 18

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Dallas Cowboys have hit their stride in recent weeks and have finally started playing some great ball just in time for the holidays. However, the New Orleans Saints are still in search of a playoff spot in the tightly contested NFC and would love to pick up this NFL betting 'W' on Thursday afternoon.

Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Dallas +3.5
Over/Under 51.5

Saints Notes: The biggest concern that the Saints have right now is whether or not RB Reggie Bush is going to be back in the lineup. Many thought that he would be back last week against the Seattle Seahawks, but HC Sean Peyton elected to hold him back for a few more days to get ready for the bigger test against Dallas. RB Pierre Thomas has been back at practice as well, and though he isn't quite ready to come back to the team as of yet, getting back either one will help out a squad that only has four rushing TDs for the entire season. Needless to say, this has piled a ton of pressure on the right arm of QB Drew Brees, as he has had to carry this entire offense at times by himself. Brees will become the fourth quarterback in the NFL to reach the 3,000 yard barrier on Thursday afternoon, as he already has 2,969 yards and 22 TDs. New Orleans is averaging 286.8 yards per game through the air and 382.3 yards per game in total, both marks of which leave it in the Top 5 in the NFL. Defensively, things are significantly better than they appear. Statistically, this is already a great team, as the Saints rank No. 4 in the league in total defense and scoring defense and No. 2 in pass defense. However, they have had a number of scores against them either directly or indirectly courtesy of the offense and special teams, and if you take those scores away, New Orleans is allowing less than 13 points per game. Brees has thrown for more touchdowns than teams have scored against the Saints defense this year.

Cowboys Notes: The Cowboys have put forth their two best efforts of the entire season since getting Interim HC Jason Garrett in command of the troops. HC Wade Phillips had watched his team give up at least 34 points in four of his last five games before getting fired, and Garrett has come in and kept the New York Giants and Detroit Lions to a total of just 39 points in two games. Things are looking great this year for WR Miles Austin, TE Jason Witten, and WR Dez Bryant. Those three already all have over 500 yards this year, and all three could threaten the 1,000 yard barrier when the season is said and done. QB Jon Kitna is doing a nice job taking care of this offense in the absence of QB Tony Romo. Kitna has thrown for 1,223 yards and ten scores against seven picks in numbers that looks awfully comparable to those of his injured predecessor. The problem that Dallas has right now is that it cannot run the football. We're still puzzled as to why as well, as all three of RB Marion Barber, RB Felix Jones, and RB Tashard Choice are all still in the lineup on a regular basis and none have been injured. Over his career, LB DeMarcus Ware has accounted for 73 sacks. If he can get 1.5 more on Thursday against a New Orleans team that he ripped to shreds last year, he'll be at double digits for the fifth straight campaign. Stopping Ware is going to be paramount for the Saints to be able to win on Thanksgiving Day.

The Final Word: The Saints might be on the verge of missing out on the playoffs, but they are a lot better than a 7-3 record would suggest, particularly defensively. If that defense can get the job done against a relatively one dimensional Dallas offense and can get some good things going on the ground with a healthy combination of Bush and/or Thomas, Brees should be able to pick apart a questionable secondary for a ton of yards and a ton of points. New Orleans should rock and roll and get some real revenge for last season's loss to the boys from Big D.

Free Pro Football Picks: New Orleans -3.5
Prediction: New Orleans 41 – Dallas 27

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets are really polar opposites of one another. Cincinnati just keeps finding ways to lose games, while the Jets just keep finding ways to win them. Though these two squads have exactly opposite records, there is no telling what could happen when the two meet in the Meadowlands in the first Thanksgiving Day home game ever played in the state of New Jersey.

Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 8:20 ET
Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Game Line: New York -9
Over/Under 43

Bengals Notes: Before last week's collapse against the Buffalo Bills, we really thought that the Bengals were going to keep control of their emotions this year and continue to compete in games. However, 35 second half points scored by one of the more embarrassing offenses in the NFL, and we beg to differ. One man that clearly isn't giving up is WR Terrell Owens. The future Hall of Famer has had a heck of a season off the streets for the Bengals, as he has caught 62 passes for 897 yards and eight TDs on the campaign. QB Carson Palmer has been up and down the whole year, and his numbers sort of reflect that. The good news is that he has completed 240 passes for 2,625 yards. Eighteen scores is excellent as well. The problem comes with a shaky 60.9 completion percentage and 13 INTs. Getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks is a hassle for the Bengals, which is shocking considering how good they were at it last year. No one on the team has more than two sacks, and they rank dead last in the conference in total sacks for the season. The numbers for this team are awfully mediocre, but they don't really indicate that they are a 2-8 team. Cincinnati is No. 14 in the NFL in total offense at 346.2 yards per game and No. 18 in total defense at 341.3 yards per game. The problem is that opponents are consistently putting points on the board. Only two have been held below 22 points for the entire year, and three teams have gotten to at least 38.

Jets Notes: New York has to feel good about the way that it has played this year, as it has eight wins, a lot of which have come against some solid clubs, especially in the AFC. If you take out those two losses at home, New York has scored at least 23 points in all of its games this year. As a result, the offense is averaging 364.6 yards per game and 23.8 points per game. QB Mark Sanchez really isn't completing a high enough percentage of his passes at just 55.1 percent, but his 2,293 yards and 15/7 TD/INT ratio are both good enough to suggest that he could be a Pro Bowler in the AFC. The ground game is always good for the Jets, but they have had some pressure taken off of them this year with the emergence of Sanchez as a great passer. RB LaDainian Tomlinson has resurrected his career, as he has rumbled for 684 yards and five scores. Though RB Shonn Greene has only found pay dirt once, his 505 yards have been critical for the success that the team has had. Surprisingly, this isn't a team that intercepts a ton of passes. DB Darrelle Revis hasn't had an INT this season, and DB Antonio Cromartie only has two picks. Ranking No. 7 in total defense at 310.3 yards per game and No. 5 in scoring at 17.7 points per game almost seems to be a downer for a team that was just so dominating at times on that side of the ball over the course of last season.

The Final Word: Had this game been played last week, we'd be all over Cincinnati in a heartbeat, as we know that the Jets haven't always found ways to blow out teams, picking up its last four victories by a total of 16 points. However, the Bengals looked absolutely lost in the second half at home against the Bills, and after watching New York pound them into submission last year both in Week 17 and in the first round of the playoffs, we have no doubts that it is going to be another mess at the Meadowlands for the visitors.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York -9
Prediction: New York 30 – Cincinnati 13

 
November 17th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Miami Dolphins will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Chicago Bears on MNF.

Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
Date: Thursday, November 18th, 8:20 ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
Game Line: Miami -1
Over/Under 39.5

Bears Notes: Everyone who thinks that the Bears are legitimate Super Bowl contenders, say "aye!" Hmm… The only voice that I just heard was my own… Most don't believe in this Chicago team, but with each passing week, I'm starting to buy in more and more. Don't get me wrong… I hate QB Jay Cutler just like the rest of you, because I know that he is capable of throwing six picks every single time he takes the field. And sure, I know that this running game is a nightmare, not so much because of RB Matt Forte, but because of an offensively line that thinks that "block" is a four letter curse word. However, I look around at the talent on this team, and I see speedsters like WR Johnny Knox, explosive athletes like WR/PR/KR Devin Hester, and I see a defense that is really darn right good. LB Brian Urlacher wasn't on this defense for the majority of last year due to injury, but now that he is back and DE Julius Peppers has been added to the bunch, this unit is just lethal. No, Peppers isn't the sack machine that he was with the Carolina Panthers, but there is no doubting the fact that he has been a disruptive force in opposing backfields all season long and can still do things that most other ends in this league don't stand a chance at. Did you know that the Bears were second in the NFL in rush defense at a shade over 80 yards per game? Or that no one has scored more than 23 points against them this year? Or that they are second in the league in scoring defense? Or that they have only lost to one team by more than three points? If you just take a second to analyze what Chicago has done this year instead of what it hasn't done, you'll see just how strong this team is, particularly in a very, very weak division.

Dolphins Notes: And yet, so many people are trusting a man named QB Tyler Thigpen to lay points at home in a nationally televised game, four days after becoming the team's starting quarterback by default. Not only is Thigpen being thrust into this situation, but he is going to end up playing the whole way unless he gets hurt because no one else that is healthy is going to know the offense. Sure, the possibility is there that QB Chad Henne could be ready for this one, but many are excited by the way that Thigpen played against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon to help seal up the team's first home win of the season. Don't get enamored with these numbers that Thigpen put up in his days as the starting quarterback of the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, he threw for 2,608 yards and accounted for a total of 21 TDs in 11 starts, but he also only completed 54.8 percent of his passes and was cut because he couldn't lead the team to victories. There's probably a reason that the other 31 GMs across the NFL had no interest in even making Thigpen a backup quarterback. Worse for Miami is the rushing game that is going against the best rush defense this side of the Pittsburgh Steelers. RB Ronnie Brown is coming off of a game in which he rushed for 11 yards on 12 carries against a Titans' 'D' that really isn't all that great. He only has 444 yards on the turf this year, which leaves him nowhere near on a pace for 1,000 yards on the campaign. RB Ricky Williams hasn't done much better. The defense? Giving up a modest 21.3 points per game and has been torched for an average of 28.0 points per game on the year at home.

The Final Word: Just don't fall into the trap this week with your NFL picks. It looks so easy to just lay that short point with the Fins, but don't do it! Chicago really does have the significantly better team, and even though this one is on the road, we still trust Cutler (goodness help us) a lot more than we do a third string quarterback, even if he is the best third stringer in the entire NFL. Back the Monsters of the Midway for the mild upset.

Free Pro Football Picks: Chicago +1
Prediction: Chicago 20 – Miami 13