Posts Tagged ‘Free NFL picks’

November 27th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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I am the Gridiron Great, and I have been handicapping the NFL for a number of years. I've learned the ins and outs of what it takes to beat the bookies at this game, and I know just how difficult it can be. Do you think you can beat me at my own game? Every week that you do, you'll be entered into a grand prize drawing at the end of the season for a $1,000 Oddsmaker Sportsbook account. You can also collect a $100 account from Oddsmaker just by having the most picks correct amongst Cappers Info readers, so long as you beat me!


Click Here to Sign Up for the Greatness of the Gridiron Challenge!

There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 12 picks…

Minnesota Vikings (+1) @ Washington Redskins – Everything suggests that the Redskins should be winning this game, as they are coming off of a great OT victory against the Tennessee Titans and are playing against a Minnesota team that is really just a train wreck right now. However, do you remember what happened when the Dallas Cowboys fired HC Wade Phillips and let Jason Garrett take over? Now, Dallas looks like a bunch of gangbusters. I'll take my chances that Minnesota +1 is the right choice for new HC Leslie Frazier.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills (+6.5) – An interesting line here… Three weeks ago, Buffalo would have been a double digit underdog in this one. The Steelers haven't had their very predictable trip up yet against a team that they have absolutely no business losing to, and though I'm not so certain that this is going to be the week, I know that the Bills are playing their best ball of the year, and they are catching Pittsburgh at a time in which it is still reeling with a lot of line injuries on both sides of the ball. I'll grab Buffalo +6.5.

Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (-6.5) – The Texans continue to invent new ways to lose games, but there's no way that they are losing this one to a team with QB Rusty Smith at quarterback, right? The only way that Houston gets beat here at home is if RB Chris Johnson goes absolutely bananas… just like he did twice last season. But I tend to think that this tough luck Texans squad will get the job done on Sunday just simply out of being in survival mode. I'm backing Houston -6.5.

Jacksonville Jaguars (+7) @ New York Giants – Something really seems wrong right now with the Giants, as they just don't have the look of a team that is winning the Super Bowl or even making the playoffs this year. There are a lot of injuries for QB Eli Manning to contend with, as he won't have the services of either WR Steve Smith or WR Hakeem Nicks on Sunday. Jacksonville is playing its best ball of the season and is really in a position to make the AFC South. Though I'm not so sure that the men from the Sunshine State are going to be pulling off the upset, I'll gladly take Jacksonville +7.

Carolina Panthers (+10) @ Cleveland Browns – Welcome back in the saddle, QB Jake Delhomme! The former Panthers signal caller is going to be leading his new team into battle on Sunday. Assuming that I am dealing with QB Jimmy Clausen and not QB Brian St. Pierre, I have to go with Carolina +10 in this one. There is just no way that I can lay double digits with the Browns no matter where the game is being played.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5) – Tampa Bay really still hasn't beaten a great team this year, but after pitching a shutout against the San Francisco 49ers, there are some more heads turning in the direction of the 7-3 Bucs. Still, the Ravens are a 7-3 team as well, as I already know that they are a fantastic team. Baltimore might be the best in the NFL, and if that's the case, this isn't a game that it should be losing, or even remotely struggling in. Go with the Ravens -7.5 to make a huge statement.

Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears (+3.5) – I am so tired of hearing all of this BS about how the Bears aren't a great 7-3 team. Are they going to make the playoffs? I don't know. Toss a coin in the air in the crowded NFC. However, I know that the Eagles are the most overhyped team in the NFC right now, and there is no way that they should be favored at Soldier Field at the end of November. QB Michael Vick could put up another one of these superhuman efforts and beat the snot out of me, but I'll take my chances with the Bears +3.5.

Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons (-2) – This is probably the best game of the day, and it might be the best game of the entire season. The Packers are one of the best teams in the NFC, and they are in a spot where they can become the top team in the conference with a 'W' and some help. QB Aaron Rodgers has a shot to beat up on the Atlanta secondary, which is clearly the soft underside on the belly of this team as a whole. However, QB Matt Ryan has only lost one game at home in his career, and if the Falcons are going to be the best team in the NFC and have the road ot the Super Bowl go through the Georgia Dome, they have to win this one. Atlanta -2

Miami Dolphins @ Oakland Raiders (OTB) – No picks in this one folks. Sorry about that. Until we know who is playing quarterback for either of these teams, there is no sense in trying to make an NFL pick on the game.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) – The Chiefs are going on the road in this one to one of the toughest venues to try to play ball at, Qwest Field in Seattle. The Seahawks are just a different team there, and with QB Matt Hasselbeck in the saddle again, they are very, very tough to tame. It only seems like a matter of time until KC collapses under the pressure of the charging San Diego Chargers. Besides, there's no way that all four teams in the NFC West are going to be under .500 after 12 weeks, right? I've gotta go with Seattle +1.5 at home.

St. Louis Rams (+4) @ Denver Broncos – The Rams are a team with some mojo right now, but they are playing some fantastic defense in relation to what they had played last season when they were just a god awful team. The Broncos are snake bitten right now, and they aren't going to be able to win this game by this many points in all likelihood. Simply put, I'll take St. Louis +4

San Diego Chargers @ Indianapolis Colts (-3)Remember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! The Colts seem to make a living out of beating NFL spreads like this one. QB Peyton Manning and company wouldn't be in the playoffs if they started today, and "The Sheriff" clearly isn't going to like that. I know that the Chargers are on a roll, but they know that they are winning the AFC West with or without this game. At some point, Indianapolis needs a wakeup call. This is the game that that happens. The Colts -3 are my choice for Sunday Night Football.

Official Week 12 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Minnesota Vikings @ Washington Redskins (-1)
Pittsburgh Steelers (-6.5) @ Buffalo Bills
Tennessee Titans @ Houston Texans (-6.5)
Jacksonville Jaguars @ New York Giants (-7)
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns (-10)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Baltimore Ravens (-7.5)
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) @ Chicago Bears
Green Bay Packers @ Atlanta Falcons (-2)
Kansas City Chiefs (-1.5) @ Seattle Seahawks
St. Louis Rams @ Denver Broncos (-4)
San Diego Chargers @ Indianapolis Colts (-3)

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The New England Patriots will be putting the best record in the NFL on the line on Thanksgiving Day this week, as they pay a visit to the stingy Detroit Lions in their annual Thanksgiving Day NFL betting battle.

Matchup: New England Patriots @ Detroit Lions
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 12:30 ET
Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Game Line: Detroit +6.5
Over/Under 50.5

Patriots Notes: The Patriots have struggled at times this season on the road, as they were defeated by the Cleveland Browns two weeks ago. They also tend to play to the level of their opponent, something that championship teams tend to not do. Still, New England is at 8-2 after ten games and has to feel like a playoff spot really has been locked down, especially if it can win this one. QB Tom Brady is coming off of a pedestrian game against the Indianapolis Colts in which he didn't even make it to 200 yards passing, but his numbers this year still suggest him being an MVP candidate. Brady has thrown for 2,362 yards and 19 scores against just four picks in 2010. His running game might get a boost this week as well, as RB Fred Taylor might be returning from a toe injury that has kept him out of the lineup for the last two months. In the interim, RB Danny Woodhead and RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis have done their job, combining to rush for 879 yards and ten scores. Keep a close eye on the two rookie tight ends that Brady has to work with as well. TE Aaron Hernandez is second on the team in receptions with 35 and yards with 444, and he has found pay dirt three times. No one has scored more through the air this year than TE Rob Gronkowski though, as he has six scores on his 20 receptions. Defensively, New England is struggling, allowing 398.4 yards and 24.2 points per game. The first number is the third worst mark in the NFL, but is countered by an offense that is scoring a league best 28.9 points per game.

Lions Notes: Detroit may have had a lot of fight in its tank early in the season, but back to back failed attempts at covering the NFL odds have really hampered its progress. Playing without QB Matt Stafford has really hurt, and though backup QB Shaun Hill has potentially proven that he can earn back a starting job with another team next year, he just isn't good enough to lead a very young offense to wins on a regular basis. Hill has 1,921 passing yards and a dozen scores against nine INTs on the campaign. His biggest problem is going to be figuring out who to turn around and hand the ball to. RB Jahvid Best is out of the lineup with turf toe, and there isn't another player on this team that has more than 21 carries for the season. RB Maurice Morris is likely to get the nod, but he only has 41 yards on 21 carries this season. The Lions only have five rushing touchdowns this year, and Best and Stafford have accounted for all five. Though this is a defense that is improving, there are still some major problems to be worked out. The Lions have allowed at least 24 points six times this year and have given up at least 35 twice. Unless that really improves dramatically, the men from the Motor City are going to continue losing games.

The Final Word: It's kind of cool looking at how polar opposite these teams really have been over the years since their last meeting here in Detroit on Thanksgiving Day in 2002. The Pats have a pair of Super Bowl rings and an undefeated regular season, while the Lions haven't even sniffed the playoffs and have an 0-16 campaign under their belts. Though we know that Detroit isn't as bad as its 2-8 record and that New England isn't as good as its 8-2 record, we also know that the Lions are 0-6 SU and ATS over the last six years on Thanksgiving Day, and with such a great team coming to town, there is no way that they are going to be able to fend off a near certain defeat that will probably come by at least two scores, if not more.

Free Pro Football Picks: New England -6.5
Prediction: New England 34 – Detroit 18

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Dallas Cowboys have hit their stride in recent weeks and have finally started playing some great ball just in time for the holidays. However, the New Orleans Saints are still in search of a playoff spot in the tightly contested NFC and would love to pick up this NFL betting 'W' on Thursday afternoon.

Matchup: New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 4:15 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Dallas +3.5
Over/Under 51.5

Saints Notes: The biggest concern that the Saints have right now is whether or not RB Reggie Bush is going to be back in the lineup. Many thought that he would be back last week against the Seattle Seahawks, but HC Sean Peyton elected to hold him back for a few more days to get ready for the bigger test against Dallas. RB Pierre Thomas has been back at practice as well, and though he isn't quite ready to come back to the team as of yet, getting back either one will help out a squad that only has four rushing TDs for the entire season. Needless to say, this has piled a ton of pressure on the right arm of QB Drew Brees, as he has had to carry this entire offense at times by himself. Brees will become the fourth quarterback in the NFL to reach the 3,000 yard barrier on Thursday afternoon, as he already has 2,969 yards and 22 TDs. New Orleans is averaging 286.8 yards per game through the air and 382.3 yards per game in total, both marks of which leave it in the Top 5 in the NFL. Defensively, things are significantly better than they appear. Statistically, this is already a great team, as the Saints rank No. 4 in the league in total defense and scoring defense and No. 2 in pass defense. However, they have had a number of scores against them either directly or indirectly courtesy of the offense and special teams, and if you take those scores away, New Orleans is allowing less than 13 points per game. Brees has thrown for more touchdowns than teams have scored against the Saints defense this year.

Cowboys Notes: The Cowboys have put forth their two best efforts of the entire season since getting Interim HC Jason Garrett in command of the troops. HC Wade Phillips had watched his team give up at least 34 points in four of his last five games before getting fired, and Garrett has come in and kept the New York Giants and Detroit Lions to a total of just 39 points in two games. Things are looking great this year for WR Miles Austin, TE Jason Witten, and WR Dez Bryant. Those three already all have over 500 yards this year, and all three could threaten the 1,000 yard barrier when the season is said and done. QB Jon Kitna is doing a nice job taking care of this offense in the absence of QB Tony Romo. Kitna has thrown for 1,223 yards and ten scores against seven picks in numbers that looks awfully comparable to those of his injured predecessor. The problem that Dallas has right now is that it cannot run the football. We're still puzzled as to why as well, as all three of RB Marion Barber, RB Felix Jones, and RB Tashard Choice are all still in the lineup on a regular basis and none have been injured. Over his career, LB DeMarcus Ware has accounted for 73 sacks. If he can get 1.5 more on Thursday against a New Orleans team that he ripped to shreds last year, he'll be at double digits for the fifth straight campaign. Stopping Ware is going to be paramount for the Saints to be able to win on Thanksgiving Day.

The Final Word: The Saints might be on the verge of missing out on the playoffs, but they are a lot better than a 7-3 record would suggest, particularly defensively. If that defense can get the job done against a relatively one dimensional Dallas offense and can get some good things going on the ground with a healthy combination of Bush and/or Thomas, Brees should be able to pick apart a questionable secondary for a ton of yards and a ton of points. New Orleans should rock and roll and get some real revenge for last season's loss to the boys from Big D.

Free Pro Football Picks: New Orleans -3.5
Prediction: New Orleans 41 – Dallas 27

 
November 25th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Cincinnati Bengals and New York Jets are really polar opposites of one another. Cincinnati just keeps finding ways to lose games, while the Jets just keep finding ways to win them. Though these two squads have exactly opposite records, there is no telling what could happen when the two meet in the Meadowlands in the first Thanksgiving Day home game ever played in the state of New Jersey.

Matchup: Cincinnati Bengals @ New York Jets
Date: Thursday, November 25th, 8:20 ET
Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Game Line: New York -9
Over/Under 43

Bengals Notes: Before last week's collapse against the Buffalo Bills, we really thought that the Bengals were going to keep control of their emotions this year and continue to compete in games. However, 35 second half points scored by one of the more embarrassing offenses in the NFL, and we beg to differ. One man that clearly isn't giving up is WR Terrell Owens. The future Hall of Famer has had a heck of a season off the streets for the Bengals, as he has caught 62 passes for 897 yards and eight TDs on the campaign. QB Carson Palmer has been up and down the whole year, and his numbers sort of reflect that. The good news is that he has completed 240 passes for 2,625 yards. Eighteen scores is excellent as well. The problem comes with a shaky 60.9 completion percentage and 13 INTs. Getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks is a hassle for the Bengals, which is shocking considering how good they were at it last year. No one on the team has more than two sacks, and they rank dead last in the conference in total sacks for the season. The numbers for this team are awfully mediocre, but they don't really indicate that they are a 2-8 team. Cincinnati is No. 14 in the NFL in total offense at 346.2 yards per game and No. 18 in total defense at 341.3 yards per game. The problem is that opponents are consistently putting points on the board. Only two have been held below 22 points for the entire year, and three teams have gotten to at least 38.

Jets Notes: New York has to feel good about the way that it has played this year, as it has eight wins, a lot of which have come against some solid clubs, especially in the AFC. If you take out those two losses at home, New York has scored at least 23 points in all of its games this year. As a result, the offense is averaging 364.6 yards per game and 23.8 points per game. QB Mark Sanchez really isn't completing a high enough percentage of his passes at just 55.1 percent, but his 2,293 yards and 15/7 TD/INT ratio are both good enough to suggest that he could be a Pro Bowler in the AFC. The ground game is always good for the Jets, but they have had some pressure taken off of them this year with the emergence of Sanchez as a great passer. RB LaDainian Tomlinson has resurrected his career, as he has rumbled for 684 yards and five scores. Though RB Shonn Greene has only found pay dirt once, his 505 yards have been critical for the success that the team has had. Surprisingly, this isn't a team that intercepts a ton of passes. DB Darrelle Revis hasn't had an INT this season, and DB Antonio Cromartie only has two picks. Ranking No. 7 in total defense at 310.3 yards per game and No. 5 in scoring at 17.7 points per game almost seems to be a downer for a team that was just so dominating at times on that side of the ball over the course of last season.

The Final Word: Had this game been played last week, we'd be all over Cincinnati in a heartbeat, as we know that the Jets haven't always found ways to blow out teams, picking up its last four victories by a total of 16 points. However, the Bengals looked absolutely lost in the second half at home against the Bills, and after watching New York pound them into submission last year both in Week 17 and in the first round of the playoffs, we have no doubts that it is going to be another mess at the Meadowlands for the visitors.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York -9
Prediction: New York 30 – Cincinnati 13

 
November 18th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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I am the Gridiron Great, and I have been handicapping the NFL for a number of years. I've learned the ins and outs of what it takes to beat the bookies at this game, and I know just how difficult it can be. Do you think you can beat me at my own game? Every week that you do, you'll be entered into a grand prize drawing at the end of the season for a $1,000 Oddsmaker Sportsbook account. You can also collect a $100 account from Oddsmaker just by having the most picks correct amongst Cappers Info readers, so long as you beat me!


Click Here to Sign Up for the Greatness of the Gridiron Challenge!

There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 11 picks…

Oakland Raiders (+7) @ Pittsburgh Steelers – Plenty of interesting NFL lines this week, and I'm one who is a believer in the dogs having their day. Oakland is a team that is good enough to come into Pittsburgh and win this game. The Steelers could be in for a long decent again this year as they were in '09, and if they even have the slightest trip up, they are going to be in a lot of trouble in the AFC South race. The Raiders have control of first place in the AFC West right now for a reason. QB Jason Campbell should at least be able to keep this game tight. I'm going with Oakland +7.

Houston Texans (+7) @ New York Jets – Though I know that the moneyline price really justifies itself, I'm not so sure that the spread really does. Assuming that Houston's QB Matt Schaub does actually suit up, the Texans have the gunslinger that can pick apart this New York defense. The Jets aren't really built to blow you out, and they are in a position where they are going to have to throw the ball all over the field to do the most damage on Houston's porous secondary. This is the one truly contending team in the AFC that the Texans really could have their way with, even on the road, and I'm taking the points. Houston +7

Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Carolina Panthers – The Ravens are in the spotlight here, as they are in a position where they really should be posting an impressive victory. I was burned by QB Colt McCoy in his first career start for the Cleveland Browns against the Pittsburgh Steelers, but I have no problems going back to the well again going against QB Tony Pike. Carolina barely has 100 points scored this season. It probably isn't putting much distance between itself and that 100 point mark on Sunday. If Baltimore can get to 21, not only does it have blackjack, but it has a cover as well. Quoth the Ravens -10.

Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans (-7) – The Skins are a train wreck right now, as they have no confidence in their offense and their defense was just absolutely destroyed by QB Michael Vick and the Philadelphia Eagles in front of a national TV audience. Perception on this team isn't good, and I don't like betting against teams like that, but I know that this is a situation where the team was overhyped beforehand anyway. Don't be surprised to see Tennessee walk away with this in a romp as long as one of its QBs proves to be healthy. Tennessee -7.

Detroit Lions (+6.5) @ Dallas Cowboys – So Dallas beats the snot out of the New York Giants, and all of a sudden, it can be a world beater again? Remember what happened after the Cowboys beat the Houston Texans on the road? That's right. Nothing did. The Lions know that they need to win a road game one of these days, as 25 straight road losses is an NFL record. This might not be the game in which that streak stops, but let's be real about something: Dallas keeps finding ways to lose. The Lions keep finding ways to lose… but they also keep finding ways to cover spreads. Detroit +6.5

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings – Bye-bye Love Boat! You had better believe that the Packers would love nothing more than to pick off QB Brett Favre six times and get him yanked from what could be his final game as well. At some point, HC Brad Childress really has to bench Favre, and if that happens, it would be awfully poetic justice, considering the fact that his last pass as a Packer was picked off. You know what they say about karma, Brett. It'll bite you in the seat of your Wrangler jeans. I'm not letting this one bite me where the sun don't shine either. Green Bay -3

Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5) – The Bills are going to be trendy underdog selections in this game due to the fact that they have finally notched their first win, but I'm not buying it. The Bengals have a team that hasn't looked to have given up this year in spite of their 2-7 record, and as long as they keep up that mentality, this game should prove to be a victory. QB Carson Palmer could go absolutely bananas against this secondary, and if he does, Cincinnati -5.5 is the right NFL pick to make.

Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5) – Something just doesn't seem right here. The Browns are implied to be the better team in this matchup, as they would theoretically be -1.5 on a neutral field against Jacksonville. Am I missing something here? The Jags might not be that good, but they are a 5-3 team with QB David Garrard in the sling, and they just appear to be a blessed team after finding a way to put down the Houston Texans with that ridiculous Hail Mary last weekend. I'm not one to buck the trends of karma. HC Jack Del Rio knows that he's going to need some luck and that this won't be the easiest game in the world, but you've got to figure that Jacksonville wins this sucker at least 60% of the time, right? Jacksonville -1.5

Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8) – Someone please come and gouge my eyes out with a rusty fork. It might be less painful than trying to make a pick in this game. Toss a coin in the air… that's good enough. The Cards have no offense, but the Chiefs have no confidence, especially after getting totally blasted by the Denver Broncos last weekend. The hosts have a better all around resume and it isn't even close, so I guess I'll go with Kansas City -8 for the heck of it.

Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints (-12) – This is a heck of a lot of points to be laying in a game, especially with a team that already has an outright defeat at home to the Cleveland Browns on its resume this year. This is a legitimate playoff team that is coming to town, but I know that the Seahawks wouldn't finish in better than third place in any other division in football outside of the AFC West (and that's not a guarantee either). New Orleans is finally getting a running game back, as RB Reggie Bush expects to play after the team's bye week. That's a huge key that cannot be forgotten about, as QB Drew Brees has been turning around and handing the ball to a bunch of guys that were on the streets the week before of late. I just have a gut feeling that the Saints are going to start this second half of their season with fury and absolutely manhandle the Seahawks. Thus, the play is New Orleans -12 for yours truly.

Atlanta Falcons @ St. Louis Rams (+3) – The Falcons look like a tremendously better team than do the Rams on paper, but a closer inspection doesn't tell me that. Atlanta has made it because of the way that it has played at home this year. After all, QB Matt Ryan has only lost once at the Georgia Dome in his career, and that defeat didn't come this season. However, this is a 2-2 team on the road that really hasn't proven it can go much of anywhere to win games outside of the Peach State. The Rams are below .500, but they have a win against the San Diego Chargers at home and know that they are 4-1 while playing at the Edward Jones Dome. This would be one of those statement wins for a franchise that is turning around, and QB Sam Bradford might be in for a great day against a secondary that really hasn't been all that great. Don't be shocked to see the upset here, so I'm going with St. Louis +3.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers (-3) – The ghosts of trips to San Francisco are going to haunt the Bucs in this one. You know that they haven't won a game here since 1980?!?!?! Tampa Bay has beaten everyone that it was supposed to, but it hasn't done a darn thing against the teams it was supposed to lose to. This game is one of those that is sort of in the middle, and it is definitely a swing game for a team that is probably going to get the you know what beat out of it next week at the Baltimore Ravens. I just like the way that QB Troy Smith looks right now for the Niners, and I have confidence that he can win this game against a defense that really isn't all that great. I'm going with San Fran -3.

Indianapolis Colts (+3.5) @ New England Patriots – Again, this is going to be one of these games that more of you are on the Pats than are only the Colts, and that doesn't surprise me. After all, Indy looks like a mortal team right now and can't beat the pants off of anybody, while New England has beaten some of the best teams in the NFL and is about to come home after its destruction of the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday Night Football. However, there's something about "The Sheriff," QB Peyton Manning in a game like this. New England's defense just isn't that good, and everyone has seen it. Can the Colts take advantage? Many of you are going to bet against Manning. No way in the world will I do the same. Indy +3.5

New York Giants (+3) @ Philadelphia EaglesRemember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! Philly is hot. There's no doubt about that. However, we just love the matchup of putting this speedy defense against QB Michael Vick. New York's offense won't flounder like it did for most of last week against the Dallas Cowboys, and you can bet that the deep ball that worked so well for the Boys won't work again this week. Last week was simply a look ahead spot for the G-Men, and they aren't going to be caught napping again. All will be forgotten when they pull off the mild upset in the City of Brotherly Love and work towards the NFC East title once again. I'm closing out my Sunday with a big play on the Giants +3.

Official Week 11 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Oakland Raiders @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-7)
Houston Texans @ New York Jets (-7)
Baltimore Ravens (-10) @ Carolina Panthers
Washington Redskins @ Tennessee Titans (-7)
Detroit Lions @ Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Minnesota Vikings
Buffalo Bills @ Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5)
Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1.5)
Arizona Cardinals @ Kansas City Chiefs (-8)
Seattle Seahawks @ New Orleans Saints (-12)
Atlanta Falcons (-3) @ St. Louis Rams
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ San Francisco 49ers (-3)
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots (-3.5)
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles (-3)

 
November 17th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Miami Dolphins will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Chicago Bears on MNF.

Matchup: Chicago Bears @ Miami Dolphins
Date: Thursday, November 18th, 8:20 ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
Game Line: Miami -1
Over/Under 39.5

Bears Notes: Everyone who thinks that the Bears are legitimate Super Bowl contenders, say "aye!" Hmm… The only voice that I just heard was my own… Most don't believe in this Chicago team, but with each passing week, I'm starting to buy in more and more. Don't get me wrong… I hate QB Jay Cutler just like the rest of you, because I know that he is capable of throwing six picks every single time he takes the field. And sure, I know that this running game is a nightmare, not so much because of RB Matt Forte, but because of an offensively line that thinks that "block" is a four letter curse word. However, I look around at the talent on this team, and I see speedsters like WR Johnny Knox, explosive athletes like WR/PR/KR Devin Hester, and I see a defense that is really darn right good. LB Brian Urlacher wasn't on this defense for the majority of last year due to injury, but now that he is back and DE Julius Peppers has been added to the bunch, this unit is just lethal. No, Peppers isn't the sack machine that he was with the Carolina Panthers, but there is no doubting the fact that he has been a disruptive force in opposing backfields all season long and can still do things that most other ends in this league don't stand a chance at. Did you know that the Bears were second in the NFL in rush defense at a shade over 80 yards per game? Or that no one has scored more than 23 points against them this year? Or that they are second in the league in scoring defense? Or that they have only lost to one team by more than three points? If you just take a second to analyze what Chicago has done this year instead of what it hasn't done, you'll see just how strong this team is, particularly in a very, very weak division.

Dolphins Notes: And yet, so many people are trusting a man named QB Tyler Thigpen to lay points at home in a nationally televised game, four days after becoming the team's starting quarterback by default. Not only is Thigpen being thrust into this situation, but he is going to end up playing the whole way unless he gets hurt because no one else that is healthy is going to know the offense. Sure, the possibility is there that QB Chad Henne could be ready for this one, but many are excited by the way that Thigpen played against the Tennessee Titans on Sunday afternoon to help seal up the team's first home win of the season. Don't get enamored with these numbers that Thigpen put up in his days as the starting quarterback of the Kansas City Chiefs. Yes, he threw for 2,608 yards and accounted for a total of 21 TDs in 11 starts, but he also only completed 54.8 percent of his passes and was cut because he couldn't lead the team to victories. There's probably a reason that the other 31 GMs across the NFL had no interest in even making Thigpen a backup quarterback. Worse for Miami is the rushing game that is going against the best rush defense this side of the Pittsburgh Steelers. RB Ronnie Brown is coming off of a game in which he rushed for 11 yards on 12 carries against a Titans' 'D' that really isn't all that great. He only has 444 yards on the turf this year, which leaves him nowhere near on a pace for 1,000 yards on the campaign. RB Ricky Williams hasn't done much better. The defense? Giving up a modest 21.3 points per game and has been torched for an average of 28.0 points per game on the year at home.

The Final Word: Just don't fall into the trap this week with your NFL picks. It looks so easy to just lay that short point with the Fins, but don't do it! Chicago really does have the significantly better team, and even though this one is on the road, we still trust Cutler (goodness help us) a lot more than we do a third string quarterback, even if he is the best third stringer in the entire NFL. Back the Monsters of the Midway for the mild upset.

Free Pro Football Picks: Chicago +1
Prediction: Chicago 20 – Miami 13

 
November 14th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Washington Redskins will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles on MNF.

Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins
Date: Monday, November 15th, 8:30 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Game Line: Washington +3
Over/Under 42.5

Eagles Notes: It doesn't get much bigger than this for the Eagles. Philadelphia knows that it needs to put Washington out of its misery in the NFC East race to take a two game lead and potentially end up getting back into a tie for first place in the division should the New York Giants end up losing on Sunday. On the field itself, QB Michael Vick is going to try to exact some revenge against the team that knocked him out of the lineup for two weeks after suffering a jarring hit. Vick really didn't get a heck of a lot going for the Eagles in the first quarter of that game against Washington a month ago, but if he really thinks that he is an MVP candidate this year, he'll have to perform well on Monday to stay in the race. Vick hasn't been picked off yet this season and has thrown seven TDs and rumbled for two more. Between his rushing and passing, the former Atlanta Falcon has combined for 1,277 yards in a little more than four games played on the campaign. RB LeSean McCoy is playing like an MVP as well. He'll probably end up being a 1,000 yard rusher this year, having already made it to 572 yards in the first part of this season, and he also leads the team in receptions with 41. However, on the outside, the show belongs to WR Jeremy Maclin and WR DeSean Jackson. Maclin has 34 catches for 506 yards and six scores, while Jackson has 26 receptions for 504 yards and four TDs. Defensively, there is certainly no shortage of sacks and turnovers forced for the men in green and white. DE Trent Cole leads the sack brigade with seven on the season, while the top turnover machine is DB Asante Samuel. The former UCF Knight has picked off five balls this year, including intercepting QB Peyton Manning twice in last week's 26-24 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

Redskins Notes: The day of reckoning is here for the Redskins. After a 4-4 start to the season, this is the game that really could swing things one way or the other. A win gives the 'Skins the tiebreaker over the Eagles for the rest of the season and draws them level for second place in the NFC East. A loss drops them below .500 and probably two games out of the postseason picture with just seven games to play. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb has still yet to toss more than one TD pass in a game this season, and the last we saw of him was on the sidelines while QB Rex Grossman was running a poor two minute drill against the Detroit Lions. McNabb really hasn't said all that much about this situation, but you can bet that HC Mike Shanahan knows that he needs to remedy this situation with wins in a hurry, or he will be one of the few coaches in the NFL in recent years to be fired just one season after being hired. On the field itself, there are a number of players that are up in the air right now. RB Clinton Portis has been out of the lineup for the last five games with a groin injury, but he could be back on Monday, while S LaRon Landry (Achilles) and TE Chris Cooley (back) are both question marks in the lineup as well. If Portis can go, it will be interesting to see how he splits carries with RB Ryan Torain, who had two straight 100+ yard rushing games before getting hurt two weeks ago against the Lions. Cooley is important due to the fact that he is really the only viable short option receiver that the Redskins have. WR Santana Moss is having a great year with 48 catches for 604 yards and two scores, but he is better served running up the seams of the defense.

The Final Word: Washington has really played nothing but close games this year at home, winning twice and losing by a field goal twice. However, that's probably all stopping today. The Eagles just have a better team and clearly aren't in the same type of disarray right now that Washington is. HC Andy Reid knows that this is a huge game for his squad and cannot take his foot off of the gas pedal. Don't be shocked to see Philly come out and step on Washington's throat the same way that the Skins did to it a few weeks back early on and just never really get off. The Eagles will win this one by two scores and send the Redskins into panic mode.

Free Pro Football Picks: Philadelphia -3
Prediction: Philadelphia 27 – Washington 16

 
November 14th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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I am the Gridiron Great, and I have been handicapping the NFL for a number of years. I've learned the ins and outs of what it takes to beat the bookies at this game, and I know just how difficult it can be. Do you think you can beat me at my own game? Every week that you do, you'll be entered into a grand prize drawing at the end of the season for a $1,000 Oddsmaker Sportsbook account. You can also collect a $100 account from Oddsmaker just by having the most picks correct amongst Cappers Info readers, so long as you beat me!


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There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 10 picks…

Cincinnati Bengals (+7.5) @ Indianapolis Colts – I tend to get the impression that the Bengals have had it in this season, but I also tend to get the impression that the Colts are set to fall apart at any point now. No, QB Peyton Manning isn't going to let his team go on some four game losing streak, ala the Pittsburgh Steelers of last season, but winning games consistently by more than a touchdown in this league is one of the hardest things to do. I just don't see anyone, including the great Manning, being able to sit here and pull off something like this week after week. I'm going to take the points and go with Cincinnati +7.5

Houston Texans (+1) @ Jacksonville Jaguars – They may as well call this game the "Losing Coach Gets Fired On the Spot Bowl." No, a defeat won't directly cost either Jack Del Rio or Gary Kubiak his job right away, but either coach not making the playoffs this year is probably going to be handed a pink slip in January. The loser of this one certainly isn't going to the second season. Houston needs to kick it into gear, and it finally finds itself in a position that it has been in a lot this year: It is the better team on the field. I'm taking Houston +1.

Tennessee Titans (-1.5) @ Miami Dolphins – My favorite play of the week. The Titans make a living out of getting to the quarterback on defense, and they were already proven to be incredibly frustrated by the short passing game of the Broncos. QB Chad Pennington made a career of taking three steps and getting rid of the football with precision in spite of the fact that he probably couldn't throw the ball the length of an Arena Football field. HC Tony Sparano is a smart man. This will be the week that we see the "old school" Miami Dolphins come to play, with more Wildcat forms, more creative ways to get the ball into the hands of RB Ronnie Brown and RB Ricky Williams, and the sorts. Pennington won't be asked to do much. Remember that this is a team playing for its life as well, as you have to win a home game eventually to make the postseason. I love getting Miami +1.5 as a pup at home.

Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) @ Chicago Bears – Someone please hand me my rusty fork so I can jam my eyes out… It's less painful than watching this crappy game. The NFC North is turning into a division that I have about as much desire to watch (and handicap) as the NFC West, and that's saying something. There's just no allure in this game for me. HC Brad Childress is a dead duck just waiting to get picked off. HC Lovie Smith isn't making it through the season either because Jay Freaking Cutler is his quarterback. And who knows whether I'm going to see the QB Brett Favre that threw two picks and looked god awful against the lousy Arizona Cardinals secondary or see the one that threw for over 440 yards and led the team to two TDs in the fourth quarter against the exact same team. Screw it. Minnesota -1.5

Detroit Lions (+2.5) @ Buffalo Bills – See, at least this game has some intrigue to it! The Bills might be in their last chance to win a game this year, and they keep finding ways to lose games. The Lions might also be in one of their last chances to win a game this year, and they keep finding ways to lose games. Is it just me, or does this game just stink of something like five safeties, two touchdowns on weird, sloppy plays, and a pair of missed extra points? With the Lions down 12-10 (three safeties, a TD, and a missed PAT against two safeties, a TD, and a missed PAT), I really want to see DT Ndamukong Suh come on and try to kick a game winning field goal. I win either way, and I'm certainly going to get my laughter for the day. Seriously though… Why on earth are the Bills favored against anybody? Detroit +2.5

New York Jets (-3) @ Cleveland Browns – I'm sorry, but seeing HC Rex Ryan wearing a Browns shirt and coming to the table of his press conference wearing those huge curly locks was just hilarious. The Jets know that this is a chance to prove something special, and I think there's a reason that the oddsmakers have made this NFL line so tight. They're begging you to take the Browns here after their performance last week against the New England Patriots. This New York team has this thing called a "defense," though. You know, it's a foreign concept in the greater Boston area. Just ask the Red Sox pitching down the stretch of the season! Heh… Sorry. New York -3

Carolina Panthers (+7) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers – I never thought that the day would come where I would really be considering laying a touchdown with the Bucs. Let's face the facts here, though. Tampa Bay isn't a team that is going to blow you out by 20. It is going to stick around and find a way to take you down. Don't be overly shocked if the Bucs do just that against a bad Carolina team on Sunday. Goodness knows who is going to start the game (or finish it for that matter) for the Panthers at quarterback, but I'm taking Carolina +7 regardless.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos (+1) – Ever heard of this thing called "payback?" It's an interesting little creature that usually insists that when you're an underdog at home and have had two weeks to prepare for the team that single handedly knocked you out of the playoffs and ran up the score on you in the final game of the season in your backyard, that you tend to be just a little irked. You couldn't pay me to back KC in this one. I'm definitely going with the angry Broncos +1.

St. Louis Rams (+6) @ San Francisco 49ers – Don't get me wrong. I know that the 49ers are going to find some way to win this game, and the possibility is really there that they end up posting a blowout as well. There's just something that's rubbing me the wrong way about laying six points against the Rams right now. They're a stingy bunch, and they rarely seem to lose badly in situations like this one. I'm going to bank on QB Sam Bradford to not throw the game away, and if that's the case, St. Louis +6 is most certainly the right side.

Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (-3) – Just when I thought it didn't get any uglier than Minnesota/Chicago… This is the dog game of all dog games this week, which is really saying something considering how bad Detroit and Buffalo are. The Cards at least show some promise right now, but rather than justify why I think Arizona is going to win this game, I think I'll just stick with the fact that it's going to be awesome to wake up on Monday morning and see a 4-5 record sitting atop a division. Arizona -3

Dallas Cowboys (+14) @ New York Giants – I definitely am going to need my antacids for this game. This is going to be an ugly one. HC Jason Garrett is the only reason that I'm strongly thinking about playing on Dallas in spite of the fact that it has a dreadful 1-7 record both SU and ATS. These last eight games are going to show us where Garrett sits in this Dallas franchise, and we figure that he at least needs to go 5-3 to save his job and give him a chance to really become the new head coach of the Cowboys. I know the Giants are on fire, and I know that they manhandled Dallas in Big D just a few weeks ago, but something is telling me that two TDs is far too many to be laying in a divisional tussle. Dallas +14

New England Patriots (+4.5) @ Pittsburgh SteelersRemember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! Taking Pittsburgh is taking the easy way out. Perception, perception, perception! The whole world has seen these Steelers play some big time ball since QB Ben Roethlisberger has come back to the lineup, and it has seen them play some tremendous defense against some great teams. The whole world also just saw the Pats lose on the road to the Cleveland Browns. Yeah… Those Cleveland Browns. There's no way that a team coached by Bill Belichick got beat that bad in a game like that without holding a little something, something back. Don't be shocked if there is a new look for New England this week, and if that's the case, I'll take the Mad Scientist and his Patriots +4.5.

Official Week 10 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Cincinnati Bengals @ Indianapolis Colts (-7.5)
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars (-1)
Tennessee Titans (-1.5) @ Miami Dolphins
Minnesota Vikings (-1.5) @ Chicago Bears
Detroit Lions @ Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
New York Jets (-3) @ Cleveland Browns
Carolina Panthers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-7)
Kansas City Chiefs (-1) @ Denver Broncos
St. Louis Rams @ San Francisco 49ers (-6)
Seattle Seahawks @ Arizona Cardinals (-3)
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants (-14)

New England Patriots @ Pittsburgh Steelers (-4.5)

 
November 11th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Atlanta Falcons will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Baltimore Ravens on MNF.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Thursday, November 11th, 8:20 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Game Line: Atlanta -1
Over/Under 43.5

Ravens Notes: Last week, the Ravens finally got their defense rolling, holding the Miami Dolphins to just ten points after two straight bad games before their bye week. Baltimore is back atop the AFC North at 6-2 and is tied for the best record in football. With SS Ed Reed back in the fold, there is nothing that this defense can't do. Reed picked off three passes in his first two games back from an injury that cost him the first half of Baltimore's season. The Ravens are only a middle of the road offensive team statistically speaking, as the team ranks between No. 11 and No. 15 in virtually every major category on this side of the ball. However, it seems like just a matter of time before QB Joe Flacco, WR Anquan Boldin, RB Ray Rice, and the gang all shine at one time. Flacco is on pace to throw for nearly 4,000 yards this season, as he has 1,917 yards and 12 TDs on the season. He is hooking up with Boldin on a regular basis. Though the former Florida State Seminole only had two catches for 28 yards last week, he still has 40 grabs for 546 yards and five scores this year. Rice is the more interesting player for the Ravens, as he has 606 yards on the ground and 236 through the air. However, he only has two TDs. Last year, RB Willis McGahee was stealing touchdowns from him, but this year, McGahee only has four scores. DT Haloti Ngata is having himself a Pro Bowl type of season, as he has five sacks already on the campaign. DE Terrell Suggs has 4.5. On the injury front, the only man that is out of the lineup that will be back at some point over the course of the season is SS Tom Zbikowski, who lost his starting job two weeks ago when Reed came back anyway.

Falcons Notes: This is quite the interesting battle, especially for QB Matt Ryan. Ryan really isn't used to going against these ferocious types of defenses, and the last time he did, the Pittsburgh Steelers kept him out of the end zone for the entire game in a 15-9 defeat in the Steel City. However, "Matty Ice" is always a warrior at home, and he has led his team to a number of seemingly improbable results in the Georgia Dome during his day, particularly when the games are at their biggest. Ryan is having the best season of his career, having thrown for 1,949 yards and 13 TDs during the first half of the year. He is being helped out quite a bit by WR Roddy White, who is one of the top receivers in the NFL. White is in the Top 5 in the league in receiving yards with 796, and he has five scores as well. The ground game has been great as well, as RB Michael Turner and RB Jason Snelling have combined for 974 yards this year to go with seven combined TDs. The problem with last year's Atlanta team that narrowly missed the playoffs was that it really couldn't defend the pass, and that's exactly what is happening this year. The Falcons rank just No. 26 in the NFL against aerial assaults, and that was a problem that was supposed to be remedied by bringing in DB Dunta Robinson on the first day of free agency. Alas, Robinson has busted, and so has the Atlanta secondary.

The Final Word: You won't find a more evenly contested matchup than this one. Are the Ravens the best team in the NFL? We tend to believe so. But is there a team more difficult to beat on the road than the Falcons? That might be true as well. However, in spite of the fact that the Ravens are playing this game on just three days of rest and had to blow a day to travel, we think that they are just barely scratching the surface of their abilities, and if this is true, Atlanta and the rest of the NFL badly need to watch their backs. This could be a very dangerous team, especially if it can move to 7-2 on Thursday night as we are calling for in our NFL picks.

 Free NFL Football Picks:  Baltimore +1
 Prediction:  Baltimore 23 – Atlanta 20

 
November 7th, 2010 By GridironGreat

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I am the Gridiron Great, and I have been handicapping the NFL for a number of years. I've learned the ins and outs of what it takes to beat the bookies at this game, and I know just how difficult it can be. Do you think you can beat me at my own game? Every week that you do, you'll be entered into a grand prize drawing at the end of the season for a $1,000 Oddsmaker Sportsbook account. You can also collect a $100 account from Oddsmaker just by having the most picks correct amongst Cappers Info readers, so long as you beat me!


Click Here to Sign Up for the Greatness of the Gridiron Challenge!

There is no greater time to try to get into this competition than right now, as every week you beat me gives you another opportunity at that big cash prize at the end of the year. Let's get started right now with my Week 9 picks…

Chicago Bears @ Buffalo Bills (+2.5) – The crazy Canucks up in Toronto will love this one on Sunday afternoon, though it's a tough call whether the Bills or the Toronto Argonauts have the better team right now… Hey, Buffalo's gonna win one eventually, right? Besides, the Bears flat out suck, and there's just no two ways around that. I don't care whether Chicago had no bye week, one bye week, or 15 bye weeks coming into this one. The Bears aren't winning. Period. In QB Jay Cutler I trust… to throw four picks… Buffalo +2.5

San Diego Chargers @ Houston Texans (+2.5) – This is a heck of a lot of disrespect against the Texans… Reliant Stadium is still a heck of a place to go play football, as Houston always plays incredibly well there. One home win against the Tennessee Titans doesn't make up for these road losses against the Kansas City Chiefs, Oakland Raiders, and St. Louis Rams… The only thing that I'm afraid of is that QB Philip Rivers might throw for 600 yards in this one, as the Houston secondary has more holes than your average slice of Swiss Cheese. Still, the hosts shouldn't be dogs in this one, and I'm set to take advantage of grabbing a piece of Houston +2.5.

New Orleans Saints (-6.5) @ Carolina Panthers – I know that the Panthers fought tooth and nail with the Saints a few weeks ago in the Superdome, and I know just as well that New Orleans has been an atrocious road team this year, but as long as at least one of the big running backs on this team comes back, everything changes. The Saints don't rely on that rushing game much, but RBs Pierre Thomas and Reggie Bush really do keep defenders honest about defending the run, something that doesn't have to be done right now with these boards with angry faces that are running in the backfield right now. Carolina got its win. We don't know what more that it really wants…

Arizona Cardinals (+8.5) @ Minnesota Vikings – Does anyone else feel like HC Brad Childress is going to get fired after this week? The Cards aren't very good, but their offense is at least showing some signs of getting it together. QB Max Hall figured out that he is only going to be as good as he lets WR Larry Fitzgerald be for him, and if that keeps up on Sunday, there's a real chance at the upset. Minnesota needs wins and knows that it is still alive for a postseason push, but let's be real. QB Brett Favre should be benched. There's no emotional tie to him whatsoever, and he is playing like dog poo right now. I give Arizona a great chance in this one. I'm going with the Cards +8.5.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-8.5) – If it looks like a fish and it smells like a fish, there's probably something fishy about it. The Bucs are right there for the NFC South lead and can snare it with a win on Sunday. But for some reason, the oddsmakers are insistent that they are at least two scores worse than the Falcons are… And they're right. Atlanta might be the crème de la crème of the NFC, and off of a bye week, we love its chance. Sure, QB Josh Freeman is playing the best ball of his career, but the Falcons represent one of those proverbial "good teams" that Tampa Bay has to face every now and again. The two times that the Bucs faced "good teams" in 2010, they were crushed by both the Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints. Don't mind me, as I add Atlanta to that list. Falcons-8.5.

New York Jets @ Detroit Lions (+4) – Nope, the oddsmakers still haven't learned. The Jets are a bi-polar club that just seems to struggle at times for absolutely no reason whatsoever. QB Mark Sanchez is starting to get INT happy again, as he has four picks in his L/2 games after not throwing one in the first portion of the season, and the New York defense has to be scratching its head about what it needs to do to win games. In two defeats this year, the Jets have allowed 19 total points… and have scored just nine. The Lions are still on the rise, and I tend to think that they could still be a playoff team if given the chance. Don't be shocked if there isn't another wild upset in the cards on Sunday. Going with Detroit +4 is the easy call.

Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens (-4.5) – At some point, the Dolphins are going to lose a game on the road both SU and ATS, and this is a prime spot for that to happen in. This is the hardest venue that Miami has had to go into all season long, and with the Ravens coming off of a bad game and a bye week, you can bet that LB Ray Lewis and company are going to be in no mood to mess around. The Fins are a feisty little bunch, but that doesn't mean that they are capable of beating up one of the most physical teams in the NFL. Baltimore just seems to have a knack for winning games like this by some 20-13ish score line, and that's what I'm calling for again on Sunday. Baltimore -4.5 for yours truly.

New England Patriots @ Cleveland Browns (+5.5) – Here's your first of two major trap games for the weekend. The books are just begging you to take the Pats here, and for good reason. After all, they have the best record in football, they're one of the best ATS teams in the game as well, and they really do appear like they are a better team now that WR Randy Moss is no longer a part of it. Not so fast, my friends! Cleveland is coming off of a bye week, and the offense seems to at least be remotely competent with QB Colt McCoy calling the shots. The New England defense still really hasn't done all that much to impress me, as I think this is a unit that can be had. Oh, don't worry, the Mad Scientist, HC Bill Belichick isn't losing this game… But to watch an 11 point lead get cut to either three or five in the dying moments with a backdoor cover seems like what the oddsmakers are banking on. I'm not falling into this trap! Cleveland +5.5

New York Giants @ Seattle Seahawks (+6.5) – Have we learned nothing about betting against the Seahawks when they're playing at Qwest Field? You're going to ask the Giants to come all the way across the country into the most hostile environment in the league and beat down Seattle by at least a full touchdown? I mean, geez… I like the G-Men, but isn't this a little absurd? I guess the oddsmakers still don't really believe in the Seahawks like I do. It's an easy call to take Seattle +6.5 at home. even a week after the Hawks were clipped by the Oakland Raiders on the road.

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (-2.5) – Who would've thunk that both of these teams would really be in contention for the playoffs, while the San Diego Chargers are still just mired in their own little slump. Dare I say that Oakland has been the best team in the NFL over the last two weeks? It's fairly undeniable that something has clicked into place in the Black Hole, and the next team to feel the wrath of that might just be the Chiefs. Desperation might be kicking in for the Raiders as well, as they know that a loss here probably ends any hopes of making the playoffs. I'll lay the points and take Oakland -2.5.

Indianapolis Colts @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5) – And welcome to the biggest trap game that I have ever seen in all of my years of handicapping the NFL! The Colts are actually catching points for a change? It's not something that you see every day, and there is usually a reason for it. The Eagles have been preparing for this one for two weeks now, and they are going to be getting QB Michael Vick back once again. Add back WR DeSean Jackson to the mix as well. Indy is coming off of its biggest win of the season and is only a short week after playing on Monday Night Football in Week 8. There aren't many more raucous atmospheres than the one that QB Peyton Manning is going to try to conquer on Sunday afternoon. On paper, Indy's the better team. In this matchup though, Philadelphia -2.5 is the right choice.

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (-8)Remember to make your tiebreaker picks in this game!!! Simply put, I just can't trust the damn Cowboys. They have ruined more Survivor Pool contestants this year across the country than any other team, and the point has to just be realized that they aren't very good. Now, I'm not so sure the Packers are all that great either, and I hate taking a team that is coming off of its best game of the season when perception is as high as it has been on it all season long, especially in a primetime, standalone game. Yet, I hate Dallas that much… Thus I have no choice but to take Green Bay -8.

Official Week 9 NFL Lines Courtesy of Oddsmaker Sportsbook
Chicago Bears (-2.5) @ Buffalo Bills
San Diego Chargers (-2.5) @ Houston Texans
New Orleans Saints (-6.5) @ Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings (-8.5)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons (-8.5)
New York Jets (-4) @ Detroit Lions
Miami Dolphins @ Baltimore Ravens (-4.5)
New England Patriots (-5.5) @ Cleveland Browns
New York Giants (-6.5) @ Seattle Seahawks
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders (-2.5)
Indianapolis Colts @ Philadelphia Eagles (-2.5)

Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers (-8)