Archive for October 13th, 2010

October 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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Here at Cappers Info, we are taking a weekly look at the teams that could be ones ripe to pull off some major upsets! Check out the potentially ugly dogs that could come up and bite you in the butt in you aren't careful for the Week 7 of college football betting action!

Underdog Pick #1: Army Black Knights (+230 at Diamond Sportsbook) @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights, Saturday, 2:00 ET: The Black Knights know that they need at least one more victory to make it to a bowl game for the first time in seemingly forever, and this seems like a prototypical spot for that. Rutgers has already lost one game it had no business losing this year when it dropped to the Tulane Green Wave at home. The Scarlet Knights are going with QB Chas Dodd under center this week, which could be a hassle against one of the better pass defenses in the country. Rutgers' defense is getting worse and worse every week, and RB Jordan Todman rumbled for 123 yards on the ground last week in a win against the Connecticut Huskies. The Black Knights are averaging 32.3 points per game and are putting together 274.3 yards per game on the ground. No one really cares in this triple option offense whether anyone can throw the ball or not, as demonstrated by the dead last ranked passing game in the country at just 68.0 yards per game. Still, this is a favorable matchup for a team that has already won three road games this year, including one against that same Tulane squad that won in Piscataway the week before. Don't be shocked if Army takes care of this knightly battle in East Rutherford.

Underdog Pick #2: Kentucky Wildcats (+180 at Diamond Sportsbook) @ South Carolina Gamecocks, Saturday 6:00 ET: It's not that we really believe that the Wildcats have the better team, but we know that this is the worst potential scheduling spot in the world for the Gamecocks. South Carolina is coming off of the biggest win in the school's history, an upset of the No. 1 team in the country, the Alabama Crimson Tide. Now, it has to go on the road against a Kentucky team that it has beaten about a million straight times. The Wildcats played a whale of a game last week against the Auburn Tigers and nearly took down a Top 10 team in the process. HC Joker Phillips really has this team playing hard right now, and Kentucky has a bowl game in its sights this year. A win over South Carolina wouldn't just send the Cats one step closer to a bowl, but could keep it in the race in the SEC East to boot. Also, take notice of this line… Auburn beat South Carolina by the narrowest of margins at home, then turned around and nearly lost to the Wildcats last week… Yet the line is a tad shorter this week than it was last week… Does someone know something that we don't know? The Cats are going to scratch in this game.

Underdog Pick #3: Virginia Cavaliers (+200 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. North Carolina Tar Heels, Saturday, 6:00 ET: The Tar Heels are starting to get their acts together, but unfortunately for them, so are the Cavvies. UVA had a great second half against the Florida State Seminoles two weeks ago at home and ended up playing reasonably well against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets last week. North Carolina hasn't allowed more than 17 points in a game in its L/3, but we think that changes on Saturday. QB Marc Verica might need to play the game of his life to get the job done, but it is a very distinct possibility, especially without a win against an FBS teams on the season, that the Cavs pull off a tremendous upset to shake the ACC.

Underdog Pick #4: Arkansas Razorbacks (+150 at Diamond Sportsbook) @ Auburn Tigers, Saturday, 3:30 ET: We've saved the absolutely best for last. The Tigers have just narrowly survived defeats in the past, and we think that these cats are running out of lives. Auburn is a relatively two dimensional team. QB Cam Newton does most of his damage from outside the pocket, and when he does that, he has the ability to rocket the ball down the field. RB Michael Dyer and RB Onterio McCalebb makes up for the other dimension of this squad. Arkansas isn't going to just get run over, which was demonstrated by the fact that it hung tough with the Alabama Crimson Tide three weeks ago. The pass defense for Auburn has been iffy this year at best, ranking No. 91 in the nation at 239.2 yards per game. QB Ryan Mallett must be licking his chops. He has the ability to come on the road and redeem himself for throwing those three picks against Alabama. Don't be shocked if he makes it to the 350 yard barrier, and if he does that, the Hogs are going to be very capable of pulling off this upset.

 
October 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Cincinnati Bearcats @ Louisville Cardinals
Date: Friday, October 15th, 8:00 ET
Location: Papa John’s Cardinal Stadium, Louisville, KY
Game Line: Cincinnati -2.5
Over/Under 58

The 3-2 Louisville Cardinals and the 2-3 Cincinnati Bearcats kick off their conference slates this Friday night when the two meet in Louisville. First-year HC Charlie Strong has breathed some life into a Cardinals program that was moribund under former HC Steve Kragthorpe. Under Strong, Louisville’s defense is much improved over the sieve it was in 2009, currently allowing 329 YPG. The Cardinals offense has also improved on the offensive side of the ball, racking up 461.4 YPG thus far this season. Last week against Memphis, the Cardinals put together their most dominant performance yet in a 56-0 rout of the Tigers. Louisville’s defense held Memphis to just 223 total yards and the Tigers only averaged a paltry 3.5 yards per play on the day. Louisville’s offense was simply electric and torched the Tigers for 574 yards while averaging over 10 yards per play. Leading the way was QB Adam Froman, who completed 12 of 16 passes for 235 yards and four touchdowns. On the ground, RB Bilal Powell carried the ball 18 times for 204 yards and two touchdowns. As for the Bearcats, new HC Butch Jones had some big shoes to fill when former coach Brian Kelly left for Notre Dame and his schedule didn’t do him any favors. Road losses to North Carolina State and Fresno State and a home loss to mighty Oklahoma have dipped the program under .500 for the first time in recent memory, but Jones has shown signs that he is getting his feet under him. Last week against Miami (OH), the Bearcats put together their most complete game thus far in a 45-3 romp of the Redhawks. The Bearcats put up over 600 total yards of offense and averaged over 9 yards per play, while the defense held Miami (OH) to just 269 total yards and 4 yards per play. The backfield combo of QB Zach Collaros and RB Isaiah Pead will need to come up big for the Bearcats if they hope to score a Big East road win.

Free College Football Picks: Louisville +2.5
Prediction: Louisville 27 Cincinnati 20

 
October 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Ohio State Buckeyes @ Wisconsin Badgers
Date: Saturday, October 16th, 7:00 ET
Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Game Line: Ohio State -4
Over/Under 49

When Ohio State has the ball… Statistically speaking this season, the Buckeyes have been absolutely fantastic on offense. QB Terrelle Pryor is now the favorite to win the Heisman Trophy at a number of different sportsbooks, and for good reason. He is certainly the best player on what might be the best team in the country. Pryor is just a yard shy of the team lead in rushing with 354 yards and three TDs, and he has thrown for a whopping 15 TD passes in just six games. His 1,349 yards through the air is validating himself as a legitimate passing quarterback that can run, as opposed to just a runner that can do some throwing of the pill. There are three legitimate rushing threats as well out of the backfield, as RB Daniel Herron, RB Jamal Berry, and RB Brandon Saine have combined for 757 rushing yards between them. Watch out for WR Dane Sanzenbacher as well. He might only have 27 catches, but he has 411 yards and a team high seven TDs to show for his work. This team is very well rounded and is scoring 43.2 points per game thus far on the season, the sixth best mark in the country. The Badgers just haven't looked great defensively in recent weeks, allowing big play after big play against the Michigan State Spartans and giving up 23 points to a Minnesota Golden Gophers offense that has struggled all season long. Still, at 308.3 yards per game allowed and 19.0 points per game allowed, this is the strength of the Badgers. There are just too many weapons to not give the Buckeyes the edge in this department.
Final Grades
Ohio State Buckeyes: A
Wisconsin Badgers: B-

When Wisconsin has the ball… There's no doubt what the Badgers are going to try to accomplish when they step on the field offensively. They plan on running the ball and running it right at you. No gimmicks. No trickeration. Just straight handoffs, and come try to tackle us. RB John Clay has rumbled for 692 yards on 115 carries with nine scores on the season, but unlike last year when there really wasn't anything else in the backfield to take off some of the load, he now has RB James White to rely on as well. White has 485 yards and eight scores, and he is averaging 7.7 yards per carry. QB Scott Tolzien definitely doesn't quite have a complete grade this year. We love the fact that he is averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt, but only seven TDs against two picks doesn't give us all that much confidence, especially since he only has one receiver that has more than 15 catches for 172 yards. The good news is that WR Nick Toon is back, and he has already caught 11 passes in just three games on the season. Of late, there have at least been a few chinks in the Ohio State armor defensively. Yes, this team still ranks No. 13 in pass defense, No. 4 in rush defense, No. 3 in total defense, and No. 6 in scoring, but that doesn't mean that there haven't been some flaws that are notable. The Buckeyes might have one of the best defenses in the land, but at least based on performances of late, we're going to give a slight edge here to the Badgers.
Final Grades
Ohio State Buckeyes: B+
Wisconsin Badgers: A-

Intangibles…. The first intangible that must be noted is the fact that we aren't so sure that the Buckeyes can play on the road. They only have one road game this year, and they were tested every single step of the way by the Illinois Fighting Illini. Of course, what we do know is that Illinois turned around the next week, marched into Happy Valley, and beat down the Penn State Nittany Lions. Maybe the Illini really are that good. What else we know is that Ohio State's special teams have been nothing to write home about. A field goal has already been blocked and returned for a TD this season, and there have been two kick returns for scores as well. The Badgers might not have a fantastic special teams unit, but they do know that they have a head coach that is gritty and won't let his team quit in HC Brett Bielema. There's also definitely an aura surrounding Camp Randall that cannot be ignored, especially at night. Since the middle of October 2008, there has only been one team to march into Madison and come away with a victory, and that was a very special Iowa Hawkeyes team last year. We also know that Wisconsin isn't going to be intimidated, as it has wins in 2004, 2003, 2001, and 1999 against Ohio State. Needless to say, the edge here is going to the hosts.
Final Grades
Ohio State Buckeyes: C
Wisconsin Badgers: B+

The Final Report Card… This is a very, very tough game for Ohio State, especially with that No. 1 ranking sitting on its plate. That will only amp up the Camp Randall crowd, which will be "jumping around" from the very first kickoff. If the Badgers can figure out how to slow down Pryor, this game has the potential to be very, very bloody. The Buckeyes tripped in an inexcusable way last year to the Purdue Boilermakers, and a very similar type of offensive outing would not only see them get beaten in Camp Randall, but beaten down in a bad way to the point that they would not be able to return to the National Championship picture. With the spread being so close, we have to have confidence that the Badgers can win this game, and our final grades give them the edge even though the Buckeyes have the better team.
Final Overall Grades
Ohio State Buckeyes: B+
Wisconsin Badgers: A

 
October 13th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Kansas State Wildcats @ Kansas Jayhawks
Date: Thursday, October 14th, 7:30 ET
Location: University of Kansas Memorial Stadium, Lawrence, KS
Game Line: Kansas St -2.5
Over/Under 50.5

The Sunflower State Showdown lacks a little of the luster seen in previous years, but that doesn’t mean the in-state rivalry between the 2-3 Kansas Jayhawks and the 4-1 Kansas St Wildcats will mean any less to the teams involved Thursday night. To say that first year head coach Turner Gill has gotten off to a rocky start with the Jayhawks is a bit of an understatement. Kansas opened their season with a humiliating 6-3 loss against FCS North Dakota State and was blown out by the Baylor Bears two weeks ago in Waco. The 55-7 win that the Bears recorded was the biggest conference win in Baylor history, and it completely dominated the Jayhawks from start to finish. The Jayhawks allowed an eye-popping 678 total yards while their offense could only muster 270 total yards and turned the ball over four times against the Bears. Needless to say, the Jayhawks will need a much better performance in order to beat the Wildcats. Kansas State is coming off an embarrassing outing itself, falling 48-13 to Nebraska in Manhattan last Thursday night on HC Bill Snyder’s birthday nonetheless. The Wildcats defense allowed the Nebraska offense to rush for 451 yards and gave up over 10 yards per play to the Cornhuskers. In particular, Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez was allowed to run wild, carrying the ball 15 times for 241 yards and four touchdowns. For the Wildcats, RB Darren Thomas was completely shut down by the Huskers’ defense despite coming into the game as one of the leading rushers in the country. Thomas carried the ball 22 times for 63 yards and will need to have a better game against the Jayhawks as the Wildcat offense runs through him.

Free College Football Picks: Kansas +2.5
Prediction: Kansas 24 Kansas St 21
Matchup: South Florida Bulls @ #25 West Virginia Mountaineers
Date: Thursday, October 14th, 7:45 ET
Location: Milan Puskar Stadium, Morgantown, WV
Game Line: West Virginia -10.5
Over/Under 43

West Virginia kicks off Big East play Thursday night when they host the South Florida Bulls at Mountaineer Field. The Mountaineers are 4-1 with their only loss being at the hands of undefeated LSU in Death Valley and look to be the class of the Big East this season. Last Saturday against the UNLV Rebels, the Mountaineers put together their most dominant performance of the season, scoring a huge 49-10 victory to get back into the Top 25. RB Noel Devine was battling a toe injury and only carried the ball three times, but racked up 84 yards and two touchdowns in limited action in the victory. QB Geno Smith also had a fantastic day for West Virginia, throwing for 220 yards and three touchdowns in the win. HC Bill Stewart’s defense has also been stellar this year, allowing just 255 yards per game and seven touchdowns in five games in 2010. As for South Florida, HC Skip Holtz has gotten off to a less than stellar start in his first year on the job, losing both games against BCS conference opponents while only mustering wins against two Sun Belt conference teams and an FCS team. Last week against Syracuse, the Bulls put together a pitiful performance at home in a 13-9 loss. QB BJ Daniels was downright dreadful, completing just 9 of 23 passes for 124 yards and two interceptions while being sacked four times. The South Florida offense as a whole was only able to muster 219 yards against the typically porous Orange defense and the USF defense allowed over 300 yards of offense to a Cuse offense which is typically pitiful in conference play. If the Bulls hope to come out of Morgantown with a win on Thursday, Daniels will need to outperform Smith and limit his turnovers.

Free College Football Picks: West Virginia -10.5
Prediction: West Virginia 29 South Florida 10

 
October 13th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 6 picks…

San Diego Chargers @ St. Louis Rams (+8.5) – Underdogs have treated me well in recent weeks, and I'm hoping that this isn't an exception. There is just something wrong with the Chargers right now, and I can't quite put my finger on it as to why. Special teams absolutely collapsed at the outset against the Oakland Raiders last week, and the defense just wasn't good enough to keep the silver and black off the field. If the Raiders are succeeding like that, the Rams should be able to do much of the game. I don't need a win. I just need a good showing. No doubt, St. Louis +8.5.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans (-4.5) – The Texans just burned me and just about everybody else on Sunday against the New York Giants, but I'm still giving them another chance anyway. You don't beat Houston by running the ball. You beat Houston by throwing it. That's something that the Chiefs just can't do right now. The offense will bog down, and when push comes to shove, QB Matt Schaub and WR Andre Johnson are due for an absolute explosion. Don't be shocked if this one turns ugly quickly, as I have no reservations about the Texans -4.5.

Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) @ New England Patriots – Unless you think that you're getting a blocked kick, a blocked punt, and a pick six in this one New England, you don't stand a chance. The Ravens are out to prove that they are the best team in the NFL, and the way that they can do that is by making GQ boy over there, QB Tom Brady go curl into a ball and want to hide. The lesson you should've taken away from last week's game with the Denver Broncos: One dimensional offenses don't work against this team. This won't be an exception. Take the roadies here with Baltimore +2.5.

New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5) -Right now, there isn't a team in the NFL that I'd be backing the Saints with on the road. They need to get a running game together and soon. The Tampa Bay secondary is good enough to put a real crimp in New Orleans' plan to just run away and hide from the NFC South at some point. Don't be shocked if there's another upset in the cards. I'm going with the gritty Bucs +5.5.

Atlanta Falcons (+3) @ Philadelphia Eagles – This is yet another one of those games that the Falcons just seem to have a radar for how to win. Atlanta does seem to be bothered by anything, especially when QB Matt Ryan is able to stand in the pocket and deliver throws. There might not be a better team in the NFC than the men in black and red, and they'll be out to prove it regardless of who is throwing passes for the Iggles. The prospects of potentially seeing QB Michael Vick go against his former team are fun, but we still think that Atlanta +3 is the right play.

Detroit Lions (+10) @ New York Giants – Everyone who thinks that the G-Men are still a joke, please raise your right hands… Ok, at least there are a few of you that are inevitably going to be smart in this one and realize that New York has no business laying double digits to anyone in the NFL, especially a stingy Detroit team. I tend to believe that the Lions this year could be one of the best ATS teams in the history of the game just due to the fact that they have to play a ton of games like this one on the schedule where they are just getting no respect. I'm backing Detroit +10.

Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears (-7) – Wee! QB Jay Cutler is back! Anyone who ever thought that the media in the Windy City would be praying to see Cutler back in the lineup…….. Anyway, the Seahawks still aren't worth a damn thing away from Qwest Field, and we tend to believe that the men from the Midway can put together another great defensive showing. A win by at least a TD seems to be a formality as long as Cutler hasn't been taking lessons from QB Todd Collins while he has been watching on the sidelines… Chicago -7.

Miami Dolphins @ Green Bay Packers (OTB)Note: This game WILL NOT be a part of the competition in Week 6. Sorry folks. Until I know whether QB Aaron Rodgers is playing in this one or not, no picks. For what it's worth, regardless of whether Rodgers plays or not, I tend to believe that the Fins are the right side.

Cleveland Browns (+14) @ Pittsburgh Steelers – So let's get this straight. Cleveland is probably going to end up taking a rookie quarterback in his first career outing into Pittsburgh to take on the Steelers, who are getting their suspended quarterback back in the lineup for the first time all season? Bwahahahahaha! I'll take the Steelers' defense and special teams -14 against the Browns and forget about the offense. Good luck, QB Colt McCoy. Hope your life insurance policy is paid up. Pittsburgh -14.

New York Jets @ Denver Broncos (+3) – This Denver team, for whatever reason, is one that I think I have a good feel for. This week, their one dimensional offensive attack takes on the Jets, who can stop just about anything in their way. However, HC Josh McDaniels isn't a dummy. We've said this several times before. The ball leaves QB Kyle Orton's hands incredibly quickly, which should leave for a lot of one-on-one opportunities on the inside of this defense. It could be a huge day of WR Demaryius Thomas if he is used properly, as WR Brandon Lloyd will probably be stuck on Revis Island if DB Darrelle Revis gives it a go. We don't buy that QB Mark Sanchez can keep this going forever, and the front seven of the Broncos is strong enough to stop this run. Going with Denver +3 to pull off the outright upset.

Oakland Raiders (+6.5) @ San Francisco 49ers – And I thought that all of the crappy teams were on bye this week… Forgot about these stiffs in San Fran… Oakland +6.5 for me.

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings (-1) – Man, what an ugly game this could be. The loser of this one is going to have four losses on the year, and many weren't so sure if either of these teams were going to lose four games all season long, let alone in their first five. This could be QB Brett Favre's last stand before getting suspended by the NFL for texting pictures of his goodies to former FSU Cowgirl and New York Jets sideline eye candy, Jenn Sterger. Here's hoping that both of these teams fall off the face of the earth and let teams that really want to be in the postseason get there. As far as the pick… geez… Minnesota -1… I guess…

Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Washington RedskinsRemember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! Ok, QB Peyton Manning. It's Sunday Night Football. Time to wake up and lead your team to a resounding victory so we can all rest easily, knowing that you are still the great Peyton Manning and that this is your world that we are just playing in. The 'Skins are a farce and won't finish .500. Indianapolis -3.5 to round out Sunday.

Official Week 6 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
San Diego Chargers (-8.5) @ St. Louis Rams
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans (-4.5)
Baltimore Ravens @ New England Patriots (-2.5)
New Orleans Saints (-5.5) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3)
Detroit Lions @ New York Giants (-10)
Seattle Seahawks @ Chicago Bears (-7)
Miami Dolphins (OTB) @ Green Bay Packers
Cleveland Browns @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-14)
New York Jets (-3) @ Denver Broncos
Oakland Raiders @ San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)

Dallas Cowboys @ Minnesota Vikings (-1)
Indianapolis Colts (-3.5) @ Washington Redskins