Posts Tagged ‘NCAA basketball betting’

February 26th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

College basketball betting action isn't going to get much hotter than it will be on Saturday night at the Carrier Dome! The Syracuse Orange will collide with the Villanova Wildcats in a high-octane Big East bash. Here's at Cappers Info, we've got all of the information that you need to know about the game!

What's At Stake: The Orange can wrap up the regular season Big East title with a win. Villanova knows that it controls its own destiny for the same fate. The winner of this game will also most likely have an inside track towards a #1 seed in the upcoming NCAA Tournament. This is also one of the very few clashes of the season between two teams that are in the Top-10 at the same time.

College Basketball Odds: Syracuse -5.5 at Diamond Sportsbook

Syracuse Notes: HC Jim Boeheim has accounted for 825 wins in his illustrious coaching career, but it's arguable that this would be one of the more important regular season victories. The Orange love to fly up and down the court, as they have the #7 ranked scoring offense in college basketball at 81.2 points per game. The team has the #1 ranked team in the land in terms of shooting efficiency at 52.2%. That's quite the contrast from the 39.0% from the floor that the opposition is shooting against Syracuse's patented 2-3 zone. The Orange are a stellar 15-2 SU and 7-6 ATS at home this season, but both SU losses came in conference play. They're coming off of back-to-back road wins and covers against Providence and Georgetown after the stunning 66-60 loss at home to Louisville on February 14th.

Villanova Notes: What once looked like a sure-fire #1 seed in either the East or South Brackets has turned into a bit of a disaster for Villanova. Loss against Pittsburgh, Connecticut, and Georgetown in recent weeks have liked chased the Cats down to the #2 line if the tourney was to start today. They looked determined to exact some payback for those recent losses on Wednesday night though, picking up a dominant 74-49 win at home against South Florida. The win snapped a three-game losing streak against the NCAA basketball odds. Villanova is the only team in the Big East that has a more prolific offense that Syracuse does. The Cats are averaging 83.8 points per game, #2 in the country. The defense has come into question a number of times for its 72.0 points per game allowed clip, but a game like the one it had on Wednesday against USF quiets its critics.

Players to Watch

Scottie Reynolds, Villanova: The Wildcats' leading scorer is one of the best guards in the entire nation. He is averaging 19.0 points per game and is coming off of a big 21 point performance against the Bulls. Reynolds has scored at least 18 points in six straight NCAA basketball betting battles.

Wesley Johnson, Syracuse: Not only is Johnson leading Boeheim's bunch in scoring at 15.8 points per game, but he's proving to be the complete package as well. He is a durable player that is averaging over 34 minutes per game. Johnson's shooting percentages are both fantastic (50.2% from the field, 39.4% from downtown), and he is also the team's leading rebounder at 8.7 boards per clash.

Trends of Note

-Villanova is 4-1 ATS in its L/5 games as an underdog of less than seven points
-Villanova is just 2-5 ATS in its L/7 Big East games
-Villanova is a stellar 5-2 ATS in its L/7 road games vs. teams with a winning home record
-Syracuse is 21-8 ATS in its L/29 games against teams with a winning record
-Syracuse is 26-9 ATS in its L/35 games overall and 23-8 ATS in its L/31 games as a favorite
-Syracuse is 10-1 ATS in its L/11 games as a favorite of less than seven points
-The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the L/6 meetings between these Big East rivals

Final Analysis: This game is just going to be too close to call. It isn't the end of the world to either team if it should lose, but the winning team will be full of confidence going into both the NCAA Tournament and the Big East Tournament. When Syracuse gets a chance to set its 2-3 zone, it is a very hard team to score on. However, Villanova is a team that loves to push the tempo of the game and force your defense to play on its heels instead of in a set play. Look for the Wildcats to come out and play inspired basketball for the full 40 minutes, and though it may not ultimately yield an SU victory, sticking within those 5.5 points is the way to go against this college basketball spread.

Selection: Villanova Wildcats +5.5

 
February 21st, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

Cappersinfo.com begins its new bi-weekly installment of the Top 10 Teams across all of sports that you should be wagering against religiously.

Teams ranked by Score Coefficient Ranking (SCR), which takes the amount of money earned/lost over the course of the season and divides it by the number of games played in relation to games that will be played. Must have 20 games played to qualify.

1: Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks (College Basketball) (3-19-1 ATS, -$1,790) (SCR: -71.6) The Skyhawks are off the charts miserable against the college basketball betting lines this season. They dropped two more ATS this week to fall to just 3-19-1 on the season. In comparison, last season's worst ATS squad, Fordham, at least went 6-20 ATS.

2: Pepperdine Waves (College Basketball) (6-16-1 ATS, -$1,160) (SCR: -46.4) Pepperdine ran into a "tidal wave" of sorts last week when they faced an angry Gonzaga team off of its loss to Loyola-Marymount. The Waves fell behind 40-19 early and never really found any traction to give them a chance in the second half. Thank goodness that this season is just about over for Pepperdine.

3: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans (College Basketball) (6-15-2 ATS, -$1,050) (SCR: -42.0) UALR's nightmarish season is fortunately almost over as well. The Trojans were crushed 83-65 at North Texas on Saturday for their fifth straight SU loss (1-4 ATS). They good news is that their only games left in the regular season are at home. The bad news is that they're just 2-5-2 ATS there.

4: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (College Basketball) (7-16-1 ATS, -$1,060) (SCR: -37.9) The Golden Hurricane may have visions of March Madness dancing in its head, but it hasn't treated NCAA basketball betting fans well at all. SU losses to UTEP and Marshall this week dropped Tulsa to 0-9 ATS in its L/9, which has it plummeting towards the top of this list and falling towards the NIT just as quickly.

T-5: Cincinnati Bearcats (College Basketball) (6-14 ATS, -$940) (SCR: -37.6) Same for you, Cincinnati! That win you had at UConn last weekend was the only real thing you've had going for you in quite some time. You're just 4-6 SU and 2-8 ATS in your L/10 games, all in Big East play.

T-5: LaSalle Explorers (College Basketball) (6-14 ATS, -$940) (SCR: -37.6) LaSalle's six-game ATS slide came to an end over the course of the week in a 68-54 loss at Dayton. It feels like this team has alternated good defense efforts and miserable ones for weeks now. Just look at the Explorers' L/5 games… 68 vs. Dayton, 103 vs. Duquesne, 68 vs. St. Louis, 90 vs. Rhode Island, 64 vs. Temple… If the Bonnies are paying attention to this trend, they should be going for at least 80 come Sunday!

7: North Carolina Tar Heels (College Basketball) (8-17 ATS, -$1,070) (SCR: -36.9) The abortion known as the 2009-10 season for the defending national champion UNC Tar Heels took another body blow on Saturday in the form of a 71-67 loss at Boston College. That's 1-6 ATS now in Carolina's L/7 overall.

8: South Alabama Jaguars (College Basketball) (9-17-1 ATS, -$970) (SCR: -34.6) The Jaguars may have that win against Florida earlier this season to fall back on, but lately, things in the Sun Belt have been terrible. South Alabama dropped its two games this week by a combined 57 points. Yikes!

9: Toronto Maple Leafs (Hockey) (27-34 ATS, -$2,760) (SCR: -33.7) It's hard for an NHL or NBA team to crack into this list considering how even the teams are on a nightly basis, but the Maple Leafs got the job done! Toronto is just 2-9 in its L/11 games and allowed at least four goals in six of the 11. The All-Star Break couldn't have come at a better time for this team.

10: Washington Huskies (College Basketball) (9-17 ATS, -$970) (SCR: -33.5) It should come as no surprise that at least one Pac-10 team made an appearance on this list, and it's only fitting that it is a Washington team that was picked to be a big time team out of this conference doing the deed. The Huskies beat the snot out of UCLA this weekend, but that loss to USC as 9.5-point favorites didn't help matters any.

 
February 15th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Just one week after ESPN's "Rivalry Week," the small schools take center stage in the annual "BracketBusters" festivities. Butler and Northern Iowa are both schools that are almost certainly going dancing regardless of what happens for the remainder of the season. However, for many of these teams, this weekend is their last chance to try to impress the Selection Committee in the event that they don't win their conference tournaments. Cappers Info has all you need to know about the teams that are trying to bust brackets this weekend!

Old Dominion Monarchs (20-7, 12-3 in Colonial Athletic)
Key Wins:  vs. William & Mary, vs. Charlotte, @ Georgetown
Key Losses: @ Virginia Commonwealth, @ George Mason
RPI: 33
SOS: 79

If the Monarchs don't capture the auto-bid from the CAA, they're probably in a heap of trouble. The Selection Committee realizes just how good this conference is, but it's hard to justify taking ODU without one more truly marquee win. Heading into UNI is probably the most difficult task that any team has to take on this weekend, but for Old Dominion, it is a test that it must embrace and not fear. The Monarchs already proved that they were good enough to win at Georgetown this year, and a victory against the Panthers would probably get the job done. They've won four straight and gone 3-1 ATS in their L/4 "BracketBuster" appearances, but none are more important than the one this Friday night.

Siena Saints (22-5, 15-1 in Metro Atlantic)
Key Wins: vs. Northeastern
Key Losses: @ Niagara, @ St. John's
RPI: 34
SOS: 123

The good news for the Saints is that they may be the biggest college basketball favorite on the board for a small conference tournament when they take on the rest of the MAAC in a few weeks. The bad news is that their resume, though littered with plenty of wins, doesn't really look like one of a tourney team. HC Fran McCaffery was begging for a battle with Butler or one of the other big schools this week, but he may have gotten more than he bargained for. With four returning starters from last season's Sweet 16 team, the Saints are sure to give the Bulldogs a run for their money in a game that they absolutely have to have in all likelihood to steal an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament if that's what it comes down to. Siena won last season's BracketBuster battle at home against Northern Iowa, but lost on the road against the Panthers earlier this season in the return battle.

Wichita State Shockers (21-6, 10-5 in Missouri Valley)
Key Wins: vs. Northern Iowa, vs. Texas Tech
Key Losses: @ Evansville, @ Drake, @ Creighton, @ Illinois State
RPI: 47
SOS: 120

Wichita State should be happy that it is going on the road for BracketBusters. As you can tell, there isn't a heck of a lot to this resume aside from some nice home wins. A victory at Utah State wouldn't be the most impressive thing in the world, but it would prove to the Selection Committee that the Shockers are capable of playing away from their home court. Right now, they may be the most intriguing side in the entire country, as the Valley's strong history in the dance will probably come into play come Selection Sunday. Still, WSU is going to have to play its way into the field one way or the other, and the far easier route will be a win on Saturday night against the Aggies.

Northeastern Huskies (17-9, 12-3 in Colonial Athletic)
Key Wins
: vs. Utah State, vs. Kent State, vs. Old Dominion
Key Losses: vs. Drexel, @ Western Michigan, @ Drexel, vs. Providence, @ Boston
RPI: 62
SOS: 81

One look at this resume, and you're probably thinking to yourself, "How the heck is this team on the bubble?" True, on one glance, the Huskies don't have a great gripe to be a March Madness pick next month. However, the Selection Committee has always asked the question, "What have you done for me lately?" That's where Northeastern thrives. It is 15-2 in its L/17 games, most of which have come against solid CAA foes. The Huskies can play their way into the field if they win out in the regular season and go all the way to the Colonial title game in all likelihood, but a tough test against the WAC's Louisiana Tech stands in their way. Not only does Northeastern have to be good enough to win, but it may have to be incredibly impressive on Saturday to help persuade the committee if it can't take care of business itself.

 
February 14th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

Cappersinfo.com begins its new weekly installment of the Top 10 Teams to bet on across all of sports that you should be betting on religiously this season.  We breakdown the top teams ATS, combine all sports, and rank them. Teams ranked by Score Coefficient Ranking (SCR), which takes the amount of money earned over the course of the season and divides it by the number of games played in relation to games that will be played. Must have 18 games played to qualify.

1: Oregon State Beavers (College Basketball) (14-5 ATS, +$850) (SCR: 34.0) The Beavers continued to roll for college basketball betting fans by taking a 63-55 SU win at Arizona on Saturday and covering ASU by the hook on Thursday.

2: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles (College Basketball) (14-5 ATS, +$850) (SCR: 34.0) Watch out for Southern Miss! The Golden Eagles have covered eight out of nine, including roadies at UTEP, UAB, Houston, and now Tulsa. A 66-50 win against Rice was more than enough to beat the spread on Saturday.

3: North Texas Mean Green (College Basketball) (13-5-1 ATS, +$750) (SCR: 33.9) North Texas' win over Denver on Saturday helped keep its NCAA Tournament hopes alive. A 68-46 win at New Orleans on Thursday was far more impressive.

4: Syracuse Orange (College Basketball) (15-6 ATS, +$840) (SCR: 31.2) Any time you can say that you've won ten straight Big East games and are 7-3 ATS in those games, you've done something special. Syracuse gets a pass for "only" beating Connecticut by five as ten-point favorites.

5: Kansas State Wildcats (College Basketball) (13-5-1 ATS, +$750) (SCR: 30.0) KSU's romp over Colorado erased the memory of a close call against Iowa State of two weeks ago. That's four out of five for what may be the Big XII's second best squad.

6: Villanova Wildcats (College Basketball) (16-7 ATS, +$830) (SCR: 28.5) The Cats won't mind not covering Providence this week, especially after going into Morgantown and absolutely demolishing the Mountaineers.

7: Northwestern Wildcats (College Basketball) (14-6 ATS, +$740) (SCR: 28.5) A loss to Iowa midweek probably signaled the end of the season for the Wildcats. More defeats like that one will send Northwestern off of this list as well.

8: New Mexico Lobos (College Basketball) (16-7-2 ATS, +$830) (SCR: 27.6) Here's a team on the rise. The Lobos spanked UNLV midweek to assert itself as the top team in the MWC. They nearly blew it against Utah on Saturday, but a 68-65 win at least salvaged an ATS push.

9: Washington Capitals (Hockey) (33-29 ATS, +$2,000) (SCR: 24.3) The Caps slumped to three straight losses after posting 14 straight victories. Still, as long as the offense is averaging 3.9 goals per game and has scored at least three in 21 straight, the Caps are probably going to hang on to a spot on this list.

10: San Jose Sharks (Hockey) (31-31 ATS, +$1,908) (SCR: 23.3) San Jose only covered twice in this wicked five-game road trip right before the NHL's sabbatical for the Winter Olympics. The Sharks have a slew of home games coming up, and a lot of those will need to be multi-goal victories to move up on the power polls.

 
February 2nd, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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Take a look at the NCAA Tournament bracket from the '09 Dance for a second… The Louisville Cardinals, Connecticut Huskies, Pittsburgh Panthers, and North Carolina Tar Heels were all #1 seeds in that field, while the Michigan State Spartans, Duke Blue Devils, Memphis Tigers, and Oklahoma Sooners were #2 seeds. No one is doubting just how good the Spartans and Blue Devils are this year; after all, you can find these two teams as the seventh and eighth choices on the board right now at 5Dimes Sportsbook. 

However, look at the NCAA Tournament resumes for each of those other six teams and play the judge for yourself about how well they're doing this year… 

 

Louisville Cardinals
Record:  14-8 
RPI: 43
Key Wins: vs. Connecticut, vs. Cincinnati, @ Providence
Key Losses: vs. Western Carolina, vs. Charlotte
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +7500 at BetUS Sportsbook
The Final Word: Things are only getting harder for the Cardinals, who are only at 5-4 in conference and falling fast, especially on the road, where they only have one win all year long. That win against UConn on Monday night probably helped push Louisville onto the right side of the bubble at the moment, but one would like to think that the Cards will have to go no worse than 3-1 at home and 2-3 on the road, and then take down a pair of games in the Big East Tournament to get some serious consideration to get into the Field of 65.

Connecticut Huskies
Record: 13-9
RPI: 49
Key Wins: vs. Texas, vs. Seton Hall, vs. Notre Dame, vs. William & Mary
Key Losses: None
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +4000 at Diamond Sportsbook
The Final Word: It's about time to turn out the lights on UConn's season. Yes, there really aren't any glaring losses on this schedule, but a poor conference record isn't going to help matters any. Barring finishing 6-3 or so in the regular season and making some noise in the Big East Tourney, it's NIT time for the Huskies.

North Carolina Tar Heels
Record: 13-8
RPI:  76
Key Wins: vs. MichiganState, vs. OhioState
Key Losses: vs. Virginia, @ Charleston
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +4000 at SportsBet Sportsbook
The Final Word: The only thing keeping UNC alive right now is its name on the front of the jerseys. The defending champs don't have a resume worth much, even though there are a couple of nice wins on the resume. However, none of them are in the ACC, and until and unless that happens, it's going to be hard to see how this team can make a case to get in the field over teams like FloridaState, Duke, Georgia Tech, Clemson, WakeForest, and Maryland.

Pittsburgh Panthers
Record: 16-5
RPI: 20
Key Wins: vs. Louisville, @ Connecticut, @ Cincinnati, @ Syracuse, vs. Wichita State
Key Losses: @ South Florida, @ Indiana
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +5500 at JustBet Sportsbook
The Final Word: This was the one team that was supposed to fall off the face of the earth after a solid '09 run in the tourney. However, Pitt's eye-popping start in the Big East has tapered off with losses in three of its L/4. Barring some bad home losses, the Panthers should get into the field, but it's very possible to think that this team could slip and finish up 4-7 in its L/11 games or so and be right back on the bubble.

Memphis Tigers
Record: 15-6
RPI: 78
Key Wins: @ Marshall
Key Losses: @ SMU, vs. UTEP, @ Massachusetts
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +11000 at BoDog Sportsbook
The Final Word: The only thing that the Tigers have going for them is that they may be able to steal Conference USA's automatic bid to the dance. There's no hope, even if the Tigers win out, that they can reach the NCAA Tournament without that automatic ticket.

Oklahoma Sooners
Record: 12-9
RPI: 85
Key Wins: vs. Missouri, vs. Oklahoma State
Key Losses: @ Nebraska, vs. UTEP, vs. Houston, @ San Diego, @ VCU
Odds to win NCAA Tournament:  +17500 at 5Dimes Sportsbook
The Final Word: If there's no hope for Memphis, there's even less for Oklahoma. The Sooners can't even compete in their own conference, and they're not even a shoe-in for the NIT this season. There are plenty of big names floating around that will be in the discussions for the Final Four when the regular season is finished. However, before you even remotely consider taking action on one of these so-called "big names" from a year ago, remember that you very well could be betting on a team that isn't even going to make the NCAA Tournament. Your money has to be better invested on teams that are certain to make the field and much more likely to make some noise when they get there.