Posts Tagged ‘Cincinnati Reds’

October 15th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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The MLB postseason is finally here! Here at Cappers Info, we have all of the ins and outs that you need to know before making your picks in the League Championship Series that being on Friday. Use this as a reference not only for betting games in this series, but for futures World Series bets as well.

MLB Playoff Pick #1: Philadelphia Phillies (-250 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. San Francisco Giants: Neither one of these offenses has really done anything to wow us at this point, but both pitching staffs have been absolutely phenomenal. We tend to believe that the bats of the Phils are bound to wake up at some point. Guys like 1B Ryan Howard, 2B Chase Utley, and SS Jimmy Rollins aren't going to be batting right at or below the Mendoza Line for the entire postseason, and inevitably, a spark is going to happen at some point. The Phils have a distinct edge in the fourth game in this series thanks to the fact that Joe Blanton is significantly better than any fourth man that the G-Men will throw out there. We'll take our chances with RHP Roy Halladay and RHP Roy Oswalt at home in Games 1 and 2 due to the fact that these men have combined for just one loss for their team in the City of Brotherly Love since July. Heck, Oswalt has never led his team to a loss at home as a member of the Phils. It's hard to sit here and lay this type of lumber against guys like LHP Jonathan Sanchez, RHP Matt Cain, and RHP Tim Lincecum, but it's easy to do when you have the arms to counter that. Philly just needs to hold home field advantage in this series to be okay. We tend to believe that the hosts take four of the first five games in this series, but that Game 4 edge is going to cripple the Giants when push comes to shove. We're worried about the Philadelphia bullpen, but this unit only had to pitch four innings in the entire first round against the Cincinnati Reds… four spotless innings. If we knew that the bullpen was going to be virtually flawless for the Phils, we'd lay -400. As it is, the easy pick is Philadelphia in 6 games.

MLB Playoff Pick #2: New York Yankees (-170 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. Texas Rangers: Before you make your MLB picks in this series, you have to ask yourself one very important question: Is heart and hustle really good enough to beat the New York Yankees? In a game, sure. Even two, possibly three. We'd believe it. But there's just too much pop in this New York lineup to be beaten, right? The starting pitching for the Rangers clearly looks overmatched in at least the first two games, and it's really hard to say that there's a distinct advantage for LHP Cliff Lee against one of the best postseason pitchers ever in LHP Andy Pettitte. New York isn't going to make the same mistakes in the field that the Tampa Bay Rays did, which is going to cut down on the blunders that Texas can capitalize on. The lineup for the Yanks just has too much for most of these Rangers pitchers to overcome. In the three games in the ALDS, the Bronx Bombers had nine men bat at least .273, and only OF Brett Gardner had a relatively lousy series at .200. Oh, the man batting .273… some 3B Alex Rodriguez guy. It's horrible for the Rangers to think that they needed to use Lee earlier this week to close out the Rays and not be able to use him until Game 3 in this series. By then, the ALCS might effectively be over. Don't be shocked if this series is a sweep, but it certainly isn't going back to Texas once it leaves there. Put away your antlers. The Evil Empire is ready to strike once again. Yankees in 5.

 
October 5th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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The MLB postseason is finally here! Here at Cappers Info, we have all of the ins and outs that you need to know before making your picks in the four series that begin on Wednesday. Use this as a reference not only for betting games in this series, but for futures World Series bets as well.

MLB Playoff Pick #1: Atlanta Braves (+160 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. San Francisco Giants: There's just something we like about the Braves right now. A feel good story always seems to rule the day, at least early in the playoffs. Case in point… Remember the Tampa Bay Rays in 2008 and the Colorado Rockies in 2007? These were teams that really sort of snuck up on everyone to make the playoffs, and when they finally got there, they did a ton of damage. Neither one won the World Series, but both did at least get there. Tim Hudson has been pitching out of his mind right now, and though the Braves don't have a bullpen full of names, if the rest of the starters can just stick with the powerful arms for the Giants, the pen can do its job. Remember the name Brian McCann. With Chipper Jones out of the lineup, it will be up to McCann, who led the team in homers with 21, to try to lead the way. Atlanta has a real chance to steal one of these first two at home, especially with its two aces on the mound, and if that happens, San Fran must watch out. The Braves had the best home record in baseball with 56 wins.

MLB Playoff Pick #2: Philadelphia Phillies (-300 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. Cincinnati Reds : We know that absolutely anything can happen in the playoffs, but it's been over two months since any of the four big starters, Roy Halladay, Cole Hamels, Roy Oswalt, and Joe Blanton have been beaten at home by any team in baseball. We don't really love Cincinnati's odds, particularly in the first two games in the City of Brotherly Love. We admire the grittiness of this team, but when push comes to shove, Cincinnati is the one team that really doesn't look like it belongs in the playoffs, as it took out a lousy division and really doesn't have the pitching rotation to keep up with any of the eight teams, let alone that of perhaps the best staff in the game. Unless Brad Lidge and Ryan Madson implode, this series shouldn't be all that difficult. The Phillies are the one team that really sprinted to the finish line this year, and if that momentum keeps going, this could be a very, very short series.

MLB Playoff Pick #3: Texas Rangers (+150 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. Tampa Bay Rays : Be careful what you wish for, Tampa Bay! The Rays worked hard to get home field advantage throughout the American League playoffs, and they got just that, but now, they're probably going to have to figure out how to beat Cliff Lee at least once, if not twice, in order to get to the ALCS for the second time in team history. We don't love Tampa Bay's odds. Not only was Lee absolutely on fire in the postseason last year, but in Game 2, James Shields leaves us with no confidence, as he was one of the worst money pitchers amongst the teams in the playoffs and has been pitching horribly down the stretch. To top it off, there will be absolutely no home field advantage in Tampa Bay, as we know that the fans aren't showing up for the first two games of this series in the middle of the week and the middle of the afternoon. This is a very dangerous spot for the team with the best record in the AL, and we are here to exploit that.

MLB Playoff Pick #4: Minnesota Twins (+150 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. New York Yankees: These two teams might be a heck of a lot more evenly matched than the oddsmakers are letting in on. The Bronx Bombers might have a nightmarish lineup to try to face, but beyond CC Sabathia, is there really a pitcher in this rotation that you're ready to back up the truck on and back in MLB betting action? There certainly isn't from our standpoint. If this becomes a bullpen series, we love Minnesota's chances even though the Yanks have arguably the best closer ever both in terms of regular season and postseason accomplishments in Mariano Rivera on their side. Matt Capps, Jon Rauch, Jose Mijares, and Brian Fuentes are all absolutely studs out of the pen, and Rod Gardenhire knows how to use them. Justin Morneau won't be available at all during this series with his post concussion complications, but who cares? Even without one of the best hitters in baseball, the Twins have been on a roll. That should continue with a great series victory over the defending champs.

 
March 22nd, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

As a part of our MLB betting previews for the 2010 season, Cappers Info poses ten questions that should be on the minds of all baseball fans in the NL West as they prepare to make their MLB picks for the year.

Check Out all of our World Series odds at the bottom of this post

1: Can the #1 and #1A for the Cardinals continue to pitch like Cy Young candidates? Manager Tony LaRussa had better hope so. SPs Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright combined to win 36 games last year, and each had sub-2.75 ERAs. Now that fellow SP Joel Pineiro has departed, there really isn't a ton of depth in the St. Louis rotation, so Carpenter and Wainwright are once again going to have to carry the load to take some pressure off of a suspect bullpen.

2: Is OF Alfonso Soriano finished? The former New York Yankees phenom only batted .241 last year with just 46 extra base hits, 20 of which were home runs. However, 118 strike outs in 117 games played just isn't going to cut it, and neither will a .303 OBP. For a player that is as much of a liability on defense as Soriano is, he had better be a legitimate 30/30 prospect every single year, or the boys from the Windy City may have to consider making a move.

3: How many home runs will 1B Prince Fielder and OF Ryan Braun hit this year? 80? 90? Heck, 100? The only thing that is going to stop these two from blasting at least as many as the 78 home runs is the fact that there just isn't any protection in this lineup for them unless one of these youngsters that they're throwing in the field is going to step up and pick up some of the slack. Still, pitching to these two is always lethal, and considering the fact that both are still very, very young, they're both only getting better from here.

4: Is there any hope for the Pirates this year to break their dastardly streak of losing seasons? In a word, no. If you want a great quiz in a bar (even in Pittsburgh), ask any so called sports fan to name the five starting pitchers for the Pirates. Beyond Zach Duke, you may not hear any other names if you surveyed an entire sports bar. Save 2B Akinori Iwamura, there really isn't much experience in the field, and now that both middle infielders Jack Wilson and Freddie Wilson have been traded, there isn't much to get excited about any more in Steel Town.

5: Aroldis Chapman: The real deal or a real bust? The only thing that this fire balling southpaw has going against him is that Dusty Baker is the man that is going to be taking care of his arm. Chapman's talent level is clearly off the charts, as he can throw the ball at least 102 MPH on a relatively regular basis. However, with Baker's history of ruining the careers of Mark Prior and Kerry Wood, the Cuban defect has to be concerned.

6: Is the Matt Holliday/Albert Pujols combination the best in baseball? There's an argument that Braun and Fielder is a better combo, there may not be better in all of the MLB than what the big bats in St. Louis are going to accomplish. Unlike in Milwaukee, there is a ton of protection floating around in the Cards' lineup, which could lead for some mega, mega numbers for Pujols (.327, 47 HRs, 135 RBIs) and Holliday (.353, 13 HRs, 55 RBIs in 63 games with St. Louis).

7: Can Lou Pinella figure out his bullpen issues? Chicago ranked just 20th in baseball in the bullpen last year, and a lot of that was because RPs Kevin Gregg and Carlos Marmol never really got things going. Gregg (4.72 ERA, 23/30 save chances) is now departed, which leaves Marmol (3.41 ERA, 15/19 save chances) as the one true closer option. He'll have to keep it together to pick up the slack for a rotation that is effective, but doesn't eat a ton of innings.

8: Does the ageless Trevor Hoffman have another full season under his belt? Why not? Hoffman doesn't throw the ball 100 MPH anymore, but he went 37 for 41 last year in save chances and had a 1.83 ERA. The future Hall of Famer is really the only solid option for nailing down games for Manager Ken Macha, and for as cut and paste as the rest of this pitching staff from #1 to #11 is, Hoffman is going to have to be the consistent, calming influence in the bunch.

9: Is this the year that the Reds finally break the .500 mark? It had better be, or Manager Dusty Baker is going to find himself without a job. The addition of SS Orlando Cabrera was a quiet signing in the offseason, but he's the type of consistent ball player that can solidify a lineup that already features three sluggers in 1B Joey Votto, 2B Brandon Phillips, and RF Jay Bruce. Cincinnati definitely has the ability to compete in this division in '10.

10: Bottom Line: How will the standings look in the NL Central when the season is said and done? This is the question that we will pose for all six divisions and is the one of most importance. Are there are teams in this division that really have the horses to win the World Series? Probably not. However, there are a ton of teams that can win 80+ games in this division, which should make the race for the pennant incredibly interest… Cardinals, Cubs, Reds, Brewers, Astros, Pirates

Odds to win World Series at BetUS Sportsbook (as of 3/15/10)
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St. Louis Cardinals -190
Chicago Cubs +350
Cincinnati Reds +700
Milwaukee Brewers +800
Houston Astros +2000
Pittsburgh Pirates +10000
 
2010 World Series Odds @ Diamond Sportsbook (as of 3/15/10)
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St. Louis Cardinals -160
Chicago Cubs +300
Cincinnati Reds +700
Milwaukee Brewers +900
Houston Astros +1800
Pittsburgh Pirates +5000
 
Current Odds To Win The World Series @ 5Dimes (as of 3/15/10)
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St. Louis Cardinals -175
Chicago Cubs +330
Cincinnati Reds +700
Milwaukee Brewers +750
Houston Astros +2500
Pittsburgh Pirates +9000
 
March 17th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

Perennial powers in the college basketball betting world will collide in the first round of the NCAA Tournament on Thursday night when the #9 Wake Forest Demon Deacons (19-10, 15-11 ATS) do battle with the #8 Texas Longhorns (24-9, 10-19 ATS).

What's At Stake: The winner of this game will most likely get a chance to take on the #1 Kentucky Wildcats on Saturday for the right to go to the Sweet 16 in March Madness. The loser's season comes to a bitter and premature ending by their standards.

College Basketball Odds: Texas -5 at JustBet Sportsbook

Wake Forest Notes: The Demon Deacons put themselves in a lot of hot water for this tournament by losing four straight games right at the end of the regular season. As a result of that and a first round elimination in the ACC Tournament, they still haven't even reached 20 wins, making them one of the few teams amongst these 64 left standing that can say that. Thanks to a high-motor offense that takes a lot of shots and a defense which forces a ton of bad shots, the Deacs are a tremendous rebounding team, averaging a whopping 39.4 per game against 34.7 for the opposition. Wake's offense is stellar at 73.0 points per game, but its defense makes it go, allowing teams to shoot just 38.3% from the floor on the year.

Texas Notes: Speaking of teams that fell a long way in a hurry… Remember when Texas was ranked #1 in the country and considered a shoe-in for a #1 seed in the dance? What happened? The Horns stumbled in Big XII play and are now subjected to a very, very difficult road to the Sweet 16. Much like Wake Forest, Texas is a tremendous rebounding team thanks to its size and length. It is averaging almost an identical number of rebounds per game as the Demon Deacons (39.5 per game), but it is +9.1 rebounds per game as compared to the +4.6 for its foes. The Longhorns have the seventh ranked offense in the nation at 81.2 points per game.

Players to Watch

Aminu Al-Farouq, Wake Forest Demon Deacons: Averaging 15.7 points and 10.7 rebounds per game isn't easy over the course of a season, particularly in the ACC. But Al-Farouq not only pulled it off this year, but he expected significantly better. The big man has had four straight very poor games, averaging just 9.0 points and 8.3 rebounds per game, numbers that must improve if the Demon Deacons are getting through Round 1 of the tournament.

Damion James, Texas Longhorns: James' descent this year was also a big part of the reason for the Longhorns' decline. He never completely fell off the face of the earth like the team did though, as he has scored in double digits in all but three games this year and had 17 double-doubles. Much like Al-Farouq, James is averaging a double-double per game at 18.0 points and 10.4 rebounds per game.

Trends of Note

-Wake Forest is 6-0 ATS in its L/6 games against teams with a winning percentage of at least .600
-Wake Forest is 10-1 ATS in its L/11 games as a underdog of less than seven points
-Wake Forest is just 6-24 ATS in its L/30 neutral site games
-Texas is 6-2 ATS in its L/8 games against ACC opponents
-Texas is 3-11 ATS in its L/14 games as a favorite
-Texas is 3-14 ATS in its L/17 games against teams with a winning record
-Texas is 2-0 ATS in the L/2 meetings with Wake Forest (both in 2004)

Final Analysis: This is a hefty pointspread for a game that looks like it is largely a tossup. The Longhorns get a bid of a nod for their rebounding advantage and the fact that they played so well outside of the Big XII this year, but Wake Forest has enough weapons both on the inside and the outside to keep up with Texas if the boys in burnt orange try to make this a track meet. Even if the Horns advance, Wake should stay in front of this number.

Selection: Wake Forest +5