Archive for November 12th, 2010

November 12th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs @ Auburn Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 3:30 ET
Location: Jordan Hare Stadium, Auburn, AL
Game Line: Auburn -7
Over/Under 62.5

Allegations around QB Cam Newton could really be hurting the college football betting lines in this one, as the Tigers continue to drop like a rock through the day on Friday. We just don't buy into the hype, though. At some point, we all have to realize that there is a reason that the Tigers are 10-0 this year, and a reason why they are considered such heavy favorites against a .500 Georgia team. The Bulldogs just aren't that great. Sure, QB Aaron Murray is going to be a star one day, but he isn't right now, and the only way he becomes a star is if WR AJ Green makes him one. Green is great and will surely get his yards and touches, but that doesn't mean that he can single handedly beat Auburn. There is just too much on the line for HC Gene Chizik, and we aren't buying the fact that the Tigers can't go 12-0 and that they can't figure out how to win the SEC or the National Championship. Newton is one of the best 2-3 players in the entire country, and as long as he is on the field and the NCAA doesn't put the boom down against him in this whole issue with "pay to play" at Auburn, the Tigers are certainly seven points better than the Bulldogs are on any field, especially their own.

Free College Football Picks: Auburn -7
Prediction: Auburn 41 – Georgia 24

Matchup: Penn State Nittany Lions @ Ohio State Buckeyes
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 3:30 ET
Location: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, OH
Game Line: Ohio State -18.5
Over/Under 49.5

The Buckeyes have gone a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS at home this year, and they really don't seem like they're going to get stopped any time in the near future. They have looked relatively flawless, short of that loss to the Wisconsin Badgers, yet the oddsmakers and the pollsters don't seem to be giving them the respect that they deserve. It appears as though the time really is not now for QB Robert Bolden, as he has been replaced by QB Matthew McGloin by HC Joe Paterno. McGloin has played well this year, throwing for 551 yards and seven TDs against just one pick in limited action. However, that limited action doesn't normally include going against a defense anywhere near as good as that of Ohio State. The Nittany Lions were spanked 24-3 on the road by both the Iowa Hawkeyes and the Alabama Crimson Tide this year, and there's no reason to think that a relatively similar score line won't be the end result on Saturday. Don't fall into the trap and assume that this is a lot of points to be giving a 6-3 Penn State team. The Buckeyes really are that good.

Free College Football Picks: Ohio State -18.5
Prediction: Ohio State 30 – Penn State 6

Matchup: Texas Tech Red Raiders @ Oklahoma Sooners
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 3:30 ET
Location: Memorial Stadium, Norman, OK
Game Line: Oklahoma -15
Over/Under 63.5

The Sooners have played down to the level of their competition all season long, and there's no reason to believe that that won't continue on Saturday. There is a major matchup issue here between the Oklahoma secondary, which is allowing over 230 yards per game in ranks in the 80s in the country, going against the Air Raid passing attack, which is always one of the best in the country. Normally, it has been talent at the corner position that has kept the Red Raiders at bay when these two teams meet, but now, we aren't so sure what's going to happen with the Sooners struggling so much. What isn't a question to us is that QB Landry Jones is going to get to the 3,000 yard barrier this week and that he is going to put points on the board. He probably needs to drop at least 40 to stop the Red Raiders at this kind of a college football line, though. Do you have confidence that he can do it and that Texas Tech isn't going to find a way to put 24 or so on the board? We sure don't. We'll take the points.

Free College Football Picks: Texas Tech +15
Prediction: Oklahoma 31 – Texas Tech 27

Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies @ North Carolina Tar Heels
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 3:30 ET
Location: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
Game Line: North Carolina +3.5
Over/Under 51.5

We're really amazed that the Tar Heels have really been able to keep up this year with the rest of the ACC in spite of the fact that they have 23 men on scholarship that are either suspended on the injured list at the current moment. HC Butch Davis has done a yeoman's job putting North Carolina on the verge of the Top 25 and potentially within one or two steps of the ACC Championship Game if it can pull off the mild upset here on Saturday. Just one problem: Virginia Tech probably has one of the best ten teams in the country and certainly has the best team in the ACC. The Hokies have been on fire, winning nine straight and going 6-1 ATS since losing to the James Madison Dukes, and with QB Tyrod Taylor finally putting together a fantastic season, we have no reason to believe that the men in purple won't be able to come on the road and pull off a victory by more than a field goal. The Hokies have too much to lose to screw around here, and though the ACC Coastal will still be won if they win out after this game, it could be all over but the crying with a win. HC Frank Beamer won't miss this chance.

Free College Football Picks: Virginia Tech -3.5
Prediction: Virginia Tech 28 – North Carolina 20

Matchup: San Diego State Aztecs @ TCU Horned Frogs
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 4:00 ET
Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Game Line: TCU -27
Over/Under 53.5

Way to go Horned Frogs! TCU really has seized control of the BCS Championship picture, and though right now, it would be on the outside looking into the big game and playing in the Rose Bowl instead, we know that this is probably the biggest favorite of it, the Auburn Tigers, and Oregon Ducks to be in the desert for the National Championship Game. San Diego State really couldn't have asked for a better time to run into the Horned Frogs though, as they are coming off of that huge 47-7 win over the Utah Utes on the road. Just one problem: This is TCU's final home game of the season. Do you think that it really wants to leave Fort Worth with anything less than another incredibly dominating victory? Sure, the Aztecs have already played well at the Missouri Tigers this year, but this is a totally different challenge. This year at home, TCU has outscored its foes 221-27 in five games. Without a doubt, this has to be one of the most impressive statistics in the country. Even more impressive? The Horned Frogs are allowing just 8.5 PPG on the season. No way they win this one by less than four TDs.

Free College Football Picks: TCU -27
Prediction: TCU 45 – San Diego State 13

 
November 12th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor
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Here at Cappers Info, we are taking a weekly look at the teams that could be ones ripe to pull off some major upsets! Check out the potentially ugly dogs that could come up and bite you in the butt in you aren't careful for the Week 11 of college football betting action!

Underdog Pick #1: Fresno State Bulldogs (+260 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. Nevada Wolf Pack, Saturday, 10:30 ET: The Bulldogs treated us well last week when they traveled cross country to Ruston and took down the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs, and we tend to think that they have a great chance of pulling off a real shocker this week at home against Nevada. For the Wolf Pack, this game really looks strangely familiar. They are in a position where they have to travel to a hostile environment against a good team that is vastly underrated, and they're coming off of a game in which they had a real offensive explosion. This is a dangerous, dangerous spot for a Top 25 team to be in. Fresno State never has fears about taking on anyone, so this game isn't going to sneak up on it. Perception is awfully high on Nevada right now due to the 844 yards it put on the board last week against the Idaho Vandals, and though we do believe that it should be favored, we recognize that the Bulldogs are winning this game at least one out of three times to make this well worth our investment.

Underdog Pick #2: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (+120 at Diamond Sportsbook) @ Houston Cougars, Saturday 8:00 ET: Tulsa is on a roll right now, having won three straight games and having covered six in a row. We have a hard time going against the Golden Hurricane, as we know they might have the best team in the West Division in Conference USA. This would be a huge 'W' for Tulsa as well, as it would put it in a position to win the conference if SMU happened to slip once more between now and the end of the year. QB GJ Kinne has his offense rolling right now to the tune of 494.7 yards and 40.1 points per game. The only problem that we run into here is that Houston is averaging 475.7 yards and 40.7 points per game and has really played well under QB David Piland. This is still a freshman quarterback in a test like he hasn't seen before. It's not that he's going to have a hard time scoring against the Golden Hurricane, but he is going to have to keep up shot for shot and cannot make mistakes. The Cougs are too bi-polar still. We'll take our chances on Tulsa pulling off the short upset.

Underdog Pick #3: UNLV Rebels (+180 at Diamond Sportsbook) vs. Wyoming Cowboys, Saturday, 10:00 ET: Our late game trio of dogs wraps up with a UNLV team that has to be hungry for a home win. Sin City hasn't been a great home for the Rebels this year, as they are only 1-3 there, with the lone win coming against lowly New Mexico. This is the last shot to win a contest here as well. Remember that the Rebs have been relatively feisty here, sticking inside some big numbers against the Wisconsin Badgers and Nevada Wolf Pack. We aren't so sure that Wyoming has enough offense to beat this type of a number, and we know that it isn't going to take all that much for UNLV to be able to win this game outright. A defense that has allowed at least 43 points in five straight games will finally get a breather, and that should be parlayed into a 'W' for the hosts in a mild upset fashion.

 
November 12th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Iowa Hawkeyes @ Northwestern Wildcats
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 12:00 ET
Location: Ryan Field, Evanston, IN
Game Line: Northwestern +10
Over/Under 50.5

The Wildcats really need another win just to make sure that there is no way that they could be left out of the bowl season this year, but this is going to be an incredibly difficult task. The four teams sitting atop the Big Ten all think that they are the one going to the Rose Bowl, and none of them can afford a slip. Iowa knows that this is a tricky spot with the Ohio State Buckeyes coming up in the near future, but it can't forget that this was the team that knocked it off last year to end its undefeated season. You can bet that QB Ricky Stanzi, who was hurt in that game, has a very, very long memory, and isn't going to be afraid to go after this 'D'. Still, the Wildcats are catching a ton of points in this game, and we aren't afraid to take them.

Free College Football Picks: Northwestern +10
Prediction: Iowa 27 – Northwestern 21

Matchup: Indiana Hoosiers @ Wisconsin Badgers
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 12:00 ET
Location: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Game Line: Wisconsin -21.5
Over/Under 58

QB Scott Tolzien and company were really given more of a hassle than they should have been by the Purdue Boilermakers last week, and we have no doubt that this is really still just a case of a good team playing to the level of its opponents. The Badgers know that they can still win the National Championship this year, but it isn't going to come without some luck. They have to take care of business in this game. However, QB Ben Chappell has the ability to do some real damage with the Indiana offense, and though he isn't nearly going to be able to win this game in Camp Randall, we tend to think that the NCAA football odds are more focused on Wisconsin's ranking and less focused on the fact that these two teams really aren't three TDs apart from each other.

Free College Football Picks: Indiana +21.5
Prediction: Wisconsin 34 – Indiana 17

Matchup: Miami Hurricanes @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 12:00 ET
Location: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, GA
Game Line: Georgia Tech +3
Over/Under 49.5

Are we missing something here? We know that the Ramblin' Wreck really haven't had that great of a season, but this is slightly ridiculous to make them home dogs against a divisional rival not named the Virginia Tech Hokies. Without QB Josh Nesbitt, we get out first real look at QB Tevin Washington for G-Tech, and he is capable of doing the exact same thing that Nesbit is. If not for a special teams blunder, the Yellow Jackets might have won last week in Blacksburg, something that Miami probably won't be able to say. We admire the fact that QB Jacory Harris keeps finding ways to get back into the game and play for the Canes, but is he really ready to go after his concussion? With QB AJ Highsmith potentially on the shelf as well, Miami could be in a heck of a lot of trouble if this one gets physical. Remember that Miami hasn't won a game here in Atlanta since 2004, and that's going to make for one heck of a tussle on Saturday.

Free College Football Picks: Georgia Tech +3
Prediction: Georgia Tech 24 – Miami 17

Matchup: Mississippi Rebels @ Tennessee Volunteers
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 12:20 ET
Location: Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN
Game Line: Tennessee -2
Over/Under 55.5

It isn't really often that we care about two teams that are under .500 and quite possibly not going to bowl games, but this is the SEC, and this is about as big of a game as it gets at the bottom of any conference. The Rebels are getting their acts together and are two wins away from bowl eligibility, and this is a must win game if they hope to get the job done. Unfortunately for HC Houston Nutt and company, the Vols are virtually thinking the exact same thing. The Tennessee offense continues to do just enough to push games past the 'total', but there really haven't been any big home wins all season long. Here's a great opportunity to erase the memories of losses against teams like Oregon, Florida, and Alabama. Rocky Top will take one step closer to a bowl game this weekend.

Free College Football Picks: Tennessee -2.5
Prediction: Tennessee 38 – Ole Miss 27

Matchup: Kansas State Wildcats @ Missouri Tigers
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 12:30 ET
Location: Faurot Stadium, Columbia, MO
Game Line: Missouri -13
Over/Under 54.5

Last week, the Wildcats decided to employee the strategy of, "We aren't throwing the football under any circumstance," and it worked, as they destroyed the Texas Longhorns on the ground. QB Carson Coffman has to be wondering what he really did wrong to get benched, but he isn't as mobile as backup QB Collin Klein. If the intent is to just run the football to try to beat these Tigers though, that's not going to go all that well. It's not that Mizzou is a fantastic team against ground games, because it isn't (see: Roy Helu running for over 300 yards against it a few weeks back). If the Tigers take the lead though, something is going to have to change. Is Coffman going to be willing to come in off the bench cold and try to lead a comeback against a relentless team that just keeps finding ways to score? We think not. The Tigers get back on track and end this little two game skid with ease.

Free College Football Picks: Missouri -13
Prediction: Missouri 34 – Kansas State 16

Matchup: Utah Utes @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Date: Saturday, November 13th, 2:30 ET
Location: Notre Dame Stadium, South Bend, IN
Game Line: Notre Dame +5.5
Over/Under 54.5

The Golden Domers are ready to pack it in for the season, and we tend to believe, even off of a bye week, that that's exactly what's going to happen. HC Kyle Whittingham is one of the best in the biz at Utah, and he knows that his team can still make it to the BCS with some luck, but it can only do so by being impressive for the rest of the season. The Utes need to stay in the Top 14 to have a chance, and even if they don't go to the BCS, finishing in the Top 10 in the country would be a tremendous achievement. Without TE Kyle Rudolph, QB Dayne Crist, RB Armando Allen, and potentially even WR Theo Riddick, Notre Dame doesn't stand a chance to move the ball against this stout defense, though we do love what QB Tommy Rees did two weeks ago against the Tulsa Golden Hurricane. Still, if teams like Tulsa are coming into South Bend and winning, what is Utah going to do? Our guess is that it's certainly not going to be a thing of beauty for the hosts in their first ever tussle with the Utes.

Free College Football Picks: Utah -5.5
Prediction: Utah 38 – Notre Dame 13

 
November 12th, 2010 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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Matchup: Ball State Cardinals @ Buffalo Bulls
Date: Friday, November 12th, 6:00 ET
Location: UB Stadium, Buffalo, NY
Game Line: Buffalo -3
Over/Under 47

MAC conference rivals square off Friday night in Buffalo when the 3-7 Ball State Cardinals take on the 2-7 Buffalo Bulls. The last time college football bettors saw Ball State, the Cardinals were playing one of the worst games of the year, a 37-30 double overtime win against 0-10 Akron in which the teams combined to commit eight turnovers on the afternoon. In the game, QB Keith Wenning completed 14 of 27 passes for 217 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions, while RB MiQuale Lewis carried the ball for 72 yards. WR Jack Tomlinson was the star of the game for the Cardinals, hauling in seven passes for 175 yards and three touchdowns on the day. As for Buffalo, fans saw the Bulls in action in a mid-week game last Thursday, losing 34-17 to the Ohio Bobcats. Buffalo was soundly outplayed in this game, managing only 208 total yards of offense while giving up 386 yards. QB Alex Zordich had an awful game, managing to only complete 8 of 26 passes for 84 yards with a touchdown and two interceptions. Zordich also ran 20 times for 59 yards and a score, but no other running back could muster more than 32 yards on the Ohio defense.

Free College Football Picks: Ball State +3
Prediction: Ball State 24 Buffalo 20


Matchup: Boise State Broncos @ Idaho Vandals
Date: Friday, November 12th, 9:00 ET
Location: Kibbie Dome, Moscow, ID
Game Line: Boise State -34.5
Over/Under 63

The #3 Boise State Broncos look to keep their undefeated season and shot at a BCS Title alive when they travel to in-state rival Idaho to take on the 4-5 Vandals in Moscow this Friday night. Boise State has thoroughly dominated all WAC opponents this season, combining to outscore foes 198-27 in four games. Last week, Hawaii was the latest opponent to get steamrolled by the Broncos, with the Broncos racking up a 42-7 win to move themselves to 8-0 on the season. Boise State rolled up an eye-popping 737 yards of offense on the Warriors defense with Heisman candidate QB Kellen Moore accounting for most of the damage. Moore completed 30 of 37 passes for 507 yards for three touchdowns and threw two interceptions in the romp, with WRs Austin Pettis, Tyler Shoemaker, and Titus Young being the primary targets. As for Idaho, the Vandals defense must improve on their performance against Nevada if they have any prayer of knocking Boise State from the ranks of the unbeaten. The Vandals gave up an astounding 844 total yards of offense to the Wolfpack in their 63-17 defeat last Saturday. On offense, Idaho put up respectable numbers, accounting for 339 total yards, but four turnovers hurt the Vandals chances of hanging close with the Wolfpack. QB Nathan Enderle completed 15 of 34 passes for 224 yards and a touchdown in the loss, while the rushing attack could only muster 68 total yards.

Free College Football Picks: Boise State -34.5
Prediction: Boise State 62 Idaho 14