Posts Tagged ‘NFL betting’

November 14th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Washington Redskins will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Philadelphia Eagles on MNF.

Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles @ Washington Redskins
Date: Monday, November 15th, 8:30 ET
Location: FedEx Field, Landover, MD
Game Line: Washington +3
Over/Under 42.5

Eagles Notes: It doesn't get much bigger than this for the Eagles. Philadelphia knows that it needs to put Washington out of its misery in the NFC East race to take a two game lead and potentially end up getting back into a tie for first place in the division should the New York Giants end up losing on Sunday. On the field itself, QB Michael Vick is going to try to exact some revenge against the team that knocked him out of the lineup for two weeks after suffering a jarring hit. Vick really didn't get a heck of a lot going for the Eagles in the first quarter of that game against Washington a month ago, but if he really thinks that he is an MVP candidate this year, he'll have to perform well on Monday to stay in the race. Vick hasn't been picked off yet this season and has thrown seven TDs and rumbled for two more. Between his rushing and passing, the former Atlanta Falcon has combined for 1,277 yards in a little more than four games played on the campaign. RB LeSean McCoy is playing like an MVP as well. He'll probably end up being a 1,000 yard rusher this year, having already made it to 572 yards in the first part of this season, and he also leads the team in receptions with 41. However, on the outside, the show belongs to WR Jeremy Maclin and WR DeSean Jackson. Maclin has 34 catches for 506 yards and six scores, while Jackson has 26 receptions for 504 yards and four TDs. Defensively, there is certainly no shortage of sacks and turnovers forced for the men in green and white. DE Trent Cole leads the sack brigade with seven on the season, while the top turnover machine is DB Asante Samuel. The former UCF Knight has picked off five balls this year, including intercepting QB Peyton Manning twice in last week's 26-24 win over the Indianapolis Colts.

Redskins Notes: The day of reckoning is here for the Redskins. After a 4-4 start to the season, this is the game that really could swing things one way or the other. A win gives the 'Skins the tiebreaker over the Eagles for the rest of the season and draws them level for second place in the NFC East. A loss drops them below .500 and probably two games out of the postseason picture with just seven games to play. To make matters worse, QB Donovan McNabb has still yet to toss more than one TD pass in a game this season, and the last we saw of him was on the sidelines while QB Rex Grossman was running a poor two minute drill against the Detroit Lions. McNabb really hasn't said all that much about this situation, but you can bet that HC Mike Shanahan knows that he needs to remedy this situation with wins in a hurry, or he will be one of the few coaches in the NFL in recent years to be fired just one season after being hired. On the field itself, there are a number of players that are up in the air right now. RB Clinton Portis has been out of the lineup for the last five games with a groin injury, but he could be back on Monday, while S LaRon Landry (Achilles) and TE Chris Cooley (back) are both question marks in the lineup as well. If Portis can go, it will be interesting to see how he splits carries with RB Ryan Torain, who had two straight 100+ yard rushing games before getting hurt two weeks ago against the Lions. Cooley is important due to the fact that he is really the only viable short option receiver that the Redskins have. WR Santana Moss is having a great year with 48 catches for 604 yards and two scores, but he is better served running up the seams of the defense.

The Final Word: Washington has really played nothing but close games this year at home, winning twice and losing by a field goal twice. However, that's probably all stopping today. The Eagles just have a better team and clearly aren't in the same type of disarray right now that Washington is. HC Andy Reid knows that this is a huge game for his squad and cannot take his foot off of the gas pedal. Don't be shocked to see Philly come out and step on Washington's throat the same way that the Skins did to it a few weeks back early on and just never really get off. The Eagles will win this one by two scores and send the Redskins into panic mode.

Free Pro Football Picks: Philadelphia -3
Prediction: Philadelphia 27 – Washington 16

 
November 11th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Atlanta Falcons will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Baltimore Ravens on MNF.

Matchup: Baltimore Ravens @ Atlanta Falcons
Date: Thursday, November 11th, 8:20 ET
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA
Game Line: Atlanta -1
Over/Under 43.5

Ravens Notes: Last week, the Ravens finally got their defense rolling, holding the Miami Dolphins to just ten points after two straight bad games before their bye week. Baltimore is back atop the AFC North at 6-2 and is tied for the best record in football. With SS Ed Reed back in the fold, there is nothing that this defense can't do. Reed picked off three passes in his first two games back from an injury that cost him the first half of Baltimore's season. The Ravens are only a middle of the road offensive team statistically speaking, as the team ranks between No. 11 and No. 15 in virtually every major category on this side of the ball. However, it seems like just a matter of time before QB Joe Flacco, WR Anquan Boldin, RB Ray Rice, and the gang all shine at one time. Flacco is on pace to throw for nearly 4,000 yards this season, as he has 1,917 yards and 12 TDs on the season. He is hooking up with Boldin on a regular basis. Though the former Florida State Seminole only had two catches for 28 yards last week, he still has 40 grabs for 546 yards and five scores this year. Rice is the more interesting player for the Ravens, as he has 606 yards on the ground and 236 through the air. However, he only has two TDs. Last year, RB Willis McGahee was stealing touchdowns from him, but this year, McGahee only has four scores. DT Haloti Ngata is having himself a Pro Bowl type of season, as he has five sacks already on the campaign. DE Terrell Suggs has 4.5. On the injury front, the only man that is out of the lineup that will be back at some point over the course of the season is SS Tom Zbikowski, who lost his starting job two weeks ago when Reed came back anyway.

Falcons Notes: This is quite the interesting battle, especially for QB Matt Ryan. Ryan really isn't used to going against these ferocious types of defenses, and the last time he did, the Pittsburgh Steelers kept him out of the end zone for the entire game in a 15-9 defeat in the Steel City. However, "Matty Ice" is always a warrior at home, and he has led his team to a number of seemingly improbable results in the Georgia Dome during his day, particularly when the games are at their biggest. Ryan is having the best season of his career, having thrown for 1,949 yards and 13 TDs during the first half of the year. He is being helped out quite a bit by WR Roddy White, who is one of the top receivers in the NFL. White is in the Top 5 in the league in receiving yards with 796, and he has five scores as well. The ground game has been great as well, as RB Michael Turner and RB Jason Snelling have combined for 974 yards this year to go with seven combined TDs. The problem with last year's Atlanta team that narrowly missed the playoffs was that it really couldn't defend the pass, and that's exactly what is happening this year. The Falcons rank just No. 26 in the NFL against aerial assaults, and that was a problem that was supposed to be remedied by bringing in DB Dunta Robinson on the first day of free agency. Alas, Robinson has busted, and so has the Atlanta secondary.

The Final Word: You won't find a more evenly contested matchup than this one. Are the Ravens the best team in the NFL? We tend to believe so. But is there a team more difficult to beat on the road than the Falcons? That might be true as well. However, in spite of the fact that the Ravens are playing this game on just three days of rest and had to blow a day to travel, we think that they are just barely scratching the surface of their abilities, and if this is true, Atlanta and the rest of the NFL badly need to watch their backs. This could be a very dangerous team, especially if it can move to 7-2 on Thursday night as we are calling for in our NFL picks.

 Free NFL Football Picks:  Baltimore +1
 Prediction:  Baltimore 23 – Atlanta 20

 
November 4th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Cincinnati Bengals will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on MNF.

Matchup: Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals
Date: Monday, November 8th, 8:30 ET
Location: Paul Brown Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Game Line: Cincinnati +5
Over/Under 41.5

Steelers Notes: The Steelers have a lot of issues right now, but there are so many positive things going their way that they are hard to ignore. LB James Harrison has had a number of talks with the NFL about these hits that he has been issuing to opposing players, and it is a wonder whether that is going to really hurt this defense when push comes to shove. Pittsburgh has the most feared defense in the NFL, especially for opposing ground games. The Steelers are allowing a svelte 58.9 yards per game on the ground, easily the best in the NFL, and opposing rushers are averaging less than three yards per carry this year. The secondary has been a tad suspect, allowing 243.1 yards per game, but the end result has only been allowing 14.6 points per game. QB Ben Roethlisberger really hasn't played all that well this year, but he is hitting the big shots that this offense direly needed. Following his four game suspension for violating the league's personal conduct policy, Big Ben has come back and completed 63.4 percent of his passes for 754 yards and five TDs against two picks. WR Mike Wallace has only caught 17 passes this year, but he has certainly made the most of them, accounting for 397 yards and four TDs. WR Hines Ward has now caught 15 passes in his last three games, which is a real switch from the six catches he had in his previous three games. This offense just won't go anywhere without RB Rashard Mendenhall, though. He has a whopping 146 carries this year for 603 yards and six of the offense's 14 TDs on the season.

Bengals Notes: The Bengals are about as bi-polar as you can get this year, and the captain of this bi-polar ship is QB Carson Palmer. Palmer has had three games this year in which he has thrown for at least 345 yards, but four games in which he hasn't even reached 210 yards. The good news is that he is really getting the ball through his four top targets. WR Terrell Owens has 45 catches this season for 629 yards and five years in a season that is reviving his career. WR Chad Ochocinco has 458 yards and two TDs. The two rookies on this offense, WR Jordan Shipley and TE Jermaine Gresham have combined for 53 catches, 550 yards, and three TDs. RB Cedric Benson has rushed for 545 yards this year and two TDs, but he just doesn't feel like he has the same sort of gusto this year that he did when he was named Comeback Player of the Year in 2009. The real problems are coming on the other side of the ball, though. The Bengals only have six sacks as a team, which is tied for the worst mark in the NFL, and if you take away DB Leon Hall, the team only has a total of ten forced turnovers in seven games. This unit has allowed at least 22 points in each of its last four games, all defeats both SU and ATS. Needless to say, a sixth loss this year, especially with a trip to Lucas Oil Stadium coming up next week, would be catastrophic. This schedule is brutally tough down the stretch, and things are going to need to change in a hurry for "Who Dey" nation to get back towards the postseason again.

The Final Word: The Bengals have everything to play for here, but if there is a team that can just suck the wind out of a stadium, Pittsburgh is it. It might not be the prettiest of games, but making your NFL picks on the Steelers seems to be the right call even though this is a lot of points to be laying on the road, especially in a divisional tussle. You can bet though, that the Steelers are going to be looking for a big time serving of revenge to heap on Cincinnati's plate after last year's sweep that helped keep the black and gold out of the playoffs.

Free Pro Football Picks: Pittsburgh -5
Prediction: Pittsburgh 16 – Cincinnati 6

 
November 1st, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Indianapolis Colts will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Houston Texans on MNF.

Matchup: Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts
Date: Monday, November 1st, 8:30 ET
Location: Lucas Oil Field, Indianapolis, IN
Game Line: Indianapolis -5.5
Over/Under 49.5

Texans Notes: The argument could be made that this is the most important game in the history of the Houston Texans. They have never won game in Indianapolis in franchise history, going 0-8 SU in eight tries, and they have never swept a season series against the Colts. At 4-2 coming into Week 8, Houston is a half game behind the Baltimore Ravens for the last Wild Card spot in the AFC and a half game in the rears of the Tennessee Titans for first place in the AFC South. A win could put the team back in first place of the division by itself and will give it a one game lead on the Colts with the tiebreaker for the rest of the season. A loss will almost certainly make the task virtually impossible to get into the postseason, especially with a very difficult schedule left to contend with. There are a number of suspensions and injuries that the Texans have to cope with as well. LB DeMeco Ryans, once a Rookie of the Year in the NFL, was put on IR last week with an Achilles tendon tear, and LT Duane Brown is going to be sitting this one out with a suspension. In the Week 1 meeting of these teams, a 34-24 win for the host Texans at Reliant Stadium, RB Arian Foster went absolutely bananas, running for 231 yards and three TDs on 33 carries. Foster has calmed down quite a bit since that point, but still is in the Top 5 in the NFL in rushing with 635 yards. WR Andre Johnson is well on his way to another 1,000 yard campaign for Houston, as he has 488 yards in just five games and will certainly be a threat to go off for a huge day in Indy on Monday Night. The problem is going to come with a secondary that many think is the worst in the league, averaging allowing 306.2 yards per game.

Colts Notes: QB Peyton Manning had a field day against Houston seven weeks ago, throwing for 433 yards and three TDs in one of the best days of his career. His problem this week is going to be that 22 of his receptions from that Week 1 loss are out of the lineup. WR Austin Collie is listed as doubtful with a hand injury, while TE Dallas Clark's season is over with a wrist injury that he was put on IR for last week. The injury woes continue with DB Jacob Lacey and RB Joseph Addai, both of which are doubtful as well. P Pat McAfee has been suspended to boot. We already know that long term absentees S Bob Sanders, DT Antonio Johnson and S Melvin Bullitt are out for this one as well. Needless to say, Manning has a lot of problems to contend with on both sides of the ball. Still, he'll have WR Reggie Wayne and WR Pierre Garcon, and should be getting back WR Anthony Gonzalez for the first time in well over a season's worth of play. RBs Mike Hart and Donald Brown should get the majority of the carries, though we know that Manning is probably going to be throwing the ball 50+ times in this game against this secondary. The rush defense for Indy is about as woeful as the pass defense is for Houston. However, this is no surprise for any NFL historians, as the Colts have always struggled trying to stop the run. This year is no exception, as they are conceding 137.3 yards per game in that department. Up front, this offensive line has kept Manning relatively clean this year with just six sacks allowed, but three of those six sacks came against these Texans. Someone is going to have to figure out how to put a hat on DE Mario Williams, who only had one sack that day, but did wreck a ton of havoc in the Indy backfield.

The Final Word: Manning knows that this is a game that could start the decline in his career, as a loss would make the road to the postseason incredibly difficult, especially at 0-3 already in division with two games against Tennessee to go. No. 18 won't let it happen. However, this game is still that important to Houston, and we have a feeling that this will be one of these games that Manning leads the troops down on a game winning drive to break the Texans' hearts. We'll take the points.

Free Pro Football Picks: Houston +5.5
Prediction: Indianapolis 27 – Houston 24

 
October 24th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Dallas Cowboys will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the New York Giants on MNF.

Matchup: New York Giants @ Dallas Cowboys
Date: Monday, October 25th, 8:30 ET
Location: Dallas Cowboys Stadium, Arlington, TX
Game Line: Dallas -3
Over/Under 44

Giants Notes: The G-Men have some major injury woes right now that are really potentially going to take them out of their comfort zone. QB Eli Manning has to deal with a knock to WR Hakeem Nicks. It is unknown whether Nicks, the team's top receiver, is going to be playing or not on Monday night, as he sat out most of this week's practices with a hamstring injury. The bigger problems come on the defensive side of the ball, where both DE Justin Tuck and DE Mathias Kiwanuka have been on the sidelines. Kiwanuka is certainly out for the foreseeable future after suffering a herniated disc, while Tuck, though listed as probable, has also sat out of practices with an injured ankle. This has really opened up the door for DE Osi Umenyiora to wake up once again. Umenyiora, who was once a Pro Bowl defensive end when lined up opposite the great DE Michael Strahan, had lost his ways in recent seasons. However, being inserted into the starting lineup once again has really made all the difference in the world for the big man. He has seven sacks and six forced fumbles in his last three games! After a dismal 1-2 start to the season in which the team only played once even remotely decent game (against a terrible Carolina Panthers squad, at that), things have changed for Big Blue quite a bit. They have rolled off three straight wins, including a dominating 34-10 performance at Reliant Stadium against the Houston Texans two weeks ago. The Giants didn't cover the 10 point NFL spreads last weekend against the Detroit Lions, but the outright victory has them at 4-2 and sitting tied atop the NFC East standings through six weeks.

Cowboys Notes: HC Wade Phillips must be seeing yellow flags in his sleep. His Cowboys are still averaging getting penalized over 11 times per game this season, including last week when they racked up nearly a football field's worth of flags in a loss to the Minnesota Vikings. The 'L' really put Dallas' back against the wall again, as this week, the team is now 1-4 and is 2.5 games out of first place of the division and just as far back for either of the Wild Card berths that the conference has to offer. Is this a do or die? A win would move Big D back within 1.5 of the Giants with the tiebreaker, but a loss would be catastrophic. The offense has been doing its job at least in terms of scoring, as the team has dropped at least 21 points in four straight games after being held to just seven against the Washington Redskins in Week 1. The defense has failed and failed miserably since the bye week though, allowing 34 to the Tennessee Titans and 24 to the Vikes last week. This is a rare state for Dallas as well, as it is just 0-2 SU and ATS this year at home and really can't afford to drop to 0-3. It's hard to argue with the core numbers for these guys, though. The offense ranks No.3 in the league at 400.0 yards per game, QB Tony Romo is on pace for almost 5,000 yards this year through the air, and the 'D' has held foes to just 281.4 yards per game, good enough for No. 4 in the NFL.

The Final Word: We've been living and dying with the Cowboys this year, and if they're going down, we're going down with them. Their core numbers are just shockingly good for a team that has been this bad. Once someone gets into the heads of these guys that they are really that good of a squad and they stop committing these dumb penalties, they're going to be a force to be reckoned with. Maybe the bright lights of MNF will be what the Cowboys need to get back in the saddle this week.

Free Pro Football Picks: Dallas -3
Prediction: Dallas 24 – New York 16

 
October 17th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Jacksonville Jaguars will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the Tennessee Titans on MNF.

Matchup: Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Date: Monday, October 18th, 8:30 ET
Location: Ever Life Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
Game Line: Jacksonville +2.5
Over/Under 45

Titans Notes: The Titans have been a weird team this year from the standpoint that they are just 1-2 at home and are 2-0 on the road. When RB Chris Johnson runs for at least 100 yards on the day, Tennessee is 3-0 SU and ATS. When he doesn't, it is 0-2 SU and ATS. Needless to say, for a man that has already carried the ball a whopping 113 times this year in just five games, Johnson has his work cut out for him once again on Monday Night Football. When QB Vince Young drops back to throw the football, he is usually looking to get the pigskin to either WR Nate Washington or WR Kenny Britt, particularly near the end zone. Young has only thrown for six scores this year, and all but one of those went to one of those two targets. Washington only has 15 receptions for the year for 218 yards, while Britt has just 14 catches for 173 yards, but the Jaguars certainly aren't going to be forgetting about the role that these two play while trying to run down Johnson, or they are going to be setting themselves up to get burned in a bad way. The Titans are really starting to struggle with opposing passing attacks. They are now ranked just No. 27 in the NFL in pass defense at 242.6 yards per game, and they conceded a total of over 800 yards in their L/2 games against the Denver Broncos and the Dallas Cowboys. The defensive line did a great job last week of keeping QB Tony Romo on the run, though. Romo was sacked six times. DE Jason Babin, once a first round draft choice of the Houston Texans, has emerged this year with Tennessee and leads the team with 5.5 sacks.

Jaguars Notes: In very uncharacteristic form, the Jags are playing 'over' game after 'over' game this year. There is plenty to be concerned about on the defensive side of the ball to say the least. Last week, Jacksonville gave up a whopping 26 points to the Buffalo Bills, who have been nothing but fodder for opposing defenses this year. In fact, that marked the fourth straight game in which a foe scored at least 26 points against it. The Jags have put 67 points on the board in the L/2 weeks, but they can't rely on that happening on a regular basis with an offense that really doesn't have too many aerial threats. QB David Garrard really isn't making the most of his chances this year, but he isn't getting burned by it quite yet. Garrard has completed 66.4 percent of his passes, which would easily be a career high if he kept it up for the season, for 789 yards with nine scores and six picks. With just 11 more TDs in his next 11 games, it would be the first time that Garrard threw for 20+ TDs in a season. TE Marcedes Lewis is becoming a terrific threat near the end zone. He only has 192 yards on 16 receptions this year, but five of those 16 snares have come for touchdowns. The offense is paced by the running of RB Maurice Jones-Drew, though. The man that resembles a little bowling ball has carried the ball 102 times this season for just 406 yards and one TD.

The Final Word: The way you beat the Titans is by throwing the ball, and that's not something that Garrard is really prone to doing all that well. Instead, HC Jack Del Rio is going to try to out-physical Tennessee, something that just isn't going to work. The Titans will get the ground game going and will take advantage of a Jacksonville defense that really hasn't run up against a superior ground game yet this year. Johnson will get to the century mark once again on the ground, and once again, the end result won't change.

Free Pro Football Picks: Tennessee -2.5
Prediction: Tennessee 27 – Jacksonville 20

 
October 10th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The New York Jets will take their relatively new look offense into battle on Monday Night Football against the Vikes and their new offensive toys fresh off of a bye week.

Matchup: Minnesota Vikings @ New York Jets
Date: Monday, October 11th, 8:30 ET
Location: New Meadowlands Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ
Game Line: New York -4
Over/Under 39

Vikings Notes: Randy's back! The future Hall of Famer, WR Randy Moss is going to be back wearing his trademarked No. 84 jersey for the men in purple and gold on Monday Night Football. He only had nine catches in four games with the New England Patriots and became very disgruntled. The trade made perfect sense for both sides, as the Pats stockpiled yet another draft choice, while the Vikes got the receiver they badly needed to bring in to help QB Brett Favre get his butt in gear once again. Favre really doesn't look like a viable option at quarterback right now. He is leading the game's 24th ranked passing attack at just 185.0 yards per game, and he has only tossed two TD passes against six picks on the year. To put that in comparison, he had seven INTs in 2009… for the entire 16 game regular season… RB Adrian Peterson's shoulders must hurt trying to carry this offense, but he is doing so as best as he can, rushing for 392 yards and three scores and averaging 5.6 yards per carry. Defensively, the Vikes have had no troubles this year. No one has scored more than 14 points against these guys all season long, and they rank No. 4 in the NFL in total defense at 276.3 yards per game. The only issue is that no one has more than one sack or one forced turnover on the season, something that is probably going to have to change soon if the men in purple are going to be heading back to the postseason. Depending on what happens in NFL betting action on Sunday afternoon, this game could either draw the Vikes back level in the loss column in the NFC North or leave them 2.5 games back with just three quarters of the season to play.

Jets Notes: When you think about the Jets, you clearly think about a team that plays devastating defense and runs the heck out of the football, right? Sure, we know that RB Shonn Greene (52 carries, 223 yards in 2010) and RB LaDainian Tomlinson (341 yards, 3 TDs in 2010) are both coming off of 100+ yard rushing games last week, and we know that they can both really blow up both as rushers and as receivers, but man, have the Jets looked great throwing the football this year! QB Mark Sanchez might actually be proving that he is the real deal. His completion percentage is still an awfully low 58.3 percent, but he has thrown for 711 yards and eight TDs on the season. Most importantly: No picks. If the Jets aren't turning the ball over, they are a dangerous force to be reckoned with. The receiving game already has an emerging star in TE Dustin Keller, who has 19 catches, 254 yards, and five scores on the season, but he is suddenly going to be joined by yet another potential star in WR Santonio Holmes this week. Holmes, who was traded from the Pittsburgh Steelers in the offseason, was suspended for the first four games of the year for violation of the league's personal conduct policy. Now, he'll be joining WR Braylon Edwards and WR Jerricho Cotchery to make up one of the best sets of receivers in the game. Parlay all of that with a defense that once again ranks very highly with just 15.2 points per game allowed, and this New York squad has the makings of one that might be running to the Super Bowl this season.

The Final Word: Geez, do the Jets look good on paper… It's really hard to make NFL picks in this one against the Jets, knowing that they have such a dynamic offense and a defense that can put Favre on his back. This was the recipe for success for the New Orleans Saints last year in the NFC Championship Game against the Vikes, and New York clearly has a significantly better defense that the Saints did. Favre might be lucky to leave this game standing up, let alone trying to escape the Meadowlands with a victory. Fly with the Jets on MNF.

Free Pro Football Picks: New York -4

 
October 3rd, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Miami Dolphins will look to avoid a second straight NFL betting defeat at home against a divisional rival when they take on the New England Patriots on MNF.

Matchup: New England Patriots @ Chicago Bears
Date: Monday, October 3rd, 8:30 ET
Location: Sun Life Stadium, Miami, FL
Game Line: Miami +1
Over/Under 47.5

Patriots Notes: There's good news and bad news if you're HC Bill Belichick. The good news is that your offense is kicking on all cylinders right now. The Patriots are averaging 30.0 points per game this year, which is the top mark in the NFL heading into Week 4 betting action. The team is averaging a very solid 370.7 yards per game, which is seventh in the league, while the balance between rush and pass has surprisingly been fairly even, as both rank 10th in the NFL. That running game has really had a ton of different rushers this year, but the two leads have been RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis and RB Fred Taylor. Green-Ellis has come out of nowhere to run for 139 yards on 31 carries. Taylor, likely a future Hall of Famer, has 98 yards on 25 runs this year. Taylor's next TD will be the 75th of his illustrious career, and he is likely to get to the 12,000 yard mark on the ground at some point this season. Of course, there's QB Tom Brady as well, who is still throwing lasers all over the field. With two rookie tight ends to play with, Brady is getting used to his new toys, and he is utilizing them well. TE Aaron Hernandez leads the team with 211 yards receiving this year, while TE Rob Gronkowski has five catches for 58 yards and two TDs. Brady's other six TD passes are split evenly between his usual targets, WR Wes Welker and WR Randy Moss. However, remember that we discussed some bad news as well… The defense for New England is conceding 27.3 points per game, which is the fourth worst mark in the league. All three foes have scored at least 24 points against the Patriots this year, something that certainly isn't going to make Belichick and his staff happy.

Dolphins Notes: All things told, HC Tony Sparano has to be pretty happy with the 2-1 start to the season for his Fins both SU and ATS. Last week's 31-23 loss to the New York Jets had to leave a bitter taste in their mouths, though. Don't be shocked to see QB Chad Henne throw the ball a little bit more in this game than perhaps you are used to. Henne has found a really rapport with WR Brandon Marshall this year, as the former Denver Bronco leads the team with 22 catches and 290 yards. He has one of the three TD passes on the year from Henne. The real bad news for Sparano's offense right now is that the unit has only come up with four total TDs. RB Ricky Williams has yet to find the end zone this season, and RB Ronnie Brown only has one score. The two backs in this system are only averaging just over 100 yards per game on the ground this year, numbers which just aren't going to cut it. The defense for Miami has been stellar though, ranking in the top half of the NFL in virtually every important category. Watch out for DE Cameron Wake, who is becoming almost as much of a sack master here in the NFL as he was when he was in the CFL playing for the BC Lions. Wake has two sacks this year, and he has had his hands in on several other quarterback pressures.

The Final Word: The Dolphins just cannot afford to drop this one and Sparano knows it. The defense for New England is too much of a sieve right now for anyone to do anything against, and when push comes to shove, the Pats just aren't going to be able to come up with the big stop at the end of the game. Too much Henne. Too much Marshall. Too much Brown. Too much Miami.

Free College Football Picks: Miami +1
Prediction: Miami 23 – New England 21

 
September 26th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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NFL betting action continues on Monday night, as the second week of action finishes up with the duel at Candlestick Park between the Green Bay Packers and the Chicago Bears.

Green Bay Packers (-3) @ Chicago Bears
Monday, September 27th
8:30 ET, Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI

Packers Notes: The only thing missing for the Packers this year has been a dominating ground attack. RB Ryan Grant has been sidelined for the season, and no one has been able to step up yet on the year to take over his role. So far this year, RB Brandon Jackson only has 29 carries for 92 yards, while backup RB John Kuhn, who is really more of a fullback than anything else, has 11 carries for 51 yards. Both players have one TD. The leading receiver for this team is TE Jermichael Finley, who is starting to emerge as one of the top tight ends in the league. Both WR Greg Jennings and WR Donald Driver have done their job this year, as the two have found the end zone a combined three times. QB Aaron Rodgers hasn't quite opened up the big cannon quite yet this year, but he is certainly being efficient. Rodgers is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for 443 yards with four TDs and just two picks. Defensively, we would be remiss without mentioning the play of LB Clay Matthews. So far this year, the catalyst to this defense is turning himself into an MVP candidate. Matthews has six sacks on the season, giving him the most in the NFL by a country mile. Thanks to the play of Matthews and a strong secondary, the Pack rank third in the league in passing defense at 116.5 yards per game and third overall at 253.0 yards per game.

Bears Notes: Two games into last season, everyone in the Windy City was ready to draw and quarter QB Jay Cutler. After last week's upset of the Dallas Cowboys, he might prove to be a loved commodity once again. He has completed 44-of-64 passing for the season for 649 yards and five TDs against just one pick. That one INT is notable for a man that flirted with the 30 INT mark in 2009. The big difference for the Bears and the passing game this year has been that RB Matt Forte has become a huge participant. He is the only running back in the NFL that leads his team in receptions (12), yards (188), and TDs (3). WR Johnny Knox has proven to be a big deep threat as well, as his seven catches for 138 yards has been critical to the 'O'. The only problem offensively has been the ground game. All three of Cutler, RB Chester Taylor, and RB Matt Forte are averaging less than three yards per carry this year, and if that doesn't improve, there is going to be no hope to consistently beat the best teams in the NFL. The defense has made up for it though, as no one has been able to make any headway on the ground against these guys. The Bears are only conceding 28.0 yards per game on the ground, easily the best in the NFL. The end result has been a rock solid 17.0 points per game allowed, which is good enough for 14th in the NFL.

The Final Word: The Bears are going to be going against one of the best pass 'D's in the league, and if Cutler and the gang can't get some sort of a rushing attack going, Matthews and the crew are going to pin their ears back and make life a living hell for the signal caller in the pocket. Cutler isn't mobile enough to beat a 'D' this fast if things break down. Go with the visitors, as they are just the more well rounded team in this game.

Prediction: Packers 26 – Bears 17

 
September 19th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The 2010 NFL betting action continues on Monday night, as the second week of action finishes up with the duel at Candlestick Park between the New Orleans Saints and the San Francisco 49ers.  Below is our free monday night pick and anylasis for this big week 2 MNF matchup. 

New Orleans Saints @ San Francisco 49ers (+6)
Monday, September 20th
8:30 ET, Candlestick Park, San Francisco, CA

Saints Notes: The Saints are coming off of a very ho hum 14-9 win over the Minnesota Vikings in which they really didn't play the role of the defending champs all that well. It wasn't a particularly great game for the Vikes, a bunch that might not legitimately be a playoff team this year. If the Saints are going to play like this all season long, they are going to be in for a rude awakening when they run into road games and games against some of their best teams on the schedule. QB Drew Brees only threw for 237 yards, which would only put him on a pace for 3,792 yards for the season. New Orleans fans are going to be looking for at least 275 yards from their franchise quarterback. One TD pass and no picks is a good ratio, but more points than that are going to need to hit the scoreboard to get this team back into the playoffs with a shot of winning the NFC in the regular season. RB Reggie Bush really didn't touch the ball that much either, which is a bit of surprise considering his explosive nature. Bush only had two carries for 14 yards and five receptions for 33 yards on the day. RB Pierre Thomas is clearly going to be the important man in the backfield this year. He had an admirable day on the ground, carrying the pill 19 times for 71 yards and a TD against one of the stoutest defensive fronts in all of football. New Orleans' defense only led Minnesota get into the end zone one time, a trend which needs to keep up if the offense is going to struggle this much.

49ers Notes: 49ers HC Mike Singletary called a 31-6 loss to the Seattle Seahawks a dose of "good medicine" in the media this week, and he is insistent that that medicine is going to be what cures his team from the media hype at the start of the season. Nothing would get the media off of his butt more than a big win on primetime football against the defending champs! In order to do that, the Niners are going to have to perform better in the red zone. In the first half, they had a chance to take a 21-0 lead early, but in three trips to the red zone, San Fran mustered one turnover and two short field goals. Needless to say, it didn't get back to the red zone again and was trampled from there. Where have you gone, Frank Gore? The top back for the 49ers got plenty of touches in Week 1, as he had 17 carries and six receptions. However, a total of 83 yards, 45 of which came in the receiving game just isn't going to cut it. New Orleans is known for having a relatively weak front seven, and if that front seven is going to get exploited, Gore needs to do a lot better than a shade over two yards per carry in this game. Watch for TE Vernon Davis to have himself a stellar outing. The Saints allowed TE Visanthe Shiancoe to tear them up last week, and Davis can do much of the same against a weak middle of the defense as well on Monday. Davis led the team last week with eight receptions and 73 yards.

The Final Word: The Saints need to be very careful in this one. San Fran has woken up several times before in the Singletary era, and its response to his recent tirade in the Seattle media might just be the key to coming out and knocking off the defending champs. The 49ers badly need this one to solidify that they are indeed the top team in the NFC West and that last week's game was a bit of a fluke.

Free Monday Night Football Pick: 49ers 27 – Saints 24