Posts Tagged ‘baseball free picks’

March 6th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Spring Training is here once again, and if we’re already hearing the cracks of the bats, that means that there are World Series odds for us to analyze! Here at Cappers Info, we’re taking our first look at some of the teams that we wouldn’t back with your money in 2011 World Series betting action.


New York Mets: 55 to 1 at SportBet – Please spare me your, “Well duh, Drew!” comments for this one. At least at 55 to 1, one would think that the Mets have at least a shot of winning the World Series this season. However, I’m here to tell you that there is absolutely zero chance — ZERO chance — of the Mets making the playoffs, let alone going to the World Series and winning it. The starting rotation for this team without Johan Santana is nothing more than a who’s who of retreads that no one else wanted to pay money to. The bullpen has a mentally unstable situation with Francisco Rodriguez finishing the job, and the best arms around him from last season are all gone as well. It’d be nice to see Jose Reyes or David Wright really stay healthy for the season. We’re also not really all that sure that Carlos Beltran or Jason Bay have all that much left in the tank (or were really all that great to start off with). Aside from that, we’re talking about guys like Ike Davis having to carry this team. Yuck. It’s bad enough that the best the Mets can do is win the Wild Card, as the Philadelphia Phillies are surely winning the NL East. There’s just nothing that New York can do, especially with cash strapped owners at this point.


Tampa Bay Rays: 31 to 1 at SportBet – As much as we’d love to say that these are great World Series odds on a team that won the AL East last season, we know better. Manager Joe Maddon continues to find ways to get more out of less every year than any other manager in baseball, and he should definitely be commended for it. However, there’s just too much that has been lost in this offseason. The entire bullpen has to be started over from scratch, and it feels like half of the starting lineup is gone as well. Losing Jason Bartlett wasn’t all that great of a deal with others ready to come up and fill the gap, but Carlos Pena really doesn’t have a replacement at first base. To make matters worse, two of the biggest names that were lost, Rafael Soriano and Carl Crawford, are both playing in division for the Yanks and Red Sox respectively. The Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays are improved teams this year as well. We could see Tampa Bay winning 80 games this year… and maybe finishing in the gutter of the division in doing so.


St. Louis Cardinals: 28 to 1 at SportBet – Manager Tony LaRussa has a history of making chicken soup out of chicken… well, you know… but this would be a very tall task to pull off. Losing Adam Wainwright to season ending surgery doesn’t do anything but hurt this team’s case, as there is definitely a hole behind the often injured Chris Carpenter in this rotation. Is Jamie Garcia really good enough to fill the void? It’s quite possible, but who is going to step into his shoes? That’s where the real drop off begins. In the lineup, we know that Albert Pujols is going to go absolutely bonkers in a contract season right before he will inevitably make a quadrabazillion dollars, but he’s going to have a hard time driving in any runs aside from himself and Matt Holliday this season. It’ll take Lance Berkman finding the Fountain of Youth from somewhere (he obviously didn’t bring it with him to the Big Apple from Houston!), or some other unheralded stars to step up to the plate to help this squad out. When push comes to shove, there just isn’t enough there to think that this is anything more than maybe a .500 team at best.


Texas Rangers: 22 to 1 at SportBet – Whereas we wouldn’t mind taking a shot on the San Francisco Giants as a solid bet in the National League, we just can’t see taking the Rangers right now. We know that this team was far more than just Cliff Lee, but it really has to hurt knowing that Lee is gone at this point. The Oakland A’s really became a better team this year, and the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim just aren’t staying down forever. There’s a real chance that the defending AL Champs aren’t even going to sniff the postseason this year, and even if they are 22 to 1 to win it all, it just isn’t going to happen unless there are a heck of a lot of deer signs cropping up in Arlington that we aren’t expecting.


New York Yankees: 7 to 1 at SportBet – We’ve really saved the best for last this time around. The Yankees are always one of the best teams in baseball, but we’re really not so sure that they’re worthy of being in the same breath with the Boston Red Sox and the Philadelphia Phillies this year. This lineup is going to score a ton of runs this year, and there is no doubting that, but these pitchers are just awful. CC Sabathia and… Yuck. It’s only a matter of time before Father Time catches up to this team. Derek Jeter, Jorge Posada, and Mariano Rivera certainly aren’t getting any younger, and there just has to be a point that they all just drop off. It was also apparent last year that the Bronx Bombers didn’t have the grit and tenacity to win a seven game series in the ALCS, and especially if the Red Sox are the team on the other side of the coin in this prospective series, we’ll take our chances that New York isn’t winning out.

 
March 6th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Spring Training is here once again, and if we’re already hearing the cracks of the bats, that means that there are World Series odds for us to analyze! Here at Cappers Info, we’re taking our first look at some of the teams that we would love to be backing in 2011 World Series betting action.


Philadelphia Phillies: 3.30 to 1 at SportBet – We know that we are choking on a lot of chalk here by taking the tremendous favorites to win it all, and we even know that just one or two injuries can really mess with this team in a big time way, but we’re struggling to find reasons to not bet on the Phils. We all know that this pitching staff is absolutely phenomenal now. Heck, throwing Roy Oswalt in the fourth game of a series? Cole Hamels in the third game? Joe Blanton as the emergency plan as the fifth pitcher? Geez, is that good… It’s not like this offense is really slacking either. Sure, Ryan Howard probably won’t be blasting 45 homers this season, and we never know whether Chase Utley is really going to be healthy or not, but what we do know is that Jimmy Rollins can’t possibly have that much worse of a season this year as he did a season ago, and the loss of Jayson Werth really can’t possibly be as bad as the Washington Nationals signing him seems. The only question in our minds is whether Brad Lidge is going to implode or not. This bullpen might be thin, but there really isn’t a more complete team in the National League than this to be betting on.


Boston Red Sox: 5 to 1 at SportBet – If the Phils are the crème de la crème in the National League, the Red Sox have to be just that in the American League. Again, look at this rotation. John Lackey is the third starter on this team, and Jon Lester and Clay Buchholz are almost seemingly forgotten stars. Josh Beckett has declined, and who knows whether the boys from Beantown will ever get anything out of Daisuke Matsuzaka or not, but this is also a farm system that is just chock full of talent. Daniel Bard, Bobby Jenks, and Jonathan Papelbon make up an absolutely fantastic back end of the bullpen. Offensively, even if David Ortiz turns out to be completely finished, the rest of this lineup just has a ton of power in it. Carl Crawford was an ideal pickup in the offseason, especially since he is no longer a member of the Tampa Bay Rays, and trading for Adrian Gonzalez shored up the loss of Adrian Beltre on the other side of the diamond at third base. There won’t be nearly as many injuries this year on this team as there were a season ago, and with that being the case, the Red Sox really should be good for 100 wins and a trip to the postseason.


Chicago White Sox: 28 to 1 at SportBet – Did the White Sox push the right buttons in the offseason to be able to make a serious run at the Detroit Tigers and the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central? We’re really not so sure that they did, but we also know that if this team gets into the playoffs, it has a better shot of pitching with the Red Sox, Yankees, etc. than any of these other teams do in this division. Mark Buehrle might now have another ace in his pocket in the form of Jake Peavy, and if the Palehose really have a legit 1 and 1A on the mound, it will make the jobs of the rest of the men in this relatively formidable rotation that much easier. The offense didn’t miss a beat by adding Adam Dunn, who could be in for a fantastic summer in the Windy City. This is also a make or break year for Manager Ozzie Guillen and basically the entire front office for the White Sox, and they could be in for another magical run towards the World Series once again this season.


Milwaukee Brewers: 30 to 1 at SportBet – Do you really believe that Zack Greinke was a legitimate Cy Young pitcher in Kansas City? If the answer to that question is yes, you have to love what the Brew Crew are bringing to the table this year. Yovani Gallardo is now one of the more dangerous No. 2 pitchers in the game this year, and the rest of the NL Central is really just particularly weak this season, especially now that Adam Wainwright is out for the season for the St. Louis Cardinals. This is a team that can mash as well, especially with Prince Fielder, Corey Hart, and Ryan Braun doing the honors. The rest of this lineup isn’t really all that fantastic, but in a short series, a bloop, a blast, and two great pitchers can carry you the distance. John Axford will be key this year in the bullpen, but if he can shut the door at a great rate like he did in the second half of last season, the Brewers could be legit contenders this season.


Oakland Athletics: 38 to 1 at SportBet – Maybe we’re stretching this just a tad with the A’s, but the truth of the matter is that they had a great offseason and very few MLB betting fans probably realize it. Losing Rajai Davis really had to hurt, but there was a logjam at center field with Coco Crisp, and someone had to go. The corner outfield spots were shored up by adding Josh Willingham and David DeJesus, while Hideki Matsui gives the team a nice DH to count on regularly for some solid production. The rest of the infield is relatively weak, though Kurt Suzuki is one of the better up and coming catchers in this league. From a pitching standpoint, last year was a loss because of all of the money thrown at Ben Sheets that never worked out. However, this year, the team is taking a significantly cheaper gamble on Rich Harden, a kid that grew up in the Oakland system and really flourished. Even if he doesn’t pan out, we love what Brett Anderson and Dallas Braden are bringing to the table this year. The bullpen is absolutely stacked as well. Brian Fuentes and Grant Balfour were great pickups for a team that already had great guys like Andrew Bailey to rely on. The A’s also play in the weak AL West, where seemingly no one got any better in the offseason.

 
November 1st, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Join us at Cappers Info, as we make our World Series picks for Game 5 of the Fall Classic between the San Francisco Giants and the Texas Rangers.

Matchup: San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers Game 5
Date: Monday, November 1st, 7:27 ET
Location: Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Texas -175
Over/Under 6 (o-130)

Giants Notes: If the Giants could just figure out how to win one of the next three games, they'll be coming back to the Bay with the team's first championship in 53 years. Even though this was a rotation that was heralded due to the great play of RHP Tim Lincecum, RHP Matt Cain, and LHP Jonathan Sanchez, it was the scary good pitching performance of LHP Madison Bumgarner that might have put the Fall Classic away once and for all on Halloween night in the Lone Star State. Bumgarner might only pitch in this series one time, but he might have stolen the MVP Award as well as a rookie. He clearly turned in the best pitching performance of series, going eight shutout innings and fanning six, allowing just three hits and two walks. Bumgarner faced just three batters over the minimum in those eight innings, while closer Brian Wilson went 1-2-3 in the bottom of the ninth with two K's to seal the deal. DH Aubrey Huff went yard in the third inning to start the scoring, and a solo homer by C Buster Posey put away any chance that the Rangers had of making a comeback in the 4-0 win for the visitors. SS Edgar Renteria is now batting .429 in the series, while Huff is up to .357. Game 1 was supposed to be a game in which Lincecum had to be flawless just to compete with greatness. However, he got away with an incredibly mediocre start, particularly by his standards. Lincecum went just 5.2 innings and allowed four earned runs on eight hits with two walks, striking out just three Rangers. However, his batting order really picked him up on that epic Wednesday night, as San Fran logged an 11-7 victory. It was a great time for the G-Men to score the most runs in a game that they put together for their top right hander since winning 15-2 over the Milwaukee Brewers on July 7th.

Rangers Notes: The Rangers might have been a scrappy club all season long that figured out how to win games when they really needed to, but this mountain is probably going to prove to be too hard to climb. The offense was really shut down on Sunday night, as one again, no one on the team produced more than one hit, and there were only five base runners in total. Once again, Texas wasn't able to really get its speed game involved on the base paths, and once again, the end result was a lackluster result on the scoreboard itself. Perhaps even more frightening on that Halloween night was the fact that the bullpen once again proved to be shoddy at best. This unit did throw five innings, but it allowed two runs and really took any chance away from the lineup of coming back to produce. The damage was done with RHP Tommy Hunter left though, as his two runs allowed on five hits in four frames was just too much to get away with on this night. On Monday, it will probably be the swan song for LHP Cliff Lee. The southpaw is probably throwing in his last game as a member of the Rangers, as he will become a free agent immediately when the season is over with. This will be his first and only outing at home of the playoffs and will need to be another remarkable start for Texas to live another day and force this series back to San Fran. Lee allowed six earned runs and seven in total in just 4.2 innings of work, easily marking the shortest outing with the fewest strikeouts, the most hits allowed, and the most runs allowed in his postseason. He had thrown 24 innings in the playoffs prior to that shaky outing in Game 1 of the World Series, and had struck out 34 batters to show for it after allowing just two runs.

The Final Word: For a team that has looked absolutely dominating in this series, we find it hard to believe that the Rangers are going to choose right now to get their bats rolling. This was expected to be a pitcher's dream in Game 1, and though we got the polar opposite then, we'll get exactly what we bargained for in Game 5. Unfortunately for Lee and the faithful in Arlington, this will be the last game of the season as well, as one blunder will lead the Giants to the title.

Free World Series Picks: San Francisco Giants +165
Prediction: San Francisco 2 – Texas 0

 
October 30th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Join us at Cappers Info, as we make our World Series picks for Game 4 of the Fall Classic between the San Francisco Giants and the Texas Rangers.

Matchup: San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers Game 4
Date: Sunday, October 31st, 7:57 ET
Location: Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Texas -135
Over/Under 9 (o+105)

Giants Notes: The Giants picked a particularly poor time to go flat in Game 3 of the World Series. After exploding both in Games 1 and 2 of the Fall Classic, the bats just simply failed San Fran in Game 3. No man in the lineup mustered more than just one hit on the day, and only five hits were recorded in total. The only two runs of the game came courtesy of solo homers, one by OF Cody Ross and one by OF Andres Torres. OF Pat Burrell was particularly awful, going 0-for-4 for four strikeouts. Burrell is now 0-for-9 in this series and has eight strikeouts. It was a poor outing on Saturday for LHP Jonathan Sanchez as well, as he gave up four runs and six hits in 4.2 innings in the worst start of his postseason. Now, it will be up to another lefty, LHP Madison Bumgarner to right the ship in this very crucial Game 4. Bumgarner, a rookie, has pitched extremely well in the postseason. He earned the 'W' in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Atlanta Braves in the close out game of the series, and though his Game 4 start against the Philadelphia Phillies was nothing to write home about, he did pitch two scoreless innings in relief to help nail down the final game of that series as well. Bumgarner can't end the World Series on Sunday night, but what he can do is put the Rangers in a world of hurt. This lefty was absolutely phenomenal on the road this season, going 6-3 with an amazing 1.91 ERA. Batters also only hit .250 against him away from Candlestick Park this year.

Rangers Notes: Texas knew that it really needed to come up with a grand showing in its first ever World Series game at home, and that's exactly what it came up with. It was the first game in this series in which the bullpen was spotless, throwing 1.1 innings of shutout ball, and it was also the first time that the team was able to really play from ahead for an extended period of time. The offensive firepower came from a very unlikely source though, as 1B Mitch Moreland knocked a three run dinger in the second inning to get the scoring started. OF Josh Hamilton also went yard in the fifth to open up the lead to 4-0. Both SS Elvis Andrus and 3B Michael Young had a pair of singles on the day. RHP Colby Lewis did the rest. Lewis picked a great time to arguably come up with the start of his life. He pitched 7.2 strong innings of work, giving up two solo homers and three other hits on the day to notch his first ever World Series 'W'. The temptation to start LHP Cliff Lee has to have been there at least for a little bit in the back of manager Ron Washington's mind, especially knowing that he could turn around and pitch Game 7 as well if need be, but knowing that he is going to be able to use his best bullet in the gun in Game 5 and will be guaranteed the chance to use him in this series at least once more made the decision a lot easier. RHP Tommy Hunter hasn't been the greatest pitcher in this postseason, but the one thing that he is certainly traditionally able to do well is pitch at home. Arlington has treated Hunter very well, as he went 7-0 with a 3.06 ERA this year there in 11 starts and one brief relief appearance at the end of the regular season. Hunter does have a 6.14 ERA this year in the playoffs in two starts, but all that Washington is asking him to do on this night is to keep the Rangers in the game, and hope that the bats and extended bullpen will be able to do everything else.

The Final Word: This is a really short line on a team that has played very well at home and has a renewed sense of confidence about it after the Game 3 victory. At some point, the Rangers are going to start hitting again with runners in scoring position, and if that happens, there is a good chance that Bumgarner could get chased early. We'll take our chances on the home prowess of Hunter even though he hasn't pitched all that well in the postseason.

Free World Series Picks: Texas Rangers -135
Prediction: Texas 6 – San Francisco 2

 
October 28th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Join us at Cappers Info, as we make our World Series picks for Game 3 of the Fall Classic between the San Francisco Giants and the Texas Rangers.

Matchup: San Francisco Giants @ Texas Rangers Game 3
Date: Saturday, October 30th, 6:57 ET
Location: Ballpark in Arlington, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Texas -145
Over/Under 8.5 (o-110)

Giants Notes: After scoring just 30 runs in the first two rounds of the postseason, the Giants have suddenly watched their bats come alive. They have plated a whopping 20 runs over the first two games of the World Series, and they have picked up runs in bunches, scoring at least three runs in three different innings over the first two games. Both 1B Aubrey Huff and SS Edgar Renteria are batting .429 to lead the G-Men in batting for this series, but 3B Juan Uribe leads the team with five RBIs. The bullpen got over a very shaky ninth inning against the Rangers on Wednesday night by coming out and throwing 1.1 of perfect baseball to shut the door on Texas in Game 2. LHP Jonathan Sanchez is going to be the man tabbed with the job of essentially putting this series away on Saturday night in the Lone Star State. The lefty will be facing Texas for the second time in his career, but his only appearance came out of the bullpen. In 2009, he got two outs without allowing a base runner and picked up the win in doing so here in Arlington. So far in the playoffs, things are going from good to bad to worse for Sanchez. He allowed just one run in 7.1 innings of work in Game 3 of the NLDS against the Atlanta Braves, but turned around and gave up eight hits and five runs in just eight innings in two starts against the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS. Sanchez will once again be making a start on the road, where he hasn't won since September 5th and is just 0-2 in five starts since then. The good news for this lefty is that he does have 19 strikeouts in the postseason, but he had 11 of those in his first start.

Rangers Notes: The rookies to the Fall Classic, the Rangers are in a heck of a lot of trouble right now. They are in a spot where they have absolutely imploded in two straight games, and they have to come back home knowing that they probably have to win all three games just to essentially give themselves a chance of coming back to Arlington with the World Series trophy in hand in another week or so. One thing is for certain, and that's that the bullpen is absolutely going to have to get better. This unit was bad in Game 1, giving up four runs in just 3.1 innings of work, but on Thursday, things got significantly worse. A good start by LHP CJ Wilson ended with him coming out with a blister, and that's when the fun really got started for the Giants. After LHP Darren Oliver pitched a scoreless inning, the eighth was a total calamity. After getting the first two outs via strikeout, a hit, four straight walks, a single, and two extra base hits plated seven runs to cripple any chance of making a comeback. Texas has already left 25 men on base in this series and is coming off of a game in which it batted 0-for-8 as a team with runners in scoring position. Only 1B Mitch Moreland is batting better than .250 in the regular lineup in this series, and SS Elvis Andrus, 3B Michael Young, OF Josh Hamilton, OF Vladimir Guerrero, and OF Nelson Cruz combined to go just 5-for-35, a .143 batting average in San Fran. Now, RHP Colby Lewis takes the bump on Saturday night, hoping to continue his good fortunate from the ALCS. Lewis won the clinching game of the series, going eight strong innings against the best lineup in baseball, that of the New York Yankees. He allowed just one run on three hits and struck out seven, the most he has K'd in a game since September 21st.

The Final Word: The Rangers just look like a defeated team right now. The Giants have mojo and swagger, while Texas just looks like a team that has been through the mill. You know what they say about beating the defending champs… It takes everything out of you. The Tampa Bay Rays looked that way after beating the Boston Red Sox in 2008. Now the Rangers look the part after beating the Yankees this year. The heart and hustle from this squad is gone. All that's left is a beaten down team with very little confidence. Back the Giants to effectively end the World Series on Saturday.

Free World Series Picks: San Francisco Giants +135
Prediction: San Francisco 8 – Texas 2

 
October 26th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Join us at Cappers Info, as we make our World Series picks for Game 1 of the Fall Classic between the San Francisco Giants and the Texas Rangers.

Matchup: Texas Rangers @ San Francisco Giants Game 1
Date: Wednesday, October 27th, 7:57 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Game Line: San Francisco +105
Over/Under 5.5 (o-110)

Rangers Notes: The Rangers must think that they are in the driver's seat in this game, as they think that LHP Cliff Lee is going to be the man to get the job done in at least Game 1, if not also in Game 4 and possibly Game 7 of this series. And why not? Lee pitched a great game in Game 1 of the ALDS against the Tampa Bay Rays, a phenomenal game in Game 5 to close them out, and a virtually perfect performance on the hallowed ground of Yankee Stadium in a backbreaking Game 3 of the ALCS. This southpaw just keeps getting better and better as well. Lee has thrown 24 innings in these playoffs, and he has only allowed 13 hits, two runs, and one walk, and he has 34 strikeouts to boot. Opposing batters are only hitting .151 against him in these playoffs, and his ERA has dropped to a miniscule 0.75. The hitters really haven't let this team down either in the postseason. The Rangers are getting great play from OF Nelson Cruz. He is batting .375 to lead the team, and he is also tops on the team in runs (11) and home runs (5). 2B Ian Kinsler has three dingers and five total extra base hits, and he leads the team in run production with nine RBIs. Only one regular batter, OF Josh Hamilton, is batting under .250 for the playoffs, and he has eight RBIs as well. Stealing bases has been key for the Rangers as well. This team built on hustle and hard play, and SS Elvis Andrus has stolen seven of the 15 bases for them in 11 postseason tussles. Texas has only been caught stealing twice. If it comes down to the bullpen, the Rangers have been very, very iffy. This unit has allowed 13 runs in 28.2 innings of work for just a 4.08 ERA.

Giants Notes: RHP Tim Lincecum has taken on the best that baseball has to offer in these playoffs, and he has passed almost every single test. If not for the no hitter pitched on the same day by Philadelphia Phillies RHP Roy Halladay, Lincecum's complete game shutout probably would have gone down as the greatest postseason pitching performance that we have seen since Don Larsen's perfect game in the World Series. However, Lincecum didn't stop there. He turned around and outpitched the man that overshadowed him on the first day of the postseason, beating Halladay in Game 1 of the NLCS. Though Lincecum got the loss in the rematch with Halladay in Game 5, he got a hold in the close out game of the series. If the Giants are going to beat the odds to win the World Series, OF Cody Ross is going to be the man to thank. Ross has four home runs in the postseason, and the rest of the team only has one. Ross also has eight RBIs, while the next highest total on the team is OF Pat Burrell's four. C Buster Posey is the only man aside from Ross to be batting over .300 in the postseason. Only four men are batting at least .250. The trick for San Francisco has been the bullpen. Closer Brian Wilson has coined the phrase "Fear the Beard," and he has certainly been a man to fear in these playoffs. Wilson is 1-0 with four saves and a perfect 0.00 ERA in 7.1 innings of work in the playoffs.

The Final Word: An interesting note… This is the lowest 'total' in baseball history, regardless of whether it was a regular season or postseason game. Though common thoughts would suggest that this benefits the team that can make things happen on the base paths, especially with a dominating pitcher on the mound, we tend to disagree. Lincecum has beaten the best there is in the game, and with just one bloop here and there and perhaps a well overdue blast from someone aside from Ross, the Giants can take Game 1.

Free World Series Picks: San Francisco Giants +105
Prediction: San Francisco 3 – Philadelphia 1

 
October 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Join us at Cappers Info, as we make our World Series picks for Game 2 of the Fall Classic between the San Francisco Giants and the Texas Rangers.

Matchup: Texas Rangers @ San Francisco Giants Game 2
Date: Wednesday, October 28th, 7:57 ET
Location: Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA
Game Line: San Francisco -125
Over/Under 7 (o+100)

Rangers Notes: The Rangers have to wonder what hit them after they jumped out of the blocks with a 2-0 lead in the first two innings of the World Series on Wednesday night. RF Vladimir Guerrero, who would normally be the designated hitter when playing at home, had a good day at the plate, as he went 1-for-4 with two RBIs in Game 1. However, he also made two of Texas' four errors on the day. C Bengie Molina, a former member of the Giants, had a pair of hits. The undoing for this team was the fact that LHP Cliff Lee allowed seven runs, six of which proved to be earned in just 4.2 innings of work. It was a shocking result for a team that relied so heavily on its ace en route to its first World Series. If Texas has anything to fall back on, a nice rally that included three runs in the ninth inning might be something worth noting even though it fell well short of the seven necessary to come back and win Game 1. On Thursday night, LHP CJ Wilson will look to shake his rocky ALCS off in his first ever appearance in the Fall Classic. This is also Wilson's first game against the Giants in his career as well. Last week against the Yanks, this southpaw was torched for eight earned runs and nine in total in just 12 innings of work. He was the loser in Game 5 against LHP CC Sabathia, and the team also lost when he was on the bump in Game 1 as well. Perhaps Wilson's problem is that he has thrown so many innings this year. He is already at 222.1 innings of work, and for a man that was a reliever for the majority of the rest of his career, this is culture shock to his arm.

Giants Notes: If you had told Giants bettors that they were going to watch RHP Tim Lincecum allow four runs in 5.2 innings of work on Wednesday night, each and every one of them would be saying that Game 2 would be a must win in this series after a bad Game 1 loss. That just wasn't the case though, as the bats that have been in hibernation finally picked a great time to wake up. Beating up Lee wasn't something that was expected at all for a team that only scored 30 total runs in 11 postseason games. Four hits, three of which were doubles and three RBIs for 2B Freddie Sanchez immediately makes him the leader in the clubhouse for the MVP award in the series. 1B Aubrey Huff had three hits as well. The kill shot though, came in the fifth inning, when 3B Juan Uribe blasted a three run homer to cap off a six run fifth inning that not only chased Lee, but effectively ended the game as well. The big concern for manager Bruce Bochy is that six different arms in his bullpen had to be used to close out a game that was never really that close late on, and that could come back to hurt on Thursday night. Still, RHP Matt Cain is a pitcher to be trusted. He has yet to allow a run in the playoffs, and he is only seeming to get stronger and stronger in spite of the fact that he has thrown 240 innings this year. Cain only has one start against the Rangers in his career, and that was last season. He allowed just one run on three hits and struck out eight in eight innings of work to earned a win.

The Final Word: The Rangers have to start to wonder what in the heck they have to do to win a game here at Candlestick Park. All-time, they are 0-10 here now, including this Game 1 defeat. These are short, short odds for a home team in the postseason. We might not have the better team 1 to 25, but we do have the better arm and home field advantage in this game. Because of that, our World Series free picks are clearly on the G-Men.

Free World Series Picks: San Francisco Giants -125
Prediction: San Francisco 6 – Texas 3