Posts Tagged ‘2011’

May 6th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The Kentucky Derby is always one of the hardest races of the year to handicap, but here at Cappers Info, we have all of the ins and outs covered for the horses in the field and have our Kentucky Derby picks for our trifecta covered.

The first horse that we really have our eyes on is #11 Master of Hounds.This is a colt that came out of the UAE, making him the only one that made the trip from overseas to get here. Most Americans probably won’t recognize the names of most of the horses that Master of Hounds has been bred through, but over in Europe and Asia, some of these colts and mares had amazing careers. The beauty about these horses from overseas is that they generally run a lot longer distances that the preparatory races are here in the States, and this is no exception. In the UAE Derby, Master of Hounds had no problem making it 1 3/16 miles, just shy of the distance that he’ll be running on Saturday. He was nosed in that race by Pluck, but he was a favorite in the race and will certainly be one to watch. Speed out of the gate isn’t something that we are really seeing out of Master of Hounds, but he’ll be here at the wire when it matters the most, and he has had some great speed results, especially late in races on the other side of the pond.

If the weather ends up being rough as it potentially could, the horse that is going to benefit the most is #7 Pants On Fire. With Rosie Napravnik getting the mount, this colt could be in a position to take advantage of the track conditions with some good history on a sloppy track. There have only been six other female jockeys try their hand at the Run for the Roses, and none have found their way to the winner’s circle. Napravnik took over the jockey duties for Pants On Fire at the Louisiana Derby in March, a race in which she put her colt in a great position out of the gates and held out by a neck. This is a horse with some great spirit and a fantastic pedigree with AP Indy as his grandsire. At 20 to 1 morning line odds, Pants On Fire has an absolutely fantastic price. Look for him to come out of the blocks either in the lead or right near it, and he should be able to be right near the lead at the finish line.

The horse that we think is going to end up at the finish line first though, is #17 Soldat. The only reason why this horse isn’t one of the favorites in this race is because he had an absolutely awful ride at the Florida Derby in April. This is a sneaky little horse that finds his way around traffic on a regular basis, so we’re really not all that worried about the distance. He already has three races at 1 1/8 miles under his belt, and he really could be set for another great run at 1 1/4 on Saturday. The Beyer speed ratings for this colt have been all over the place, as he has shown that he can run in the 70s and in the 100s as well. Jockey Alan Garcia could have had his pick of a few different horses for this race, but he elected to stay on this one. Soldat has a great chance to head to the winner’s circle from on the pace right away, and if there is a wire to wire winner, this is going to be the one.

The only other horse that we are afraid of in this race is the favorite on the Kentucky Derby odds, #8 Dialed In. It’s going to be hard to leave this horse out of your exotics on this race, knowing that he has never finished an worse than second. He is the favorite with Uncle Mo out of the fold by a country mile. We don’t really believe all that much in #19 Nehro, and we aren’t buying into all of the hype around #1 Archarcharch either. That being said, we’re looking to key Soldat and wrap around Dialed In, Master of Hounds, and Pants On Fire with him. Or, if you will, you could just come up with a $2 trifecta box, which could have a comfortable four digit payout.

Free Kentucky Derby Picks: #17-#7-#11-#8

 
May 1st, 2011 By Louie - Cappersinfo Admin

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Round two of the NBA playoffs begin today with the Boston-Miami series and the Memphis-Oklahoma City series getting underway. The first round has been filled with upsets and underdogs. San Antonio knocked off by 8th seed Memphis has to be one of the larger upsets in NBA playoff history. Atlanta revenging last year’s record sweep by Orlando was another first round surprise. 8-3 NBA 1st round record, let’s start off the 2nd round in similar winning fashion.

NBA Matchup: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
Game Date/Time: Sunday, May 1, 3:30 ET
Location: American Airlines Arena- Miami, FL

NBA Odds: Miami -5
Over/Under Odds: 182

Game Analysis: The second round begins and we can’t ask for a better match up with Miami and Boston facing off to see who represents the east in the conference finals. Boston held a 3-1 regular season lead over Miami although they were soundly beaten in their most recent contest a game that helped Miami secure the home court advantage for this series. This series figures to be an instant classic, with both teams not only capable of winning against the current opponent but also capable of winning the NBA championship. Miami is a 5 point favorite in game 1 with the total set at 182. I think the key to this series is how well Boston plays on the road, which this year has been a real strength of theirs. The Celtics appeared to play much better against the Knicks once went to the Garden in New York. Don’t get me wrong they play excellent at home, but they really seem to focus on the road which in a playoff series is a real asset. 5 points is just too many to be giving Boston in game 1, and I have to like getting that many points in this spot a lot. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Boston won this game. I wasn’t impressed with Miami from what I saw of them against Philadelphia. LeBron did not look like the LeBron I am used to seeing in the playoffs. Against a better opponent like Boston if his shaky play continues it is the end for Miami in this year’s playoffs. Look for Rondo to set the tone in game 1 with a big game shooting and distributing. Rondo is the key to the series due to Miami’s lack of a true point guard, and if he can have a big series especially scoring it really puts tremendous pressure on Miami’s big 3 of James, Wade and Bosh. Look for Boston to try to run off missed shots and score as much as they can in the transition game. That has been their profile this year on the road which really makes the total a tough call at 182. Take Boston +5 for round two’s first pick, and look for a close game and a very close series.

Free NBA Playoff Picks: Boston Celtics +5

 
April 23rd, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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The 2011 NFL Draft is just about upon us, and here at Cappers Info, we’ve got our first round Mock Draft available for scrutiny. Check out how we see the first round of the draft going!

1: Carolina Panthers – Cam Newton, QB, Auburn – The Heisman Trophy winner takes his trade to Carolina, where he’ll have a significantly tougher time making headway than he did with Auburn.

2: Denver Broncos – Marcell Dareus, DT, Alabama – Denver badly needs some help on defense, and this is a good way to start. The success of Ndamukong Suh last year in Detroit makes this pick all that more sexy for the Broncos.

3: Buffalo Bills – Blaine Gabbert, QB, Missouri – Buffalo could do just about anything with this pick, but it really has to take a quarterback in the first round of the draft one of these years. Gabbert is a pro’s pro, and he should help right away under center for a team that hasn’t had much to cheer about at that position since Jim Kelly left town.

4: Cincinnati Bengals – AJ Green, WR, Georgia – A perfect fit that makes a ton of sense here for the Bengals. New OC Jay Gruden would love to have himself a big time wide receiver to throw the ball to, and that might help get Carson Palmer to come back to the ‘Natti. It’s not likely, but Green is still a great choice anyway, especially if both Gabbert and Newton are off the board.

5: Arizona Cardinals – Von Miller, LB, Texas A&M – A dream scenario here for Head Coach Ken Whisenhunt. He could go with Patrick Peterson here, but instead, the prototypical outside linebacker in a 3-4 falls to him in this spot in Miller, a blazer off of the corner that can get to the quarterback.

6: Cleveland Browns – Patrick Peterson, CB, LSU – You can never have enough shut down corners at your disposal, and Peterson would be too good here for the Browns to pass up at No. 6. Peterson and Joe Haden would suddenly make up the best young tandem of corners that this league has seen in quite some time.

7: San Francisco 49ers – Robert Quinn, DE, North Carolina – This would be a tough, tough spot for Head Coach Jim Harbaugh in his first draft. If this is how it were to play out, both the top corner and the top pass rusher on the board would be gone, as would the top two QB prospects. We have to assume that the Niners would try everything to get out of this spot at this point, because it’s probably too early to take Prince Amukamara. Instead, we’ll give the Niners the best player available in Quinn to help rush the passer.

8: Tennessee Titans – Nick Fairley, DT, Auburn – The Titans take a very talented player with a troubled history in Fairley, which could be good… and it could turn out to be another Vince Young situation.

9: Dallas Cowboys – Tyron Smith, OT, USC – Jerry Jones takes his first ever offensive lineman in the first round in team history by taking Smith, who should do a better job of protecting Tony Romo than the OL in Big D did last year…

10: Washington Redskins – Julio Jones, WR, Alabama – The SEC West takes half of the Top 10 in this draft when Jones comes off the board. Washington needs a wide receiver in a big time way, but if it were smart, it would try to trade down and stock pile some picks, as there is plenty available for this team to pick later on.

11: Houston Texans – Prince Amukamara, CB, Nebraska – The only reason this pick is going to take so long to get to the podium is because it’s going to take some rep for the Texans at least 20 seconds to spell Amukamara. If this pick is available and Houston doesn’t go grab the former Husker, everyone in the War Room should be fired in an instant.

12: Minnesota Vikings – JJ Watt, DE, Wisconsin – Probably a bit of a reach here for Minnesota, but with an aging defensive line and a lack of interest for Jake Locker, Watt makes for a decent pick in a lousy spot to be in.

13: Detroit Lions – Aldon Smith, DE, Missouri – The reformation of the Detroit defense continues with Smith, who could be a monster lined up on the same side of the line as Ndamukong Suh.

14: St. Louis Rams – Ryan Kerrigan, DE, Purdue – The run on defensive linemen continues here at No. 14, as Steve Spagnuolo collects a real stud out of Purdue that can be a double digit sack man.

15: Miami Dolphins – Mike Pouncey, OG, Florida – Pouncey becomes the first interior lineman off the board here at No. 15 in a position that Miami desperately needs to fill. It’ll do so with a local player from Gainesville that it hopes turns into the second coming of his brother, Maurkice Pouncey in Pittsburgh.

16: Jacksonville Jaguars – Jake Locker, QB, Washington – The Jags have had a history of terrible drafting, and this might be the pick that finally puts Head Coach Jack Del Rio in his grave. Jacksonville needs a quarterback, but Locker is clearly a project pick, not a guy you’re slotting in there right away.

17: New England Patriots – Justin Houston, LB, Georgia – Here, we just have a good fit for the Pats with Justin Houston. Sure, it’d be a reach of a pick here at No. 17, but Bill Belichick has never cared about draft value, just getting the right guys in the right spots in his lineup. Houston fills a big time void at OLB.

18: San Diego Chargers – Cameron Jordan, DE, Cal – This is the proper pick at this point for the Chargers, who need a replacement for the departed (and fallen off the face of the earth) Shawne Merriman.

19: New York Giants – Anthony Castonzo, OT, Boston College – The G-Men would be doing cartwheels to end up with Castonzo, one of the best exterior OL options on the board this year.

20: Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Da’Quan Bowers, DE, Clemson – The Bucs have totally revamped their defensive line over the course of the last two years in the draft, and this year, the task will be complete if they can snare Bowers or one of the other stud defensive ends in this draft.

21: Kansas City Chiefs – Game Carimi, OT, Wisconsin – There’s never anything wrong with drafting a Wisconsin offensive lineman. The big man for the Badgers will end up in a KC uniform if he’s still on the board at No. 21.

22: Indianapolis Colts – Corey Liuget, DT, Illinois – Yeah, the Colts would probably be better served not drafting an interior lineman here, but GM Bill Polian always drafts the best talent available. Liuget is certainly a Top 20 talent, and Indy would be thrilled to have him at No. 22.

23: Philadelphia Eagles – Jimmy Smith, CB, Colorado – The Eagles could be trading up for a corner at some point during the draft, but if they don’t, this is the man that they want. Smith is a perfect complement for Head Coach Andy Reid’s defense.

24: New Orleans Saints – Muhammad Wilkerson, DE, Temple – Save for Will Smith, there isn’t anything on this defensive line that scares us for the Saints. Wilkerson would at least threaten to change that.

25: Seattle Seahawks – Ryan Mallett, QB, Arkansas – Mallett has prototypical size for a quarterback, and he is just the type of man that Head Coach Pete Carroll built his teams around at USC. This is assuming, of course, that the team doesn’t have confidence in Charlie Whitehurst any longer after watching him stink it up for the most part last season, save for in that playoff game. It’s an ideal situation for Mallett to be in as a rookie, learning from Hasselbeck and Carroll.

26: Baltimore Ravens – Cameron Heyward, DE, Ohio State – And now we have three men named Cameron drafted in the first round with Heyward coming off the board to the Ravens. These big time athletic defenders are just what Baltimore is always looking for, and inevitably, Heyward would be able to step right in and help out a big time unit.

27: Atlanta Falcons – Nate Solder, OT, Colorado – We love the pick here for Head Coach Mike Smith to shore up another offensive line spot with Solder, a man who was a beast going against some of the best that the country had to offer in the Big XII last season.

28: New England Patriots – Mark Ingram, RB, Alabama – The rich just keep getting richer. Ingram is a Top 10 talent and is definitely the best back on the board, but his injury concerns are making teams shy away. If Ingram is the real deal, you can bet that New England won’t pass on him, especially with Belichick and one of his old assistants, Nick Saban in cahoots.

29: Chicago Bears – Derek Sherrod, OT, Mississippi State – MSU is one of these programs that is growing in stature right now under Dan Mullen, and Sherrod could be a beast at offensive tackle for the Bears. Protection of Jay Cutler at least gives him a chance, though there might not be a chance for a man that has this bipolar of an arm.

30: New York Jets – Akeem Ayers, OLB, UCLA – Phil Taylor will be tempting here for the Jets, but Ayers is a pass rusher that is absolutely coveted by Head Coach Rex Ryan. Ryan loves these athletic players, and this is the perfect combination of speed and strength to add to the mix in the Big Apple.

31: Pittsburgh Steelers – Brandon Harris, DB, Miami – The Steelers really don’t have a lot of glaring weaknesses right now, but corner is probably one of them. Don’t be shocked if Pittsburgh tries to move up to get Mike Pouncey to slot in next to his brother, but it’s not all that often that we see the black and gold moving up, especially when they draft so well in the slots that they are in.

32: Green Bay Packers – Brooks Reed, DE, Arizona – With Heyward off the board, there isn’t much left for a 3-4 based team to go after. Reed is a nice alternative right now, though the possibility of a wide receiver is out there as well.

 
April 21st, 2011 By Louie - Cappersinfo Admin

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NBA Matchup: Orlando Magic @ Atlanta Hawks
Game Date/Time: Friday, April 22, 2011 @ 8:05 ET
Location: Philips Arena – Atlanta, Georgia

NBA Odds: Orlando -1.5
Over/Under Odds: 181

Game Analysis: Of all the picks I have made so far for the playoffs this one is the strongest of them all. I loved Atlanta in game one and not only picked them to cover the spread but to win the game outright which they did. Orlando bounced back in game two but still failed to cover winning 88-82 laying 9 points. This year’s Orlando team is not even close to a shadow of their past playoff teams. In this series the only real scoring threat for Orlando has been Dwight Howard, and Atlanta has done an excellent job on defending his supporting cast. If Orlando doesn’t start to find some offense elsewhere they are in for big trouble in this series. The crowd should be in rare form tonight considering the fans certainly didn’t forget last year’s disappointment and the severe beating the Hawks got at home against Orlando in the conference semi-finals. Revenge is usually not a factor in the NBA, but I can see it in the Hawks play that they were completely embarrassed last year and made a commitment this year to revenge that loss. Orlando is the perfect team to face in this situation having made late season moves that are questionable at best and not playing nearly as well this year as they have in the past few years. Dwight Howard did all he can do in the first two games and the Magic were really lucky to gain a split at home If you ask me Orlando’s run of dominance in the early rounds of the Eastern Conference Playoffs will come to an abrupt end this year at the hands of Atlanta. A win in Game three is a very important step for the Hawks to take to exercise last year’s demons and regain respectability.

Free NBA Playoff Pick: Atlanta +1.5

 
April 20th, 2011 By Louie - Cappersinfo Admin

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NBA Matchup: Chicago Bulls @ Indiana Pacers
Game Date/Time: Thursday, April 21, 2011 @ 7:05 ET
Location: Conseco Fieldhouse- Indianapolis, Indiana

NBA Odds: Chicago Bulls -4.5
Over/Under Odds: 189

Game Analysis: The Pacers have stayed closer then expected in both of the first two games in this series. They covered the spread in both games one and two with game one going over the posted total and game two staying under the total. The Bulls find themselves favored by 4.5 points for game three on the road with a total of 189. I fully realize Indiana has looked good in the first two games of this series, however the Bulls have been able to hold serve at home and can look to put the hammer down on this series with a win on the road in game three. Chicago has played at Indian twice this season winning 99-86 in January and losing 115-108 in March. Their effort on defense in the January win was the difference and I am looking for a big defensive effort from the Bulls in Indiana for game three. The Bulls know from their loss in March that an up and down type of game with Indiana is not putting their best foot forward. The Pacers have played excellent defense on the Bulls in the first two games forcing Derrick Rose to use some of his MVP magic to will Chicago to wins. I am expecting another great defensive game from Indiana and if they can force Rose’s teammates to be the ones who beat them they might be able to get the win at home as an underdog. I am more interested in the total in this game which is posted at 189. I am picking under 189 in this game as this series has been dominated by defense thus far and the change in venue to Conseco Fieldhouse won’t change that a bit. This may be the lowest scoring of the first three games as both teams have a good idea by now what the other wants to do and how to stop it. Look for a game played below 90 points by both teams as the Pacers will fight to keep it close at home and avoid a 3-0 deficit.

Free NBA Playoff Pick: Under 189

 
April 19th, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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NBA Matchup: Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Game Date/Time: Wednesday, April 20th, 8:05 ET
Location: Oklahoma City Arena – Oklahoma City, OK

NBA Odds: Oklahoma City -4.5
Over/Under Odds: 208

Game Analysis: Oklahoma City was able to escape game one at home with a close 107-103 victory. Denver kept the game very close and was able to cover the spread getting 5.5 to 6 points. The game went over the posted total of 204.5 despite just 91 second half points being scored. In game one there were 119 first half points scored. A different style of play in the second half helped the Thunder hold the Nuggets to 43 second half points. Game one went much like it did in the Miami-Philadelphia and the Chicago-Indiana series. In both of those series the first half pace was extremely fast followed by a second half that was much better defensively and a game two in which both home teams played defense in the entire game closer to how they played in the second halves of game 1. I expect the same from Oklahoma City especially after holding Denver to just 43 second half points in game 1. The total for this game opened at 207.5 and is up to 208 at the moment. It is entirely normal after an outcome of 210 on a total listed of 204.5 that in game two the total would be slightly higher. The public has the tendency to follow the most recent outcome and expect that to hold true in the next game. That doesn’t happen too often, more often then not game two’s in general are played completely differently then game ones are played. In game one we already saw such a wide range from what was scored in the first half (119) to the second half (91). I think Oklahoma City would much rather play Denver like they did in the second half then when they allowed the Nuggets to score 63 first half points. In game two a concentration on defense for the Thunder should control the pace of this game. The total is set way too high, and instead of the number going up due to the outcome of game one, I believe the total should be lower tonight due to the disparity in scoring between the first and second halves. Play under 208 in this game and wait to place the wager until the last moment the line may go up even higher.

Free NBA Playoff Picks: Under 208

NBA Matchup: New Orleans Hornets @ LA Lakers
Date: Wednesday, April 20th, 10:35 ET
Location: Staples Center – Los Angeles, CA

NBA Odds : Lakers -11.5
Over/Under Odds: 187.5

Game Analysis: Everyone and their cousin will be lining up to bet on the Lakers in game two considering their huge upset loss in game one. However before you do that keep this in mind; over the last 8 games the Lakers went 2-6. Now you might say it was the end of the season but it is also a fact that playoff seeding was up for grabs at the same time. This “lapse” happened to LA earlier in the year and they were able to “right the ship” after the all-star break and go on an extended win streak. However in my opinion this Lakers team has one very large weakness and it is the key to beating them. I have seen this particular weakness cost them several games this year and in the playoffs it might be the key to if the Lakers can three-peat. The one glaring weakness on the Lakers is their ability on defense to stop a point guard who can score. I’ve seen several top point guards in this league eat Derrick Fisher up and the Lakers don’t have anyone else to go to should Chris Paul start to dominate him again like he did in game one. Paul outscored Fisher in game one 33-8 he also had 14 assists compared to just two for Fisher. That kind of domination in game two will give the Lakers fits. Even if Paul doesn’t have as good a game the Hornets are likely to be able to cover the inflated line of 11.5 points. The Hornets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 visits to the Staples Center and must have gained tremendous confidence in their surprise game one win. Chris Paul owns the kind of magic needed to beat LA in this series, and if the Lakers don’t clamp down on defense and force his supporting cast to beat them they are in for trouble not only in game two but in this series. Look for a much better defensive effort from the Lakers, but 11.5 points is way too many to expect LA to cover. I do also like the under a little at 187.5, but I am much more interested in playing New Orleans +11.5. This is another game you should wait until the last minute to wager on if you’re taking New Orleans. There is little doubt the public will drive this line up even more and pound LA late. Don’t fall into that trap; the right side tonight is New Orleans +11.5

Free NBA Playoff Selection: New Orleans +11.5

 
April 16th, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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Matchup: New York Knicks @ Boston Celtics
Date: Sunday, April 17th, 7:05 ET
Location: The TD Garden

NBA Odds: Boston -6
Over/Under Odds: 197

Game Analysis:  The rivalry that exists between the cities of Boston and New York is one that few outsiders really understand.  If it’s not the Yankees and Red Sox doing battle or the Bruins and the Rangers it’s the Knicks and the Celtics.  Boston and New York are the two largest cities in the Northeast and are constantly pitted against each other in sporting events.  Their fans are known for their enthusiasm to say the least and this year an old playoff rivalry is renewed.  The rivalry between the Knicks and the Celtics goes back a long time and this year’s renewal is somewhat of a surprise.  The Knicks made some big moves in the off season acquiring Amare Stoudamire and improving their team.  Right before the trade deadline they made another huge move getting Carmelo Anthony and Chauncey Billups in a big three team trade.  Unfortunately the results have been mixed since the trade.  The Knicks offense is something they have gotten going since the trade with the obvious double threat of Carmelo and Stoudamire it gives New York two very good scoring options and difficult match ups for the opposition.  The Knicks have had their issues on defense this year and especially since the trade.  Against a good team like Boston that will lead to plenty of open jumpers and easy baskets.  If you leave Ray Allan open he will kill you and he should have a field day against the Knicks.  Boston relies on their defense but is not averse to getting into the open floor if the opportunity presents itself.  Against the Knicks there are many open floor opportunities and that should help keep the score of this game well above 100 for both teams.  This total could be eclipsed early in the 4th quarter if New York tries to run which I suspect they will.  Due to the Celtics defensive reputation the line is set a relative low number 197.  However I know they will take advantage of the Knicks lack of defense and put up a nice score in this game.  Whether they cover the 6 points is questionable although I’d lean to yes, what is not questionable is that this game should go way over the posted total of 197. 

Free NBA Playoff Picks: OVER 197

Matchup: Denver Nuggets @ Oklahoma City Thunder
Date: Saturday, April 17th, 9:305 ET
Location: Oklahoma City Arena

NBA Odds : Oklahoma City -5.5
Over/Under Odds: 200

Game Analysis:  Perhaps the best of all 8 first round playoff match ups is this Oklahoma City-Denver series.  Oklahoma City is obviously a young and talented team that got a lot of much needed playoff experience last year and made a key move before the trade deadline getting defensive presence Kendrick Perkins.  They are lead by perennial NBA leading scorer Kevin Durant and the combo of Durant and Westbrook may be the best young combo in the NBA.  The Thunder will host Denver who made quite a run after trading away their top scorer Carmelo Anthony.  After trading Carmelo it appeared two things happened in Denver, first off they started to share the ball more and that made their offense actually more versatile.  Second, for the first time since I can remember the Nuggets actually started playing defense. That combination sparked them to a #5 seed and a real chance in this series to come away with the win.  The reason I feel Denver not only has a great chance in game 1 but also a great chance to win the series is that although Oklahoma City got the experience of playoff basketball last year and excelled especially giving the Lakers a scare this year they have to deal with the added pressure of expectations.  Last year was all good for the Thunder as no one expected anything from them so what we got we were surprised to see.  This year is a different story all together; Thunder fans and the media in general are expecting a rematch with the Lakers.  Where there was no pressure at all last year there is tremendous pressure this year.  How this young team reacts to this pressure is the key to their playoff fate this year.  I think in game 1 we will see some of that pressure surface and the Thunder will struggle to win the game.  Denver went 1-3 against Oklahoma City this year and just played them April 8th losing 104-89 on the very same court they will play on Sunday.  Sunday should be a different outcome with Denver not only covering but very likely winning the game.

Free NBA Playoff Selection:  Denver Nuggets +5.5

 
April 15th, 2011 By Andy "The Raven" Frank (Cappersinfo Contributor)

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The NBA Playoffs start Saturday and we here at Cappersinfo want to keep you supplied with the best in NBA handicapping along with some winning free NBA playoff picks and other selections everyday.  Four playoff series start Saturday and another four more start Sunday as the NBA Playoffs kick into gear.  Here are two free picks are for Saturday from Andy “The Raven” Frank.

Matchup: Indiana Pacers at Chicago Bulls
Date: Saturday, April 16th, 1:05 ET
Location: The United Center- Chicago, Illinois
NBA Odds: Chicago -11.5
Over/Under Odds: 188.5

Game Analysis: This is the first game of the Chicago-Indiana series and an important measuring stick of what we can expect from the Bulls in the playoffs.  Defense has gotten them to the number one seed which is a place no one really expected the Bulls to be even considered for in the East.  On the season they allowed just 91.3 PPG, and only 89.8 PPG at home.  Furthermore in division games not only were they 15-1 but they allowed just 86.3 PPG.  Down the stretch in their last 14 games they allowed just one 100 point game.  It is clear that team defense that has carried the Bulls to this point.  They won 3 of 4 meetings with the Pacers earlier this year and I expect game 1 of the series to be a similar to how the regular season has gone this year for the Bulls.  They will control tempo and play their brand of basketball which has worked very well for them.  The Pacers do not like to play a slow tempo game and would prefer to score as many points in the transition game as possible.  That won’t available much due to that being the Bulls strong suit keeping teams from getting out in the transition.  They rebound extremely well and should have no trouble controlling the pace in game 1.  The Pacers often are frustrated when forced to play in a half court tempo game and should find out Saturday afternoon why the team defense the Bulls play make them a threat to win it all.  I am not looking to lay as many points as Chicago is favored by as it seems to be too many.  However I am very interested in the total in this game which is set at 188.5.  I like a play on under 188.5 in this game with the Bulls winning fairly comfortably.

Free NBA Playoff Pick: UNDER 188.5

Matchup: Atlanta Hawks at Orlando Magic
Date: Saturday, April 16th, 7:05 ET
Location: The Amway Center- Orlando, Florida
NBA Odds : Orlando -8.5
Over/Under Odds: 179.5

Game Analysis: This is a rematch from last year’s conference semi-finals.  That series last year was historic, Orlando destroyed Atlanta in their four game sweep by more points then any other playoff team in NBA history had ever been beaten by.  The 101 point differential in a four game sweep last year was not only an NBA record but cost Hawks former coach Mike Woodson his job.  This year the same two teams meet in round one of the playoffs, however I don’t think we will be seeing the kind of dominance Orlando showed over Atlanta last year.  In fact this year Atlanta comes into the game holding a 3-1 advantage in head to head meetings.  Atlanta has won the last three times they have played even winning in Orlando by 6.  The Hawks will find it hard to get away from questions about last year and what happened in the series with Orlando.  The fact is this is a different year and completely different circumstances lead both teams to this point.  Orlando is not in a position of strength this year and has to face a revenge minded Hawks team who won’t forget the beating they received last year.  Atlanta has to placing a lot of importance on game 1 and feeling as if they can’t afford to get behind again against this Magic team.  The line is a very fair 8.5 points, and I really like the Hawks to get the money with the points.  I would not be surprised at all if Atlanta won the game outright.  Rarely in the NBA is revenge a factor, however for Atlanta losing in the semis last year by historic proportions has to be more then enough motivation to not only keep game 1 close but to keep this entire series close.  Take the points in game 1.

Free NBA Playoff Pick: ATLANTA +8.5

 
April 4th, 2011 By Louie - Cappersinfo Admin

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Major League Baseball is finally off and running for the 2011 season. We, at Cappersinfo.com will keep you supplied with the best in baseball handicapping along with free MLB picks and information this season. Daily picks with detailed analysis and a wagering guide for MLB. This Monday six new series get underway, three in the NL including two day games and three in the AL with one day game at Camden Yards in Baltimore. This Orioles-Tigers game is our pick for today. The game starts at 3:05 EST and the current line has Baltimore at -125 with a total of 9.5 runs. The announced starting pitchers are Rick Porcello for Detroit, and Jake Arrieta for Baltimore.

MLB Matchup: Detroit Tigers @ Baltimore Orioles
Date: Monday, April 4th, 6:45 ET
Location: Oriole Park @ Camden Yards – Baltimore, MD
NCAA Basketball Odds: Baltimore -125
Over/Under 9.5

For the Orioles: The Orioles come into this game sky high off a three game road sweep of Tampa. The pitching was super allowing just 3 runs the entire 3 game series. AAA call up Zack Britton pitched 6 strong innings in the finale allowing just 3 hits and 1 earned run to run the O’s record to 3-0. The Orioles pitching has really taken a turn for the better since the arrival late last year of manager Buck Showalter. Monday’s starter Jake Arrieta is one of several Orioles young pitchers with tremendous potential. He was having trouble last year allowing too many walks, but showed improvement once Showalter arrived. Arrieta’s ERA in June was 6.20 with 12 walks to 11 strikeouts. July it was 5.01 with 21 walks to 14 strikeouts. In August it was 4.45 with 13 walks and 14 strikeouts, and in September it was 2.60 with just 2 walks to 13 strikeouts. The “light bulb” went on for Arrieta in September and he should carry that over to this season. The Orioles are loaded with new additions on offense this year with veterans Derrick Lee at first base, Vlad Guerrero as the DH, JJ Hardy at shortstop and new third baseman Mark Reynolds. Long time Orioles Nick Markakis and Brian Roberts along with Adam Jones and Matt Weiters make for a decent lineup with some power from top to bottom of the order. Look for the Orioles to be a much improved team this year and with Showalter at the helm make a real run at respectability. Up until now that is something that Baltimore hasn’t earned in a long time.

For the Tigers: Detroit was able to avoid the sweep in New York winning the last game of the series in a slugfest 10-7 to move to 1-2. Tiger’s slugger Miguel Cabrera led Detroit’s offense going 3 for 5 with two home runs knocking in 4 runs. Cabrera is batting .455 three games into the year and looks like the main hitter to avoid in the Tigers lineup. Detroit sends Rick Porcello to the mound Monday. Porcello had a rough year in 2010 going 10-12 with a 4.92 ERA. He had an even tougher time pitching on the road where his ERA was 5.73. Opponents batted .308 off Porcello on the road last year compared to .273 when he pitched at home. This has plagued Porcello both years in the big leagues and is something he must overcome in order to secure a spot in the rotation. Detroit has the misfortune of facing two American League East teams in their home openers before finally having theirs against Kansas City April 8th. Detroit is 3-5 the last three years playing at Camden Yards and will play the Orioles in their home opener after a surprise three game sweep in Tampa. For the Tigers to have any chance in this game Rick Porcello is going to have to go at least 6 strong innings of work and keep the Orioles off the bases. That may be a tall order to ask of Porcello against a much improved Baltimore offense.

Free MLB Picks: Take Baltimore on the money line at -125 in this game. Jake Arrieta was a different pitcher last year after Showalter took over and that wasn’t a coincidence. He has all the tools to be a future 20 game winner and should take a big step in that direction this year. You have to be impressed with the Orioles “new” lineup loaded with pop from top to bottom. This is a prime spot for Baltimore to pick on a pitcher who is extremely shaky on the road. It is the home opener, the line is very fair at -125 and the O’s have to be very confident coming off the sweep of Tampa. MLB Prediction: O’s 6 Tigers 3

 
March 8th, 2011 By Andrew "Mr. Multi-Task" Ryan - Cappersinfo Contributor

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We’re at the very last week before Selection Sunday, and here at Cappers Info, we’re taking some time out to view the six big conference tournaments, what you should watch for, and projecting the winners of each, as we head on the road to March Madness betting action!

ACC Tournament Preview: March 10-13
Location: Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC

Favorite: Duke Blue Devils
NCAA Tournament Locks: Duke Blue Devils, North Carolina Tar Heels, Florida State Seminoles
Work To Do: Clemson Tigers, Boston College Eagles, Virginia Tech Hokies


The bottom line here in the ACC Tournament is all about how long you can survive. Clemson and Boston College are likely to be playing a March Madness elimination game on Friday. The winner is probably going to be in the field without any problems, but the loser is going to be sweating. Virginia Tech probably just needs to take care of Georgia Tech on Thursday to get into the field, but beating Florida State would really be smart and would seal the deal. The Noles are hoping to get Chris Singleton back in the lineup by then. North Carolina might be the top seed in this tournament, but we aren’t going to be counting out the Dookies. Don’t be surprised if this ultimately comes down to Duke and Carolina for the ACC title, and potentially for a No. 1 seed in the dance as well. Coach K isn’t losing to the same team twice in a matter of just a week. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Duke Blue Devils (-140 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)

Big 10 Tournament Preview: March 10-13
Location: Conseco Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Favorite: Ohio State Buckeyes
NCAA Tournament Locks: Ohio State Buckeyes, Purdue Boilermakers, Wisconsin Badgers
Work To Do: Michigan Wolverines, Illinois Fighting Illini, Penn State Nittany Lions, Michigan State Spartans


Everyone thinks that Ohio State is just going to roll right into the finale of this tournament and walk away with yet another Big Ten title, but we’re really not all that sure that that is the case. The winner of that Michigan/Illinois 4/5 battle is going to be giving OSU a tough time and could take the Buckeyes out just two games into the tournament. Keep in mind that either the Wolverines or Illini will probably be in the field for sure with that win on Friday against the other, but there is a chance that the other could backdoor its way in. There’s probably no such luck for Michigan State and Penn State. The Spartans, at bare minimum, need a win over Iowa and a competitive game against Purdue, while Penn State needs to beat Indiana and Wisconsin to even think about having a chance. We love the chances of the Boilers in this one though, as they are playing close to home and have a lot to prove. They’ve beaten down Wisconsin this year at home (and granted, also lost on the road), and have owned Michigan State in two games. If the Buckeyes are out of the picture before that point, we tend to believe that Purdue is the team that will pick up the pieces. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Purdue Boilermakers (+285 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)

Big 12 Tournament Preview: March 10-13
Location: Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO

Favorite: Kansas Jayhawks
NCAA Tournament Locks: Kansas Jayhawks, Texas Longhorns, Texas A&M Aggies, Kansas State Wildcats, Missouri Tigers
Work To Do: Colorado Buffaloes, Baylor Bears, Nebraska Cornhuskers


If you want to talk about a perfect setup for a tournament, this is it! The Big XII will have its three bubble teams playing against three teams that really have already locked down their bids to the dance. There is really nowhere to go but up for many of them as well, as losses to bubble teams aren’t going to hurt. Nebraska has played Kansas tough in the past, and that could make for a very, very interesting second round duel on Thursday. However, the far more interesting battle to us is the one between Texas the potentially Baylor. This will be the third go around for these two this year, and it’ll be the second chance for the Bears to try to take down the Horns and earn a signature win for the road to the NCAA Tournament. The forgotten team? What about Texas A&M? It’s going to get a relatively easy draw in Round 2, and it should love a prospective game in the semifinals against either Texas or a very weary Baylor team that would have just won its game of the year. These are great, great odds on a fantastic team. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Texas A&M Aggies (+900 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)

Big East Tournament Preview: March 8-12
Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Favorite: Pitt Panthers
NCAA Tournament Locks: Pitt Panthers, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Louisville Cardinals, Syracuse Orange, St. John’s Red Storm, West Virginia Mountaineers, Cincinnati Bearcats, Georgetown Hoyas, Connecticut Huskies, Villanova Wildcats
Work To Do: Marquette Golden Eagles


About the only real question left in the minds of the Selection Committee is whether Marquette will make for the 11th team in the NCAA Tournament out of the Big East. It’s likely that the Golden Eagles will get in with a win over Providence on Tuesday, and a win over WVU on Wednesday certainly wouldn’t hurt any. There are just so many teams in this field that are not playing great ball right now. Notre Dame has some solid odds because it will probably end up drawing a tired team that really isn’t all that great in Cincy or Villanova, while Pittsburgh should get a free pass to the semis after facing Georgetown or UConn, both of which are struggling as well. The interesting battle is the one between St. John’s and Syracuse is that’s how the seeds play out in the quarterfinals. The ‘Cuse are one of the hotter teams in this league, while obviously, the Johnnies have figured out how to beat anybody and everybody in the Big East here at MSG. It wouldn’t surprise us if the winner of that game ended up taking down all of the marbles in this tournament. We’d buy into taking the Redbirds at +550, but instead, we’ll take our chances on the ‘Cuse in a game a heck of a lot closer to their backyard. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Syracuse Orange (+425 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)

Pac-10 Tournament Preview: March 9-12
Location: Staples Center, Los Angeles, CA

Favorite: Arizona Wildcats
NCAA Tournament Locks: Arizona Wildcats, UCLA Bruins
Work To Do: Washington Huskies, USC Trojans, Washington State Cougars


If there’s a major conference tournament this year where someone is going to come out of absolutely nowhere to win the whole enchilada, this is it. Arizona is a great team, but it has shown its flaws, and it really doesn’t need to win this tournament to look great to the Selection Committee. UCLA doesn’t need any more wins, and we’re not all that sure that the team really has the desire to last that long when the team is that thin. Three games in three days would be very hard on this team. USC is the team that really needs wins the most, as getting into the semifinals of the Pac-10 Tournament might be enough to get into the field, while getting into the finale would certainly do the job. Washington State is in a very similar boat, but it’s problem is that it is playing a Washington team that really needs at least one more win just to be sure as well. U-Dub figured out how to underachieved most of last season and then all of a sudden turn it on in the Pac-10 Tournament, and we think that that is what is going to happen again this year. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Washington Huskies (+270 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)

SEC Tournament Preview: March 10-13
Location: Georgia Dome, Atlanta, GA

Favorite: Kentucky Wildcats
NCAA Tournament Locks: Florida Gators, Kentucky Wildcats, Tennessee Volunteers, Vanderbilt Commodores
Work To Do: Georgia Bulldogs, Alabama Crimson Tide


This is a mighty interesting tournament because there are two teams that are head and shoulders above the rest of the pack in this conference, but neither one we really feel is capable of winning the whole thing due to a lack of depth. We certainly don’t buy Kentucky doing it, as this is one of the most inconsistent teams in America. That leaves us first, a slew of bubble teams. Alabama and Georgia are the two that are legitimately on the bubble, and there are several others from the West that think they can get themselves back into the bubble discussions by winning some games. Tennessee is a scary team, as we know that it has the talent to get through this entire tournament. Vandy has a slightly better draw. However, the team that we are going to go with is the Tide. You might want to place some hedge bets on Vandy and Tennessee, but we really feel significantly more comfortable backing a team that doesn’t have to play on Thursday in order to win this tournament. Rotnei Clarke and company get the job done with a stifling defense that will wear down a ton of the best teams in this conference one right after the other. NCAA Basketball Free Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide (+1200 @ Oddsmaker Sportsbook)